Ok, here's a good example of what goes on with bitcoin. It was at 1200 yesterday, now today dropping almost $200. Probably on some negative news out of China that the government "doesn't consider bitcoin a real currency" and is barring banks from offering bitcoin services.
But they're not forbidding people buying bitcoin, and far as I know using it as payment.
Source:
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303497804579239451297424842So it's like a penny stock or something with potential but so volatile, one piece of bad news sends it plunging, some good news sends it soaring. I think if you wanted some objective analysis what you'd want to look at is volume and look at total numbers, and graphs on that and where that's going, from what I read bitcoin has "intense demand" among the Chinese.
There is definitely staying power now though, you can look at this very website and right next to the paypal there's a donate with bitcoin button.
So that's the deal with these things, it's like a volatile tech stock that you know is going somewhere yet it's going to be rocky, like I said before don't buy at 1,000 watch it for a while there'd be a dip coming -- so here's a dip. Some bad news comes out, that could be time to buy, then good news comes out, it soars, then it's a sell.
Just my take, the main thing to watch with it is CHINA and the numbers of people buying it and use as payment spreading. At this point no government is going to ban these, it's too wide spread now, what will happen is they'll figure out a way to regulate. Regulation actually sends the price higher, as regulation means acceptance and wider use.
As number of bitcoins get mined, the numbers get harder to discover, bigger computing systems needed. Here's a super mining facility in Hong Kong using innovative liquid cooling:
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The secret Hong Kong facility that uses boiling goo to mine Bitcoins
The mine is the size of a shipping container, and filled with 1-meter-high glass tanks in which banks of blades are immersed in roiling liquid. Each tank can hold 92 blades; the blades themselves are kept at a temperature of 37 degrees Celsius or below by "open bath immersion" technology. Open bath immersion cools computer components by submersing them in liquid with a particularly low boiling point. The heat the components generate mining for coins boils the liquid, causing it to turn gaseous, rise up to a condenser at the top of the tank, and fall once again, removing heat from the components in the process. The ASICMINER open bath immersion system was reportedly built by Hong Kong-based company Allied Control, and operates at a Power Usage Effectiveness of 1.02, which "would make it one of the most efficient designs in the world."
The cooling system is state of the art, but Cao reports that the mine uses common equipment — including racks and valves — found "in local markets easily." This enabled ASICMINER to build its facility quickly and comparatively cheaply before setting it to its mining task. The tanks, when filled with 92 circuit boards, cooling liquid, and an array of racks and rails, each weigh about 200 kilograms. They're pushed into place by a forklift truck.
http://www.theverge.com/2013/12/2/5165428/bitcoin-mine-in-hong-kong-uses-jelly-to-keep-coolI also saw a story about a "IT professional" who threw his hard drive out in the trash by accident and it had like 7,500 bitcoins he mined for kicks back in 2009 and forgot about, now they are worth $7.5 million. He didn't have a backup.