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Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 14:40:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he indigenous peoples of North and South America were much better at protecting the environment and handing a sustainable world to their descendants than the Europeans ever have been. Partly why the Europeans had to branch out to enlarge their planet scorching economic/political schemes, because Europe wasn't large enough by the 15th century for all of it to fit in.


Religious ideologies.

FYI: There is NO god in the Bible.......

2.- The Omnipotent, Omniscient, Spiritual God The Roman Catholic Church and the Protestant Churches ascribe to "God" these attributes:

 "God" is Omnipotent - having unlimited power
 "God" is Omniscient - having infinite knowledge
 "God" is Omnipresent - being present everywhere
 "God" is Omnibenevolent - being perfect goodness
 "God" is Eternal - he lives forever
 "God" is a Spiritual, Transcendent Being

In his thorough analysis of the ancient Hebrew Masoretic text, Mr. XXXXX has found that nowhere in the Bible it is spoken about any Omnipotent, Omniscient and Eternal God. The Bible speaks of a group of flesh and bones individuals, called the Elohim. The word Elohim was translated as "God" both in the Catholic Bible, both in the King James version. It is a wrong translation.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Strummer » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 15:12:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('clif', 'T')he indigenous peoples of North and South America were much better at protecting the environment and handing a sustainable world to their descendants than the Europeans ever have been.


Well, they had no choice but to try live sustainably, after their ancestors slaughtered all the megafauna. They did not live sustainably out of choice, but because their ecosystems and nutrient cycles were stretched to the limits.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 15:17:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Strummer', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('clif', 'T')he indigenous peoples of North and South America were much better at protecting the environment and handing a sustainable world to their descendants than the Europeans ever have been.


Well, they had no choice but to try live sustainably, after their ancestors slaughtered all the megafauna. They did not live sustainably out of choice, but because their ecosystems and nutrient cycles were stretched to the limits.


WRONG, you have been reading more of the Vatican hisStory books, eh
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 15:51:08

S said: "their ecosystems and nutrient cycles were stretched to the limits."

And because they lived mostly in relatively small-scales societies. Today's global industrial society can go to the depths of the earth, to the bottom of the ocean, and to any part of the globe to extract the resources it needs to keep its unsustainable obsessions going.

If you are limited to a local or even regional scope of resources, the consequences of your over-exploitation of those resources comes back to bite you fairly quickly. While that may collapse the immediate environment (the US SW is apparently in a much more impoverished state ecologically than before its over-exploitation by the Anasazi.

When that unsustainable system collapsed, much brutality, including cannibalism, ensued.

Most small- to mid-scale cultures that have survived any length of time either never overstepped the boundaries of what their immediate environment could sustain, or (more often) have learned, often through very brutal lessons, the importance of now living within the limits that their predecessors exceeded.

(Thanks to all for not ftt.)
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Lore » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 20:44:15

Our fragile technology gives us a false sense of security. As the saying goes; "the bigger they are the harder they fall". While as a well oiled collective we are capable of plumbing the great depths of our resources, it only takes the removal of a few well placed corner stones to bring the whole house of cards down. At which point, techno naked, we'll be worse off then our ancestors were with even less tools to work with and fewer of the necessaries of life to be had. This is why humanity needs to be prepared for episodes of soul crunching, gut flipping, cliff diving panic in the future.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 21:14:03

Nice points, L. Speaking of Apocolypse, here's an oldie (over a year old :) ) but goodie (in a doomy way):

http://www.scientificamerican.com/artic ... urn&page=1

Apocalypse Soon:
Has Civilization Passed the Environmental Point of No Return?


There's good news here--that is for people who like bad news.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Lore » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 22:45:12

That article probably best coincides with my timeline.

Unlike our forefathers, when they came up against it, they could always run further down the road, or move to a virgin continent to exploit what's there. Now, there's no where to run and not even anywhere to hide from what's coming. Depleation of our great oceans is only one of the many converging problems we face.

Yes, just another 25 years or so before the pain really becomes critical.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby americandream » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 23:10:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'T')hat article probably best coincides with my timeline.

Unlike our forefathers, when they came up against it, they could always run further down the road, or move to a virgin continent to exploit what's there. Now, there's no where to run and not even anywhere to hide from what's coming. Depleation of our great oceans is only one of the many converging problems we face.

Yes, just another 25 years or so before the pain really becomes critical.


As nations rapidly sign up to infinite growth (some at breakneck speed like China), I think this planet is very quickly going to turn pretty hellish. I'ld say, come next Xmas, things are going to start appearing very gloomy. Unfortunately, we few are on our own as the happily consuming majority are essentially, insane. Not a nice position to be in, a very lonely one in fact. I am tossing up whether to say fuck it and play hard or drop out.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Synapsid » Sun 29 Dec 2013, 23:17:39

For all:

Here's a fairly new book that I recommend:

Thirst--Water and Power in the Ancient World. The author is Steven Mithen, a British archaeologist who is a very fine writer. He writes in part from his own research.

An earlier book of Mithen's, After the Ice, A Global Human History 20 000 - 5000BC, gives a broader context for the later volume.

There is a fine book, edited by David Lentz, titled Imperfect Balance: Landscape Transformations in the Precolumbian Americas. The papers included draw mostly on palaeoenvironmental reconstruction and archaeology, and give an idea of just how widely different cultures in the Americas varied in how well they worked with their environments. Some flourished, but not all.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby WildRose » Mon 30 Dec 2013, 00:51:40

Thanks for posting that presentation, dohboi.

Things are actually worse than I thought they were for the ecosystems in our oceans.

Jeremy Jackson speaks about "putting the genie back in the bottle" (fossil fuels) as probably the most important step we can take to not only try and save the oceans but also to mitigate all of the climate change/environmental challenges we're facing. So sad - our future hinges on reducing fossil fuel use and here we are, building Keystone and planning for Gateway and the future quadrupling of tar sands production, along with expansion of coal mines in China, etc., etc.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby onlooker » Mon 30 Dec 2013, 04:05:24

I think those who have analyzed the whole picture of the environmental apocalypse which is happening and is rapidly worsening reach the same conclusion, namely what some term bottleneck or culling of the herd. Given the population size , the increasing scarcity
of critical resources, namely water, energy and thus food it is quite evident that one way or the other large amounts of persons probably will perish in this century or coming decades in various ways. As discussed on the Environment forum of all the threats we face perhaps none is as frightening and daunting as AGW. Yet, other threats stand ready to rear their ugly heads. I refer everyone to an author-scientist who summarizes our predicament also very well whose name is Paul Ehrlich. In conclusion, this reality however distressing or disturbing cannot be ignored or over-exaggerated. :o
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby onlooker » Mon 30 Dec 2013, 04:08:16

Oh and I left out the precarious condition of our ecosystems and not just the ocean. !
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Graeme » Tue 31 Dec 2013, 02:41:13

Major reductions in seafloor marine life from climate change by 2100

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') new study quantifies for the first time future losses in deep-sea marine life, using advanced climate models. Results show that even the most remote deep-sea ecosystems are not safe from the impacts of climate change.

An international team of scientists predict seafloor dwelling marine life will decline by up to 38 per cent in the North Atlantic and over five per cent globally over the next century. These changes will be driven by a reduction in the plants and animals that live at the surface of the oceans that feed deep-sea communities. As a result, ecosystem services such as fishing will be threatened.

In the study, led by the National Oceanography Centre, the team used the latest suite of climate models to predict changes in food supply throughout the world oceans. They then applied a relationship between food supply and biomass calculated from a huge global database of marine life.

The results of the study are published this week in the scientific journal Global Change Biology.


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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dinopello » Tue 31 Dec 2013, 14:03:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Graeme', '[')b]Major reductions in seafloor marine life from climate change by 2100


By 2100 much of the coastline of Florida will be submerged and maybe all that man-made structure underwater will provide a habitat for some additional marine life. Not a fix, but maybe a silver lining.

Image

Jackson holds hope (such as he has) that the eventual destruction of a major coastal city will wake people up. Given the gradual nature of the rise that is most likely to occur due to a discrete weather event. The milestone would be a severely damaged city that is not rebuilt. When will that first happen ?

I have a friend that a few years ago bought a vacation/investment property on Key Cudjoe. It was during the real estate crash (bought on the way down) and he is about 100K "underwater" on the mortgage but is making a decent return on the rentals and the assessments are on the rise for the last 2 years. I wonder at what point that kind of property will be very hard to sell.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Lore » Tue 31 Dec 2013, 15:31:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', '
')
By 2100 much of the coastline of Florida will be submerged and maybe all that man-made structure underwater will provide a habitat for some additional marine life. Not a fix, but maybe a silver lining.


I would suspect that the oceans will be pretty sick by that time with many places almost devoid of marine life. I can only imagine that the seeping cesspool of underwater toxins being emitted from a submerged Miami metropolitan area and Florida in general would only add to aquatic destruction.

Image

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'J')ackson holds hope (such as he has) that the eventual destruction of a major coastal city will wake people up. Given the gradual nature of the rise that is most likely to occur due to a discrete weather event. The milestone would be a severely damaged city that is not rebuilt. When will that first happen ?


I believe it will happen as soon as storm surges become more frequent and flood much of the populated areas to the extent where the water does not retreat, and in the case of Florida, the ground water becomes contaminated. This will plummet property values to worthless and it will either mean relocation by mandate or if no authority is left to act, you're on your own to find higher ground.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'I') have a friend that a few years ago bought a vacation/investment property on Key Cudjoe. It was during the real estate crash (bought on the way down) and he is about 100K "underwater" on the mortgage but is making a decent return on the rentals and the assessments are on the rise for the last 2 years. I wonder at what point that kind of property will be very hard to sell.


I would tell him to get out now! At best he may be only ten years away and a storm or two from real estate collapse in the Keys. I looked it up and Cudjoe is only a few inches above sea level.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby vision-master » Tue 31 Dec 2013, 16:12:38

Ok Lore, I'm assuming, being so concerned, A - you are living off the grid, B - you don't own any cars and C - your life's work is to address and inform as many people as possible about the coming doom?

The reality most likely is, you live just like any other upper middle class person.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Wed 01 Jan 2014, 19:48:27

"I would tell him to get out now! "

Good idea. There is no way to build an effective sea wall around the area. Not only is it just too massive, the bedrock underneath it is completely porous--the water will just seep under and around it.

Miami Beach is just one good storm surge away from being ocean. Miami itself is about the same away from becoming an island.

(Don't you hate it when @-holes assume that everyone else is as much of an @-hole as they are?)
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dinopello » Wed 01 Jan 2014, 20:28:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', '&')quot;I would tell him to get out now! "

Good idea. There is no way to build an effective sea wall around the area. Not only is it just too massive, the bedrock underneath it is completely porous--the water will just seep under and around it.


I think whether it is a good idea depends on the insurance that he has. If it covers a total loss then given the cash flow is very good in the positive, it may still be a good investment. The place rents for something like $3000+/week and he has had it booked pretty solid the last couple years.

Took a trip down there a couple years ago to stay at his place and fish in the gulf. We caught lots of dolphin fish, no grouper or anything else. Grouper is probably my favorite fish.

Another of my favorite fish that I discovered in the early 90's after college is Orange Roughy. It's one of those that is caught by deep water bottom trawling and was pretty common in the 90's. I stopped seeking it out when I became more aware of sustainability issues, but recently I was making a point to see if I could even find it - I couldn't up here in Virginia but I did see it in Florida about a year ago (Publix I think). Bottom trawling really should be criminal. Here's what the Orange Roughy harvest has looked like:

Image

I'd like to think the peak occurred due to demand destruction as people became more aware of the issues, but I think it's the over-fishing destroying the species.
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby dohboi » Wed 01 Jan 2014, 20:38:51

Thanks for that graph, dino. Fits pretty well with what I've seen for many other large fish, for example, graphs # 7-10 here:

http://www.desdemonadespair.net/2013/12 ... -2013.html
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Re: Ocean Apocolypse--Jeremy Jackson

Unread postby Newfie » Wed 01 Jan 2014, 21:32:47

Fish, whales, sea birds, seals, walrus....then you get to land...

Read Mowat "Sea of Slaughter." Disgusting.
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