by Heineken » Wed 27 Sep 2006, 22:25:01
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Heineken', 'T')wo or three decades aren't nearly enough time to achieve this sea change toward sustainability, Omnitir. Two or three centuries might be closer to what's needed
I totally accept that and understand that it’s a monumental task, though two or three centuries may be a bit extreme, more realistically I would guess about one full century to achieve what’s needed.
But here’s the massive flaw that almost everyone makes with future predictions: the rate of change is not linear, it’s exponential.
Yes, at
todays rate of change it might take a full century or more to achieve the necessary change. But extrapolating the exponentially increasing rate of change into the future, over the next two to three decades we can realistically expect to experience the equivalent amount of change that the entire 20th century enjoyed. At
today’s rate of change we can expect the entire 21st century to experience the equivalent of about two hundred centuries of progress.
*** Resistance is futile. We will all be assimilated into the sustainable collective ***
You speak as though we have total control over the future, Omnitir. That's the "hubris" MQ and others refer to.
A lot of the "change" we're going to go through will be experienced passively. And it will be overwhelmingly negative change, the consequences of our actions.
We had our chance at "progress." We blew it, and the result is a wrecked, wasted, deathly ill Earth.
People can't put it together again. We will lick our wounds, crawl into a cave, and slowly and painfully die.