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Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Quinny » Sun 02 Feb 2014, 12:56:39

+ 1 but my multiplier would be x10. Need not greed!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('careinke', 'I') used to be against a minimum wage pay raise, because I knew it would not help. I still do not think it will help, but I don't think it will hurt either, and it may help reduce consumption as prices rise.

The real problem is the disparity of pay between the lowest and highest paid in the corporation. Since corporations can only legally exist at the pleasure of the government, the government can legally set a pay rate.

So instead of a minimum wage, I would suggest the highest paid employee, counting all compensation, should not be allowed to make more than 50 times the amount of the lowest paid employee based on an hourly bases.

This helps reduce pay disparity as some CEO's now make 600 times more than their lowest paid employees. At the same time it does not limit how much the CEO makes, he just has to drag his employees along with him/her.

Civilizations have a habit of collapsing when wealth disparities become too great. This would be a relatively easy way to mitigate the wealth disparity we have today. A win win for both the rich and the poor.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby joewp » Wed 05 Feb 2014, 01:35:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')The man is doing his best to do a good job as President. O isn't perfect, but he's trying to do the right thing under difficult circumstances. :idea:


The question is, the right thing for who? Seems to me he not only continued Bush's bank bailout, but expanded it. And he's going along with the oil companies quest to make midwest gasoline prices on par with east coast prices by allowing the Keystone pipeline.

Seems to me he's just more of the same with some "hope" and "change" frills on him. They're all owned by the banks and corporations, and the sooner you realize that, the sooner you can stop wasting bandwidth defending them.

Corporate profits are at all-time highs and wages are at all time lows because our government allowed that to happen, simple as that.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 14:00:05

The Middle Class Is Steadily Eroding. Just Ask the Business World (NYT)$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he post-recession reality is that the customer base for businesses that appeal to the middle class is shrinking as the top tier pulls even further away.

If there is any doubt, the speed at which companies are adapting to the new consumer landscape serves as very convincing evidence. Within top consulting firms and among Wall Street analysts, the shift is being described with a frankness more often associated with left-wing academics than business experts.

“Those consumers who have capital like real estate and stocks and are in the top 20 percent are feeling pretty good,” said John G. Maxwell, head of the global retail and consumer practice at PricewaterhouseCoopers.

In response to the upward shift in spending, PricewaterhouseCoopers clients like big stores and restaurants are chasing richer customers with a wider offering of high-end goods and services, or focusing on rock-bottom prices to attract the expanding ranks of penny-pinching consumers.
...
In 2012, the top 5 percent of earners were responsible for 38 percent of domestic consumption, up from 28 percent in 1995, the researchers found.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 14:02:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', '[')url=http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/03/business/the-middle-class-is-steadily-eroding-just-ask-the-business-world.html?_r=0]The Middle Class Is Steadily Eroding. Just Ask the Business World[/url] (NYT)


Yup.

And now another ca. 2.3 million jobs will be destroyed by Ocare, according to the CBO.

The trend is not our friend. :idea:
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Sixstrings » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 14:15:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'Y')up.

And now another ca. 2.3 million jobs will be destroyed by Ocare, according to the CBO.

The trend is not our friend. :idea:


I hate to tangle with you because we agree so much, but I think this is a good thing. Here's why:

* Americans were previously "trapped" into jobs and working 40 hours a week to keep their healthcare. Many could not choose to stay home and take care of the kids, or change careers, or start a business. So this is a good thing Plant, it's the job mobility freedom Canadians have always had.

* We've got a jobs and wage crisis going on. If a chunk of people stop working full time because they don't have to now, then that opens those jobs up for folks who want them, and may also push wages up to attract labor.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 14:22:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'Y')up.

And now another ca. 2.3 million jobs will be destroyed by Ocare, according to the CBO.

The trend is not our friend. :idea:


I hate to tangle with you because we agree so much, but I think this is a good thing. Here's why:

* Americans were previously "trapped" into jobs and working 40 hours a week to keep their healthcare. Many could not choose to stay home and take care of the kids, or change careers, or start a business. So this is a good thing Plant, it's the job mobility freedom Canadians have always had.


There is some of that, yes. Some well-off off older workers may retire earlier or switch jobs because they can get healthcare from Ocare.

But the CBO says most of the people affected will be low wage workers who will avoid working more hours to keep their subsidized Ocare. Its the same thing as people on welfare who won't get jobs to avoid losing their welfare bennies. The welfare recipients remain stuck in welfare, and the Ocare recipients remain stuck in low wage and/or part time work.

The net effect will be huge....the equivalent of 2.3 million lost jobs.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby careinke » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 15:35:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n 2012, the top 5 percent of earners were responsible for 38 percent of domestic consumption, up from 28 percent in 1995, the researchers found.


Another reason to replace income taxes with consumption taxes. The more resources you consume, the more you pay. "Prebate" everyone to cover the taxes up to the poverty line, and presto, a regressive tax becomes a progressive tax and untaxes the poor.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Sixstrings » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 19:23:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'B')ut the CBO says most of the people affected will be low wage workers who will avoid working more hours to keep their subsidized Ocare.

The net effect will be huge....the equivalent of 2.3 million lost jobs.


Hm. Okay fair enough. Maybe both sides were right, I swallowed the MSNBC line on this one. :P

Still works out though -- there are lots of unemployed, people need jobs, so if some cut back their hours then that's 2.3 million jobs open that are badly needed. (the jobs are not "lost" if labor pulls back, wages will go up to attract labor in, so that's a totally different thing from business eliminating jobs)

Only caveat is subsidy cost with the ACA.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 06 Feb 2014, 20:19:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'B')ut the CBO says most of the people affected will be low wage workers who will avoid working more hours to keep their subsidized Ocare.

The net effect will be huge....the equivalent of 2.3 million lost jobs.


Hm. Okay fair enough. Maybe both sides were right, I swallowed the MSNBC line on this one. :P

Still works out though -- there are lots of unemployed, people need jobs, so if some cut back their hours then that's 2.3 million jobs open that are badly needed. (the jobs are not "lost" if labor pulls back, wages will go up to attract labor in, so that's a totally different thing from business eliminating jobs)


The CBO took all that into account.

The 2.3 million net "lost" jobs are the final result after calculating all the effects of the individual mandate in Ocare on the whole economy. It would be nice if new workers were going to fill the hours of the jobs destroyed by Ocare, but apparently after all the math is done Ocare will alter behavior among low wage workers and otherwise damage the economy so much that there is the net equivalent of a several percent decrease in the total number of hours worked across the entire economy, or if you add up all the lost hours it is equivalent to a net loss of 2.3 million jobs.

The 2.3 million lost jobs isn't the bottom line number, however, because the CBO didn't consider the effect of the BUSINESS mandate in Ocare, which O postponed by royal decree for a year. When the BUSINESS mandate finally kicks in next year an additional round of job destruction will occur.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby ROCKMAN » Fri 07 Feb 2014, 18:31:03

"...the CBO didn't consider the effect of the BUSINESS mandate in Ocare". I won't pretend to be smart enough to guess where all this will eventually settle out. But consider the title of this thread. We have the current relationship between corporate profits and wages. So if corporate profits decrease for whatever reason (Ocare, energy cost increases, economic cycles, etc.) should we expect wages to increase or decrease? The primary considerations of anyone owing a business is their income/profit. The income of their employees is secondary. Like it or not that's the nature of capitalism. Obviously gov't expenditures don't fit his model. Their job is to transfer the wealth from the more affluent portion of society to support the poorer end. And that's how it should be in a democratic society IMHO. But you can't escape the dynamic of capitalism: the businesses will first supply the gov't with it's share...that's the law, the owners/investors will then get their share...that's capitalism. And what ever is left will be paid to the employees. So given that the middle class obviously has a much higher income than the folks down at the poverty line this is where much of the cash flow has to be retained by the investors/owners. So while it's fine that the small percentage pays a very disproportionately large chunk of the taxes they also pay the bulk of salaries. Reduce their can flow they have a simple choice to make: reduce their income/rate of return or reduce their overhead. An overhead which salaries are a big chunk. Reduce the portion of their work force earning around minimum wage doesn't save much money. Getting rid of employees making $80,000+/year + benefits saves a lot of money.

The gov't can tax the wealthier portion of society all they want and raise minimum wage...even double it. But the gov't can't force businesses to hire and pay middle class wages. And as the middle class makes less money the gov't needs to tax businesses more to cover it's overhead. And the more businesses send to DC the less they have to pay middle class salaries once they taken their cut. The rich will always be rich regardless of how high their taxes may get. The poorer end of society will maintain their support from the gov't and those low end salaries from businesses. So it seems rather logical that the middle class takes the biggest hit. The obvious: no matter how much the gov't taxes the wealthier portion of society it will not be able to provide middle class incomes for the masses. Except, of course, for middle class govt jobs. If folks think the middle class has taken a hit just subtract the number of middle class gov't jobs that have been created. How many middle class workers do we have that are drawing pay from private businesses? And while you're t subtract the number of middle class income earnings drawing salaries from companies getting paid on gov't contracts. I'm now sure how those middle class stats are measured but I suspect there are a lot fewer than we might guess who aren't getting paid from some portion of the gov't cash flow. And then we can consider ho much of that middle class income from the gov't has been borrowed.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Loki » Sat 08 Feb 2014, 14:27:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'R')educe the portion of their work force earning around minimum wage doesn't save much money. Getting rid of employees making $80,000+/year + benefits saves a lot of money.

There's certainly been a hollowing out of the middle class, due in part to the factor you identify, but I think automation and other efficiency measures are playing a larger role. It's not either-or, though, it's both: Find a way to partially automate that $80k/yr job and pay a minimum wage lackey to do whatever human labor is required.

Pew recently released a study on the current state of the American middle class. Ain't looking so good:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')img]http://www.pewresearch.org/files/2014/01/FT_14.01.24_middleClass_line_420.png[/img]

Despite a slowly recovering economy, the proportion of Americans who identify themselves as middle class has dropped sharply in recent years. Today, about as many Americans identify themselves as lower or lower-middle class (40%) as say they are in the middle class (44%), according to a recent Pew Research Center/USA TODAY survey.

The nationally representative survey of 1,504 adults conducted Jan. 15-19 found that the share of Americans who identify with the middle class has never been lower, dropping to 44% in the latest survey from 53% in 2008 during the first months of the Great Recession.

At the same time, the share of the public who says they are in the lower or lower-middle classes rose by 15 percentage points, from 25% in 2008 to 40% today....

The findings from the latest survey suggest a significant part of the change in the size of the middle class and lower classes has happened in just the past two years. In a July 2012 Pew Research survey, about half (49%) of the public identified themselves as middle class, five percentage points more than do so today....

Young adults ages 18 to 29 also were disproportionately more likely to report a decline in social standing. In 2008, a quarter of all young adults identified as being in the lower or lower-middle class; today about twice as many do (49%), a 24-point increase. In contrast, the share of adults 65 and older who say they are in the lower classes increased by 10 points to 31%....

Economists also report a lack of jobs growth in middle-skill, middle-income jobs. An analysis by the New York Federal Reserve Bank found that employment in middle-skill jobs increased by 46% from 1980 to 2009. Meanwhile, employment in low-skill jobs increased 110% and employment in high-skill jobs increased 100%.

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/20 ... dle-class/
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Loki » Sat 08 Feb 2014, 14:32:03

Another good graphic on how the Great Recession has affected middle class jobs:

Image
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sat 08 Feb 2014, 14:38:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Loki', '
')
Pew recently released a study on the current state of the American middle class. Ain't looking so good


The CBO just came to the same conclusion. The same study that made all the news about the loss of jobs due to Obamacare also found that the US economy is now stuck in stagnation mode, and will stay in the current "low-growth" and "low jobs" for the foreseeable future. The CBO study went out 10 years,and their model showed the weak ca. 2% GDP growth that the economy has been stuck in since 2010 continuing all the way out as far as they ran the model. IN fact, things got much worse in the economy as the model run continued, because the debt started to explode and the boomers were retiring en masse.

CBO: US economy slowing for foreseeable future
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Loki » Sat 08 Feb 2014, 15:03:19

More on the role of automation in the decline of the middle class:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://www.voxeu.org/article/job-polarisation-and-decline-middle-class-workers-wages]Job polarisation and its cause[/url]

Pioneering research by Autor, Katz, and Kearney (2006), Goos and Manning (2007), and Goos, Manning, and Salomons (2009) found that the share of employment in occupations in the middle of the skill distribution has declined rapidly in the US and Europe. At the same time the share of employment at the upper and lower ends of the occupational skill distribution has increased substantially. Goos and Manning termed this phenomenon “job polarisation” and it is depicted for US workers in Figure 1.

In an influential paper, Autor, Levy, and Murnane (2003) provide a compelling explanation: they found that middle-skilled manufacturing and clerical occupations are characterised by a high intensity of procedural, rule-based activities which they call “routine tasks”. As it happens, these routine tasks can relatively easily be coded into computer programs.

Therefore, the rapid improvements in computer technology over the last few decades have provided employers with ever cheaper machines that can replace humans in many middle-skilled activities such as bookkeeping, clerical work and repetitive production tasks. These improvements in technology also enable employers to offshore some of the routine tasks that cannot be directly replaced by machines (Autor 2010).

Moreover, cheaper routine tasks provided by machines complement the non-routine abstract tasks that are intensively carried out in high-skill occupations. For example, data processing computer programs strongly increased the productivity of highly-skilled professionals. Machines also do not seem to substitute for the non-routine manual tasks that are intensively carried out in low-skill occupations. For example, computers and robots are still much less capable of driving taxis and cleaning offices than humans. Thus, the relative economy-wide demand for middle-skill routine occupations has declined substantially.

This routinisation hypothesis, due to Autor, Levy, and Murnance, has been tested in many different settings and it is widely accepted as the main driving force of job polarisation.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Loki » Sat 08 Feb 2014, 15:37:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Loki', '
')
Pew recently released a study on the current state of the American middle class. Ain't looking so good


The CBO just came to the same conclusion. The same study that made all the news about the loss of jobs due to Obamacare also found that the US economy is now stuck in stagnation mode, and will stay in the current "low-growth" and "low jobs" for the foreseeable future. The CBO study went out 10 years,and their model showed the weak ca. 2% GDP growth that the economy has been stuck in since 2010 continuing all the way out as far as they ran the model. IN fact, things got much worse in the economy as the model run continued, because the debt started to explode and the boomers were retiring en masse.

CBO: US economy slowing for foreseeable future


This is basically the secular stagnation hypothesis (PO thread here). Probably a best-case scenario since the CBO doesn't consider resource issues (peak oil, climate change, etc.).
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Thu 13 Feb 2014, 16:24:59

Glenn Kessler rates the GOPs claims of Obamacare causing 2.3 million jobs lost as bullshit. Kessler leans right and I think he used to be a speechwriter for George Bush.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/ ... story.html

And the CBO director also says these claims are bullshit.

http://takingnote.blogs.nytimes.com/201 ... ffice&_r=0

And even Paul Ryan says these claims are bullshit.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/p ... job-losses

But hey, if the GOP can convince their voters to kill off members of their own families, let them.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 13 Feb 2014, 16:41:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'O')bamacare causing 2.3 million jobs lost ...


The CBO said Obamacare would result in a decline in economic activity and hours worked EQUIVALENT to the loss of 2.3 million jobs.

Some of this will be due to well-off people who decline to work just to get insurance. But the CBO said this effect will be small--- the biggest effect will be due to poor people who continue to work but decline to work more hours because they will lose part or all of their obamacare subsidies if their income goes up.

Its easy to see how this works. If a poor person has a job at, say, $10.10/hour for 30 hours per week, they earn roughly $1200/mo before taxes and deductions. Say $1000 month take-home. Then the nice boss says, hey, I can put you on for 10 more hours per week. At first glance that sounds good---it means an extra $400/mo or say extra $300/mo take-home.

But if the poor person is going to lose $200 month in Obamacare subsidies by taking on the extra 10/hours per week of work, then it means working an extra 40 hours of work per month, to only get $100 extra income. He'd be working an extra week per month, but only be earning money at an effective rate of only $2.50/hour during the extra hours, once you include the loss of obamacare subsidies.

The CBO is saying that millions of poor people are going to figure that out, and pass up working more hours so as to max out their Obamacare subsidies, and when you add up all those lost hours it is roughly equivalent to the loss of 2.3 million jobs. 8)
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Thu 13 Feb 2014, 17:08:38

OK you keep imagining that I read your posts while I imagine you eating a big bowl of something that looks like chocolate pudding.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 13 Feb 2014, 17:20:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', ' ')I imagine ... eating a big bowl of something that looks like chocolate pudding.


??????

Stay nice, Preston.

------------------------------------

Of course, the CBO projections of the damage to the economy have now grown to be more than twice as negative as they were a year ago, but they could get even worse. For instance, the CBO assumes that Ocare will enroll 6 million folks this year, just short of the 7 million person target. But the BO people say that only 3 million have signed up so far on the website, and the number who have actually paid for Ocare and are officially enrolled remains a closely guarded secret.

If the enrollment numbers don't hit the CBO target number of 6 million, then the CBO economic projections for Ocare will have to be downgraded once again.

And the current projections don't include potential problems from the business mandate in Ocare. O has now postponed this for another 2 years, but eventually it will kick in too. I don't think O would've postponed this part of Ocare for three years if there weren't major problems with it as well.
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Re: Corp profits at new high, wages all time low

Unread postby phaster » Wed 19 Feb 2014, 21:43:01

the simple reason corporations have generated record profits is because they produce a product that is in great demand by the public at large and by using technology it enables corporations to produce more product with fewer workers

hence "Corp profits at new high, wages all time low"

QED

the big question that needs to be addressed is what can be done to "educated" displaced workers so they can create products that would generate "profits" in the marketplace all w/in the context of ever diminishing natural resources and also give "workers" a sense of respect/responsibility

I had that answer to that question I'd win the nobel prize in both peace and economics!




$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'T')hese charts tell you everything ya need to know..

Corporate profits:

Image

Wages:

Image

Worst employment number in 30 years:

Image
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