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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Are you scared of peak oil.

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Unread postby Aaron » Sun 19 Jun 2005, 09:06:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut with the right leadership (definitely NOT our current leadership) I think we could get through, not without hardship and suffering of course.


PO is kinda like your avatar... hard to tell if it's sunrise or sunset.

Remember... just because you're paranoid doesn't mean something isn't really out to get you.

And if you are saying that many around here are PO pessimists... well... you have a point.

But that doesn't mean they are wrong.

I have also researched Peak Oil in depth, and seen my own perception evolve over time. It's funny, (not ha ha funny), that it's not the doomer oriented opinions which scare me, but the views of more conservative sources.

Dieoff.org does little to frighten me... likewise lifeaftertheoilcrash.net holds little fear for me. Ruppert... nope.

It's Simmons & companies observations which truly frighten me.

A decades long decent down Hubbert's Peak featuring 3% - 4% depletion would be a tough, but probably manageable transition.

But if the predictions of rapid depletion prove true, and we experience 10% or worse depletion as the giant fields peak & decline...

Be afraid... very afraid.

When times are hard... table manors change.

We already see TPTB positioning themselves for the game of the century.

With America's global military adventurism, China's economic conquest of global markets, Russia seemingly unable, (or unwilling) to ramp up oil production. Admissions from oil majors on over-stated reserves, and confirmation of peak in some major fields, (like Cantrell).

Be aware of oil depletion...

Be afraid of how your fellow monkeys will react to it.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Unread postby TheTurtle » Sun 19 Jun 2005, 09:19:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'B')e aware of oil depletion...

Be afraid of how your fellow monkeys will react to it.
LOL! Man, I love that line Aaron. :-D

In the end, that's where my feelings of "doom and gloom" comes along. I have no worries about living in a low-tech world. I often do that for fun and recreation these days. What worries me is how my "fellow monkeys will react" to a world so very different than the one they feel is their birthright.

Face it, the people of today are a very different breed than the people of the 1920s and 1930s. To expect them to respond similary is a mistake, I think.

And then, of course, during the Great Depression, the US had "unlimited" energy resources, which will not be available this time around. No, the Great Depression cannot be looked at as a preview of things to come Post Peak.

Yes, be afraid ... be very afraid. :?
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Unread postby Jdelagado » Sun 19 Jun 2005, 10:58:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jupiter422', 'j')delagado Don't assume you know my research habits .I have read articles for hour and hours on various web sites .


Thats why peak oil scares it scares me because I have read and analyzed enough data to have a good understanding of what is happening and I believe it is scary to anyone that understands the impact of this...To some level your scared , but You won't admit it.





Don't ever assume or juge members on there post.
You ever heard the exopression assuming makes an as- out of you [smilie=5squeeze.gif]



I am assuming nothing about you. I am suggesting to you and everyone to be informed about any and all issues on all sides, that's it...

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Unread postby Waterthrush » Sun 19 Jun 2005, 18:47:27

Not for myself, exactly. And I don't have children, so I'm not directly concerned for my offspring.

What I fear is that in our overpopulation and desperation, that we'll do something irreparable to the planet. Planets can die. We could put up so much carbon dioxide that the plankton die off, or burn off the rainforests in the Amazon, or something along those lines to trigger a terrible reaction.

One of my main enjoyments in life is the outdoors. I felt genuine, heartfelt joy upon hearing of the rediscovery of the ivory-billed woodpecker. That's the way I want this world to go, with more magical discoveries in moss-hung sunlit swamps. That is what I work towards with my money and my time, when I can spare it from work.

And that's what I fear will be overwhelmed by Peak Oil. All the triumphs, such as the return of the bald eagle and peregrine falcon, and the shad to the eastern US rivers - all these results of 50 years of patient work, legislation, and caring - to be swept away because we weren't men and women enough to govern our most meaningless actions, such as driving some idiotically sized vehicle in hopes of looking threatening.

So, that's my fear, that this beautiful, abundant earth will gradually (or perhaps suddenly) become a dead rather than a living planet.
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Unread postby Daculling » Sun 19 Jun 2005, 19:16:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Waterthrush', '
')What I fear is that in our overpopulation and desperation, that we'll do something irreparable to the planet. Planets can die. We could put up so much carbon dioxide that the plankton die off, or burn off the rainforests in the Amazon, or something along those lines to trigger a terrible reaction.
.


Concidering the vastsness of the universe, I'm sure this has happend before and will again and maybe is a pattern that is pervasive, who cares, hopefully we will destroy ourselves before that happens but then again what does it matter if your dead. Back to the subject...

I heard a comment that someone was fearful or maybe just disappointed that their children and grandchildren will live a less technological way of life? How about being happy that they will lead a life that is sustainable and not rife with glutony and greed?

What do I fear?

When I joined you all... I became afraid that I would have to defend my life. So I bought a gun. Now I am afraid that I will have to take someone's life. I don't know which is worse. It's not something to take lightly and another reason I know there is far too few ways out. What step is that?
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Unread postby thequietkid10 » Mon 20 Jun 2005, 23:45:55

I'm not affaid of Peak Oil, if it means Great Depression Round II or we turn into a larger version of Cuba.

It's the prospect of watching everyone around me suffer and die because of the massive die off thing that bugs me.

I'm not so much affaid of my own mortallity if I can get as much out of my life as possible.
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Unread postby Roop » Tue 21 Jun 2005, 18:26:00

You're goddamn right I'm scared of Peak Oil. What makes me especially scared is that I'm 25 and getting married in a month to a girl I love and now I feel like our future together is over before it's even begun. Peak Oil has been causing a lot of tension in our relationship lately, mainly due to my obsession with it, however she agrees that it is a real problem. Maybe she's right when she says in anger and frustration to me, "then what's the point of getting married, of having children, of planning a future together?"

I want to be positive, I try to be positive, I try to do good things like drive less, bike more, and conserve energy. I want to learn permaculture, I want to live a sustainable, low-energy life off the grid. Things like that give me hope. And then I read stuff like this, from Jan Lundberg on Culture Change:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')ie off will kick in first in terms of riots and killings by armed marauders, and "the police and military will not be able to keep order more than a few days, if at all" [my statement in Congress]. Next will come starvation, and cannibalism can only get people so far -- especially with rampant disease and lack of clean water to drink. Starvation will take care of perhaps 95% (ninety-five per cent) of the petroleum-dependent populations in the U.S. and perhaps elsewhere in modern industrialized countries.


I feel like I'm losing hope and losing my sanity. My family whom I love very much lives 1000 miles away and now I think about how little I'll probably get to visit them before the shit hits the fan. Maybe it's best to just try to make peace with myself and know that my time on this earth is rapidly running out when it always felt that I had so much to look forward to. I've been considering buying a gun just to keep in the closet for protection (after all, I do live in Kentucky) and what scares me is not knowing if someday I will have to use it on someone else or on myself. :(
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Unread postby Waterthrush » Tue 21 Jun 2005, 21:30:26

Roop, nobody has a clear view of what will happen. I do think, though, that you will be stronger as part of a team with your girlfriend. Think several years ahead, and be gradual in your planning. Many of the initial steps to take are good advice for anyone, so they won't be that difficult to take.

Kentucky's quite a good place to be in a Peak Oil scenario, so you're already ahead of the game. The one thing I would hesitate about is kids - but you are only just getting married, you can afford to wait on that. Three years should make things much clearer.

Good luck, and get outdoors with your girlfriend. That's my panacea. Kentucky has some beautiful state parks, and it's summer, so take some hiking or bicycle trips and enjoy!
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Unread postby Aaron » Tue 21 Jun 2005, 22:00:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'K')entucky has some beautiful state parks, and it's summer, so take some hiking or bicycle trips and enjoy!


Plus you'll be in great shape when President Hillary calls on you to defend my god-given right to drive my fat ass to the Starbucks next door in my SUV.

:)

(I'll check in on your girlfriend when me & my "Reapers" loot through your area. I'll loot her something nice) 8O
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Unread postby Jdelagado » Thu 23 Jun 2005, 00:27:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Roop', 'Y')ou're goddamn right I'm scared of Peak Oil. What makes me especially scared is that I'm 25 and getting married in a month to a girl I love and now I feel like our future together is over before it's even begun. Peak Oil has been causing a lot of tension in our relationship lately, mainly due to my obsession with it, however she agrees that it is a real problem. Maybe she's right when she says in anger and frustration to me, "then what's the point of getting married, of having children, of planning a future together?"

I want to be positive, I try to be positive, I try to do good things like drive less, bike more, and conserve energy. I want to learn permaculture, I want to live a sustainable, low-energy life off the grid. Things like that give me hope. And then I read stuff like this, from Jan Lundberg on Culture Change:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')ie off will kick in first in terms of riots and killings by armed marauders, and "the police and military will not be able to keep order more than a few days, if at all" [my statement in Congress]. Next will come starvation, and cannibalism can only get people so far -- especially with rampant disease and lack of clean water to drink. Starvation will take care of perhaps 95% (ninety-five per cent) of the petroleum-dependent populations in the U.S. and perhaps elsewhere in modern industrialized countries.


I feel like I'm losing hope and losing my sanity. My family whom I love very much lives 1000 miles away and now I think about how little I'll probably get to visit them before the shit hits the fan. Maybe it's best to just try to make peace with myself and know that my time on this earth is rapidly running out when it always felt that I had so much to look forward to. I've been considering buying a gun just to keep in the closet for protection (after all, I do live in Kentucky) and what scares me is not knowing if someday I will have to use it on someone else or on myself. :(


Unbelievable.......

Dude- Chill out a bit!!! Quit thinking about it- you're destroying yourself!

Take some time and listen to an opposing point of view....

http://www.prisonplanet.com/articles/ap ... ilscam.htm


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Unread postby Macsporan » Thu 23 Jun 2005, 00:45:24

All this talk of going from capitalism to cannibalism in a few days is bunk IMHO.

The weight of opinion seems to be that oil supply will decrease between 2-5% a year. This is what has happened to US oil production.

This will give us a whole generation to prepare a new civilisation which I have called "Solar Byzantine".

We will have to work very hard and accept a much, much lower standard of living and a bleak, dragooned existance for a while it is doable, if we keep our nerve.

Keeping our nerve is the most important thing.

The second is being willing to accept such things as rationing.

The third is to develop an interest in steam-trains and railways. Post PO will be a "puffernutter's paradise."

But above all, don't freak out. :razz:
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Unread postby TheTurtle » Thu 23 Jun 2005, 17:54:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', 'A')ll this talk of going from capitalism to cannibalism in a few days is bunk IMHO.


Perhaps ... perhaps.

But can the Solar Byzantium really be a puffernutter's paradise when one is bleakly dragooned?
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Unread postby Macsporan » Fri 24 Jun 2005, 00:25:23

The 'dragooned' part should last only a generation while Byzantium is being built.

After that things will become more relaxed.

With the return of the steam-train the Puffernutters of this world will indeed think they've died and gone to heaven.

Trains can transport goods and people at one third of the cost of trucks and cars.

If you don't want to go all the way back to the Middle Ages its the obvious thing to do. :)
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Unread postby TheTurtle » Fri 24 Jun 2005, 14:46:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Macsporan', 'T')he 'dragooned' part should last only a generation while Byzantium is being built.


I would propose that any dragooning which lasts an entire generation sets up a societal mindset that will be very hard to break out of during the following generation.:evil:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')If you don't want to go all the way back to the Middle Ages its the obvious thing to do. :)


Middle Ages? There are many of us who want to go all the way back to the Paleolithic. :)
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Unread postby OilyMon » Sun 26 Jun 2005, 06:37:02

Peak oil is not something that we need to be scared of. American reaction to peak oil is something that should be given consideration. I would miss alot of things that this society provides, but I'm not scared to lose them. I hate television, people with ridiculous cars and car stereos, I hate Brittany Spears and her ilk, I hate talking to somebody at work about the car they just bought or the condo they moved into - not because I'm jealous - I could afford those things if I wanted to - but because it's all so meaningless.

I saw on CNN last night (uh-oh) a special presentation of some prepared news magazine with Aaron Brown. He was examining the threat of a nuclear terrorist attack on the U.S. One of the recurring images was of Arabic text used as a filler between location shots or archived footage. He looked at all the possible ways that America might be attacked - suitcase devise, smuggled dirty bomb - smuggled tactical bomb etc, and I couldn't help but wonder what the desired affect of this "special presentation" was. Was it to inform the public about the potential for attack? Was it to re-enforce the culture of fear that pervades America? Maybe he just wanted to entertain!

The thing that got me the most was the manner in which it was presented, and the dramatic flare that was added to the piece. I started to wonder what it might feel like to be an American watching this, and I realized that it would have been like watching a horror movie or riding a rollercoaster. I think the general American population enjoys fear.
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Unread postby Petro » Sun 26 Jun 2005, 09:48:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')aybe she's right when she says in anger and frustration to me, "then what's the point of getting married, of having children, of planning a future together?"


Because, and as it should be: hope springs eternal.
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Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Mon 27 Jun 2005, 16:23:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheTurtle', 'M')iddle Ages? There are many of us who want to go all the way back to the Paleolithic. :)


Montana wasn't such a bad place 200 years ago. :-D
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Unread postby TheTurtle » Mon 27 Jun 2005, 17:21:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '
')Montana wasn't such a bad place 200 years ago. :-D


And then Meriwether, Bill and the boys showed up ... :cry:
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Unread postby Jdelagado » Sun 24 Jul 2005, 13:24:47

Hey Jupiter- Are you still scared, DUDE?

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