$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'I')f we're going to fantasize about a city full of driverless cars, why not fantasize about a city full of driverless flying cars.
Much more fun.
PeakOil is You
If Cars Really Could Drive Themselves How Many Would We Need
Re: If Cars Really Could Drive Themselves How Many Would We
by Outcast_Searcher » Mon 24 Mar 2014, 15:46:07
Typical Planty. Representing the far right view, full of science denial and resistance to change.
The science and evidence for progress behind the technology for driverless cars is abundant. It is happening, whether you deny it or not. The only question is when.
This reminds me of the shrill denial of strong chess players as chess playing programs advanced rapidly from the early '80's for 15-ish years until Deep Blue defeated world champion Garry Kasparov in 1997 in a match.
(Much like Planty denial, Kasparov claimed IBM "cheated" and there is even a paranoid "documentary" movie about his delusions, but the reality is pretty obvious. Today, chess grandmasters don't dare play a dynamic position against a top class computer -- or they get tactically CRUSHED.)
Though we may still be a decade or two away from the fully autonomous version, the driverless cars are coming, and Google is testing them now. In several years, they went from getting lost on a small test track in the annual race to test their progress to averaging fairly high speeds and completing long complex courses. All you have to do is Google "driverless car" and you can find articles, Nova documentaries, etc. on this subject.
Denying this is occurring makes as much sense as denying evolution occurred, that the earth is warming in recent decades (for whatever the reason), or that the earth is 6000 years old since the Bible tells us so.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.
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Re: If Cars Really Could Drive Themselves How Many Would We
by yellowcanoe » Mon 24 Mar 2014, 16:23:43
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Outcast_Searcher', '
')
Though we may still be a decade or two away from the fully autonomous version, the driverless cars are coming, and Google is testing them now. In several years, they went from getting lost on a small test track in the annual race to test their progress to averaging fairly high speeds and completing long complex courses. All you have to do is Google "driverless car" and you can find articles, Nova documentaries, etc. on this subject.
')
Though we may still be a decade or two away from the fully autonomous version, the driverless cars are coming, and Google is testing them now. In several years, they went from getting lost on a small test track in the annual race to test their progress to averaging fairly high speeds and completing long complex courses. All you have to do is Google "driverless car" and you can find articles, Nova documentaries, etc. on this subject.
As our future is almost certainly going to be one where our standard of living is dropping I find it a little hard to believe that we are going to be able to make the investments that would be required to support driverless cars on a large scale. Even maintaining the existing road network will be a challenge as asphalt is made from oil.
"new housing construction" is spelled h-a-b-i-t-a-t d-e-s-t-r-u-c-t-i-o-n.
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Re: If Cars Really Could Drive Themselves How Many Would We
by Pops » Mon 24 Mar 2014, 16:32:31
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yellowcanoe', 'E')ven maintaining the existing road network will be a challenge as asphalt is made from oil.
Actually we - or rather, Canada, has plenty of asphalt. Kind of a indication of the predicament we're in is that we're making oil out of it.
LOL
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: If Cars Really Could Drive Themselves How Many Would We
by Graeme » Fri 11 Jul 2014, 21:18:48
Navigant forecasts 40% of new vehicles in 2030 will have some form of autonomous driving capability; 75% by 2035
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n a new research report (“Autonomous Vehicles”), Navigant Research forecasts that by 2030, about 40% of new vehicles sold will have some form of autonomous driving capability installed. The company expects this to increase to 75% by 2035.
Although the first vehicles with some self-driving capability will come to market in 2020, Navigant said, it expects it will take another 5 years before volumes become significant. By 2030—if the recent proposed changes to the Vienna Convention (which would allow autonomous vehicles with a driver control override) are approved—Western Europe will be slightly ahead on first implementation, but the much larger automotive markets in Asia Pacific and North America will eventually lead, according to the research firm.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n a new research report (“Autonomous Vehicles”), Navigant Research forecasts that by 2030, about 40% of new vehicles sold will have some form of autonomous driving capability installed. The company expects this to increase to 75% by 2035.
Although the first vehicles with some self-driving capability will come to market in 2020, Navigant said, it expects it will take another 5 years before volumes become significant. By 2030—if the recent proposed changes to the Vienna Convention (which would allow autonomous vehicles with a driver control override) are approved—Western Europe will be slightly ahead on first implementation, but the much larger automotive markets in Asia Pacific and North America will eventually lead, according to the research firm.
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Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe. H. G. Wells.
Fatih Birol's motto: leave oil before it leaves us.
Fatih Birol's motto: leave oil before it leaves us.
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