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Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 09:24:31

The parrallels are noteworthy between fish harvest and oil......using more and more sophisticated technology to find the fish, going deeper, moving from higher valued species to less as the stocks are depleted. There is an economic tipping point where harvests will decline beyond the point to make it worthwhile.

It is not hard to forecast the combination of limited harvests of our seas and land while climate change and fresh water depletion cause havoc.

Folks, this is no longer an abstract issue 40 years out. It is at our doorstep. Tragic that we had to allow consequences to arrive before intelligent mitigation but those are the facts.

The time window is now shortening when consequences start to bite. BAU complacency is about to meet with ever tightenging constraints and consequences. No one can say exactly when but we are within the window now when serious planning should be underway.

The young will inherit these consequences and the task of responding to them.

The only glimmer of hope in all of this is perhaps that young adults who will pass their most productive years facing these consequences have been raised with many more doubts regarding the resiliency of the status quo and compared to our generations, and may be suprisingly willing to confront change.

The biodiversity lost due to our ignorance and hubris will be a lasting legacy. So that they have not died in vane let us hope that this awful legacy is written in the future scriptures of sustainability as a warning.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby americandream » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 09:34:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')he only glimmer of hope in all of this is perhaps that young adults who will pass their most productive years facing these consequences have been raised with many more doubts regarding the resiliency of the status quo and compared to our generations, may be suprisingly willing to confront change.


What's lacking is a clinical understanding of the system. Its nuts and bolts so to speak, its mechanics. Why it is that despite being aware of what we are doing, we get up each morning and send off these massive privately owned ships into the vast oceans to scoop up finite fish stocks. Why, despite being obsessive about cigarette smoke, we nonchalantly surround ourselves with other toxins.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 09:38:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')he only glimmer of hope in all of this is perhaps that young adults who will pass their most productive years facing these consequences have been raised with many more doubts regarding the resiliency of the status quo and compared to our generations, may be suprisingly willing to confront change.


What's lacking is a clinical understanding of the system. Its nuts and bolts so to speak, its mechanics. Why it is that despite being aware of what we are doing, we get up each morning and send off these massive privately owned ships into the vast oceans to scoop up finite fish stocks. Why, despite being obsessive about cigarette smoke, we nonchalantly surround ourselves with other toxins.


It is hubris AD. Hubris makes you selectively apply your intelligence. Several generations of abundance with the illusion of being in control has caused this hubris. Think about it. What consequences have appeared in your and my lifetime to really challenge this ignorant hubris..... none that I can think of.

And yes, we fasten the seat belts and put on the bicycle helmets on the children who will inherit this mess.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby americandream » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 09:46:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', 'T')he only glimmer of hope in all of this is perhaps that young adults who will pass their most productive years facing these consequences have been raised with many more doubts regarding the resiliency of the status quo and compared to our generations, may be suprisingly willing to confront change.


What's lacking is a clinical understanding of the system. Its nuts and bolts so to speak, its mechanics. Why it is that despite being aware of what we are doing, we get up each morning and send off these massive privately owned ships into the vast oceans to scoop up finite fish stocks. Why, despite being obsessive about cigarette smoke, we nonchalantly surround ourselves with other toxins.


It is hubris AD. Hubris makes you selectively apply your intelligence. Several generations of abundance with the illusion of being in control has caused this hubris. Think about it. What consequences have appeared in your and my lifetime to really challenge this ignorant hubris..... none that I can think of.

And yes, we fasten the seat belts and put on the bicycle helmets on the children who will inherit this mess.


There is also a great deal of levelling distraction out there. The progressive youth culture of the '60's has been waylaid in the levelling of youth to a common inconsequential denominator. A youth whose political profile is a jumbled mix of new age romanticism and a strong dose of self-obsession.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 09:56:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '.') A youth whose political profile is a jumbled mix of new age romanticism and a strong dose of self-obsession.


Consequences take care of that also. This is only a variation of hubris.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby americandream » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 10:06:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '.') A youth whose political profile is a jumbled mix of new age romanticism and a strong dose of self-obsession.


Consequences take care of that also. This is only a variation of hubris.


It's important the recognise that narcissistic individualism is a function of capital's social relations. It is unpleasant to look at but the arrogance is a necessary element in a consumer culture based on multi-layered individualism. Unfortunately this knowledge does not get us much further but it is a useful shield against the insidious elements of this system.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 13:58:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', '&')quot;I would tell him to get out now! "


I think whether it is a good idea depends on the insurance that he has. If it covers a total loss then given the cash flow is very good in the positive, it may still be a good investment.
Can you even get total loss insurance there?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')ven the scientists have stopped arguing. Florida Bay is, for all intents and purposes, converted to a blighted remnant that mainly hosts scavenger species. There are still a few trophies left. They are bewildered stragglers. Just go to a few restaurants in the Keys to see the photos on the walls — like the Square Grouper on Summerland Key or Stouts on Marathon Key — to see what was only a generation ago.

As those early algae blooms were canaries in a coal mine to the fate of Florida Bay, so is the degradation of our coastal waters in Florida a canary in the coal mine for land-based natural resources. The state, recently claimed the third most populous in the United States, is awash in a sea of pollution — the toxic form of mercury flows in the middle of the Everglades in degrees that make it one of the world’s hot spots. In other words, the canaries in the coal mine are everywhere.

Superstorm Sandy. Ice storms, now, through much of the nation depriving millions of electricity while serial cold fronts sweep through. And in Miami? Just yesterday I had the AC repair out: the humidity busted my air conditioner. I asked the repair guy had his business ever been so good in December? He just shook his head. The other day I asked a motel owner in the Keys, have sea levels been rising? He confided, I’m a climate change denier until I sell my property.
http://www.counterpunch.org/2014/01/01/ ... -to-roost/
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Lore » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 15:04:31

Forget private insurers in the next decade for Florida, or for that matter most coastal areas subject to inundation. The first thing that will push people off the coastlands is the lack of money to rebuild after storms. For the government to back up flood insurance it would require a commitment like both wars in the Middle East with associated costs and in the end would ultimately end up being a losing battle.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 17:47:46

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/0 ... -deep-sea/

Climate Change Will Starve The Deep Sea, Study Finds


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ow does climate change cause such devastation in one of the most remote places on the planet? Unfortunately for deep-sea creatures, which might seem isolated, all of the ocean’s ecosystems are profoundly intertwined. Life on the ocean floor depends on the steady rain of dead marine life from the surface waters. And all marine life ultimately depends on phytoplankton, the microscopic plants that drift in the sunlit surface waters. Phytoplankton are expected to be hit hard by climate change, which is leading to greater stratification of the oceans. When the water column mixes less, because of sharp differences in salinity and temperature at different depths, the key nutrients phytoplankton need to grow stay locked at the bottom of the ocean. Fewer phytoplankton in turn lead to less food on the ocean floor and a sharp reduction in deep-sea life.

Dr. Jones explained that a lot of the most commercially important species found at the bottom of the oceans won’t be missed at grocery stores or on menus.

“A lot of what is harvested from the sea floor actually ends up in fish meal so people aren’t familiar with those species” said Dr. Jones. “But orange roughy, blue ling and scabbard are all fish species that frequently end up on plates.”

Much of what will be lost in the deep sea as less food filters down, however, are species which no one has heard of, because they have yet to be discovered.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 17:52:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'F')orget private insurers in the next decade for Florida, or for that matter most coastal areas subject to inundation. The first thing that will push people off the coastlands is the lack of money to rebuild after storms. For the government to back up flood insurance it would require a commitment like both wars in the Middle East with associated costs and in the end would ultimately end up being a losing battle.


It is the economic consequences rather than death toll which should be the game changer. The last 100 odd years had many devestating hurricanes starting with the 1900 Galveston Texas where 12000 died. Not even half that number died during hurricane Haiyan in the Phillipines. Neither Katrina, Sandy, Camille, Andrew or Hugo came anywhere near that although these later storms where economically devestating. If Florida gets hit with a mega storm in high density infrastructure it is not only the coastal area that is at sea level but several miles inland is still only a couple feet above sea level. And then you have the Everglades.

Disclaimer: I own two rental properties right off the New River in a historical neighborhood near downtown Fort Lauderdale. The income of these two properties finances a big part of our living expenses that our project in Panama doesn't cover. at what point I will sell is still a pending issue. I am not concerned for the immediate future although every Aug-Oct my visits to the National Hurricane Center website is a daily routine.

It will be very interesting to observe the first huge consequence of a devestated coastal area where the decision will be made not to rebuild and hundreds of thousands will be permanently relocated. This would be a game changing consequence.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 18:01:51

Ibon,

I detect a wee bit of unusual urgency in your writing. Is there something that has disturbed you or is it just kinda getting a bit too much to contemplate in general?

BTW, we also have rental properties. 4 apartment brownstone, we live in one. About 35 ASL in Philadelphia. I think we have plenty of time given sea level rise. I suspect that the rush into the cities as a location of last resort will drive up the price of the house, making it a hedge against inflation. Or so I hope.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby americandream » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 18:06:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'I')bon,

I detect a wee bit of unusual urgency in your writing. Is there something that has disturbed you or is it just kinda getting a bit too much to contemplate in general?

BTW, we also have rental properties. 4 apartment brownstone, we live in one. About 35 ASL in Philadelphia. I think we have plenty of time given sea level rise. I suspect that the rush into the cities as a location of last resort will drive up the price of the house, making it a hedge against inflation. Or so I hope.


Given the speed at which our toxic way of life is entrenching itself in the rest of the world's billions, we are quickly moving off the handle onto the knife's edge. There is cause to be alarmed, I would say.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 18:45:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'I')bon,

I detect a wee bit of unusual urgency in your writing. Is there something that has disturbed you or is it just kinda getting a bit too much to contemplate in general?



I can't predict any better than anyone else when we will see a punctuated event that will disrupt the plateau and apparently resilient status quo but like everyone here I share the existential dilemma. One moment I think of my daughters, the next on my assets, my security in old age, the very fragile nature of the global economic system, my emotional and economic exposure to disruptions on three continents, etc. Lately I sense more that we are nearing an inflection point. I have been up in the US since December and head back down to Panama in a couple of days.

I notice that when I am away from the mountains and immersed more in the collective psyche of America that I incorporate the angst I feel around me and this causes me to see the world from a more worried place.

This usually dissapears when I climb that 4WD road and draw from a collective made up of pristine forest creatures :) I am only partially joking. There is something intangible in the air in natural areas untouched by the human hand. Up in the mountains I do not fear death since I am whole and more integrated in the natural world. Fear of death and insecurity happens when your relationship to nature becomes abstract. Fortunately in North America there is still a lot of vast open spaces where one can find these John Muir moments :)

The vast majority of humans stay glued like JB Weld to their collective social world views, never stepping out to experience a deeper communion with the natural world. It explains a big part of Kudzu Ape's dysfunctional relationship with the biosphere. And the percentage of urban and digital dwellers only increases with time.
Grave misanthropic cynical feelings arise when I contemplate too much on that.

Time to get back to the woods
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 20:33:50

"Up in the mountains I do not fear death"

I got the same sense when I used to go up into the Rockies. These days, I'd be happy for any relatively painless means of moving over to the other side.

"It will be very interesting to observe the first huge consequence of a devestated coastal area where the decision will be made not to rebuild and hundreds of thousands will be permanently relocated. This would be a game changing consequence."

Didn't Katrina permanently displace tens of thousands?
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 22:36:04

Yeah, I really like visiting really small, out of the way places. Been to a few land locked towns under 300 population. Not that I would fit in there, but I like visiting. Dad had a hunting cabin he'd go to for a few weeks when he retired. He used to say "Even Jesus needed to go to the mountain to think."
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 02 Jan 2014, 22:45:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', '
')
Didn't Katrina permanently displace tens of thousands?


Yes. And caused billions of dollars in damage. The early strikes of the chisel on the stone. It left some impressions that linger until today. It will be referenced when joined with other similar events.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Fri 03 Jan 2014, 03:53:27

Nice metaphor. I do wonder how easily these things can become 'normalized.' Will it just become almost expected that every year or two a major city gets nearly obliterated? Hard to imagine, I know, but people get numb to just about anything.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 03 Jan 2014, 16:45:59

Cool, I'll take that!
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Sat 04 Jan 2014, 11:25:10

I wonder what it is that is mostly causing this acidity? Perhaps some kinds of acids are less damaging than others??
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