Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

GPT4 Artificial Intelligence Online

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby vision-master » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 10:11:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n a brain, on the other hand, the physical substrate is itself charged with electric pulses. Thus, the physical object and the electricity are "one." The brain becomes aware because the physical substrate is itself "electrified."


Our entire body and mind operate through DRUGS.
vision-master
 

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby vision-master » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 10:12:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Rune', 'M')ost certainly everyone will be wrong about it in one way or another because eventually machine intelligence will create its own evolutionary growth path - at first, mostly coming from human inputs but, increasingly, taking on design jobs for the NEXT generation of intelligent or near-intelligent machines.

and no one can tell where this evolution will lead.


Most likely it will lead to de- evolution for mankind.

Then again, I equate evolution a religion much as creationism.
vision-master
 

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby dorlomin » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 10:17:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'A') 2 stroke lawnmower with a small degree of sentience

Sentience is "self awareness". Computers are a very very very long way away from that.
User avatar
dorlomin
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 5193
Joined: Sun 05 Aug 2007, 03:00:00

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby vision-master » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 10:31:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dorlomin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeaGypsy', 'A') 2 stroke lawnmower with a small degree of sentience

Sentience is "self awareness". Computers are a very very very long way away from that.


Without language would we have self awareness?
vision-master
 
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby dorlomin » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 11:10:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', '
')Without language would we have self awareness?

Yes, some animals show self awareness. The 'mirror test' for example is used to see if an animal can understand that what it sees in the mirror is itself. Humans, chimps, orang-outangs and elephants all pass the test.

Children start identifying the person in the mirror as themselves at about 18 months.
User avatar
dorlomin
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 5193
Joined: Sun 05 Aug 2007, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby dinopello » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 11:55:29

As a person in the AI biz, I have to say these things hold great promise and well-funded research is important to advance humanity's legacy.

Image

:lol:
User avatar
dinopello
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6088
Joined: Fri 13 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: The Urban Village

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby Rune » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 14:21:47

There is a demonstrable progression of macghine intelligence. You don't have to define "intelligence" as self-awareness in the way human beings characterize themselves as self-aware.

If you can design a sophisticed system which uses algorithms to duplicate a previously only intellectualactivity, then that is machine intelligence - because it has the capacity to do things that previously onlty human beings could do.

Like self-driving cars - a present reality. They are not self-aware but they drive themselves around pretty damn impressively well. And one can easily see by looking at the progression (or evolution) of self-driving cars, that they will become even more capable and sophisticated and eventually will put a whole lot of people out of work.

Even by the 2020s or 2030s, self-driving cars will not be self-aware. Nevertheless, most probably you will be able to call one up by thinking a thought on your cell-phone implant, and it will take you where you want to go with a 99.999% probability of a safe trip.

There really is no rigorous philosophical definition of "self-aware". It is a subjective thing which we human beings feel about ourselves and others.

But people can easily be wrong about themselves in a variety of ways for a variety of reasons and have absolutely no clue that they are wrong or why. That is not exactly self-awareness. It's a fact of human existence.
It takes courage to watch a film so well-done as September 11 - The New Pearl Harbor. You will never be the same. It is a new release. Five hours. Watch it on YouTube for free.
User avatar
Rune
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 781
Joined: Tue 25 Mar 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby vision-master » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 15:59:23

vision-master
 

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby dorlomin » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 16:17:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Rune', 'T')here is a demonstrable progression of macghine intelligence. You don't have to define "intelligence" as self-awareness in the way human beings characterize themselves as self-aware.
Cockroaches.

I mentioned them earlier.

We have no computer that is anywhere near the information processing ability of a cockroach. Even the ability to walk is just about being mastered, let alone trying to live in the complex world of sight, smell, sound plus movement that a cockroach can achieve.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you can design a sophisticed system which uses algorithms to duplicate a previously only intellectualactivity, then that is machine intelligence - because it has the capacity to do things that previously onlty human beings could do.
Playing chess is not intelligent behaviour. Its number crunching.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')ike self-driving cars - a present reality. They are not self-aware but they drive themselves around pretty damn impressively well.
We have had driverless trains for decades. Cars have been able to drive round tracks for years. Just add a collision avoidance radar and you have a basic car that could do streets.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')ven by the 2020s or 2030s, self-driving cars will not be self-aware. Nevertheless, most probably you will be able to call one up by thinking a thought on your cell-phone implant,
Have you confused a peak oil website with a Star Trek one?

Thought implant cell phones in 7 years? Can you even code in BASIC?
User avatar
dorlomin
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 5193
Joined: Sun 05 Aug 2007, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby vision-master » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 16:22:47

Machine Intelligence still relies on 0's and 1's.
vision-master
 

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby Rune » Sat 02 Nov 2013, 16:47:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'M')achine Intelligence still relies on 0's and 1's.


Let me repeat: machine intelligence is not defined as self-aware machines.

Not anymore than Intelligence as a term used by the CIA refers to self-awareness. It is just the ability of machines to do something that previously only a human could do using human perception and awareness.

Deep Blue or IBM Watson are not self-aware anymore than Google self-driving cars are self-aware. But these machines exist and there is a progression of sophistication in their development.

The IBM Watson system is predicted to be used in the Medical and Legal professions and could largely displace a lot work that people now do. The IBM Watson is not self-aware. But it is machine intelligence.
It takes courage to watch a film so well-done as September 11 - The New Pearl Harbor. You will never be the same. It is a new release. Five hours. Watch it on YouTube for free.
User avatar
Rune
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 781
Joined: Tue 25 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby evilgenius » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 12:45:35

I think it's been known for some time that AI was not going to have success mimicking the human brain. Scientists, like Marvin Minsky, tried that for years and came away realizing that they would have more success just trying to get the same results that human intelligence produced rather than trying to make computers that think like people.

What is really going on here is a failure to admit the old Socratic saw: the more we know only makes us realize how much we don't know. We humans tend to rather arrogantly stride about attempting to implement our learned knowledge while only really having an outline of what is going on. Our physics knows so much, but it still can't say what energy is. If it could it would be well on the way to reconciling general relativity and gravity. We think we are self-aware, that is we think we know who we are, so we launch an attempt to mimic that model computationally. Of course, we failed.

I am taken aback by the machine learning example and its similarity to what humans actually do, learn by example. We spend the first so many years taking things in, while our brains develop in relation to that stimuli. During our early years we pattern ourselves after our parents, to an extent. A lot of that patterning may be according to Jungian archetypes. Very soon we discover our peers and a process of trying to discover a norm sets in. Most of us are slaves to this norm.

You can go on and on about free will, but its essence is determined in the propensity, by degree or outright, for the thought constructs we develop to go against our own self-interest as explicitly determined. Morality does not further one's self, except insofar as it latches onto the probability that the wisdom behind the morality may increase our chances for survival. Most people cheat on morality where they can and it doesn't compromise the wisdom behind the morality. Free will doesn't cheat. So far no one has mentioned machine thinking that can, or will ever, do that.
User avatar
evilgenius
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3730
Joined: Tue 06 Dec 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Stopped at the Border.

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby AgentR11 » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 13:19:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Rune', 'E')ven by the 2020s or 2030s, self-driving cars will not be self-aware. Nevertheless, most probably you will be able to call one up by thinking a thought on your cell-phone implant,


I think you're missing the boat, implants sound exciting to the sci-fi and UN conspiracy buffs; but just think for a moment. You're talking about a surgical technique. Even if the tech was done and ready, TODAY, you could barely get approval of the procedure on humans by 2030. And then, you'd be stuck with 2030's tech, inside your body, in 2040. I don't know about you, but I don't want anything to do with the handheld gear I carried in 2003; I certainly don't want 10 year old tech on my CNS. Not to mention surgeons generally want about a grand to even look sideways at a scalpel...

Cellphones, smartphones really, are headed in the right direction. Currently, my samsung Note 2 and 10.1 can do speech and handwriting recognition. They're not terribly good at it, but not bad either. My wife was playing with it in Chinese, Thai, and Japanese the other night. Works pretty darn well, but her handwriting is quite accurate and unfluffy. Mine looks like an insane monkey on crack with a leaky pen, so I'll stick with keyboard to avoid humiliation. Voice works well as long as there isn't external noise; in the truck with the window down, its hopeless, even though another human passenger can understand me well enough. So got a ways to go. Over time, I think interface stays on the device, visual and auditory, if you need privacy of commands for something, you can always wait and type.

Something else to consider... I'm sure other doomers would have this problem as well, do you really want a computer monitoring your thoughts when you relax mental discipline and your mind strays to truly dark and horrific places? No thanks.
Yes we are, as we are,
And so shall we remain,
Until the end.
AgentR11
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6589
Joined: Tue 22 Mar 2011, 09:15:51
Location: East Texas
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby Rune » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 16:24:54

Well, then don't get an implant. And don't ride in a driverless car.

For example, I never get my fingernails done, even though I could if I wanted to. And most certainly, there will be some automated way to get your fingernails done while being entertained somehow.

The pretty little Vietnamese girl who does them now? One day, my friend...one day...
It takes courage to watch a film so well-done as September 11 - The New Pearl Harbor. You will never be the same. It is a new release. Five hours. Watch it on YouTube for free.
User avatar
Rune
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 781
Joined: Tue 25 Mar 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 16:48:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '1')0 print "I am aware"
20 goto 10
run
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') am aware
I am aware
I am aware
I am aware
I am aware
I am aware
. . .
I imagine if one were to say it often enough it would become true


'Soft drivin', slow and mad, like some new language 8)
vision-master
 
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 18:24:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'L')OL Consider lawn-mowing: you sit back, Mai-tai in hand, admiring your brand new Small-Degree-of-Sentience X-1000 (tm) Craftsman Mower.

Robomow RL550
Image
Facebook knows you're a dog.
User avatar
Keith_McClary
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7344
Joined: Wed 21 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Suburban tar sands
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby vision-master » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 18:30:43

Just hire one of these guy's. :)

Image
vision-master
 

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 18:53:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'J')ust hire one of these guy's. :)

Image

Only in America.
Facebook knows you're a dog.
User avatar
Keith_McClary
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7344
Joined: Wed 21 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Suburban tar sands
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby Loki » Sun 03 Nov 2013, 19:18:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'T')he machine could easily know every human language word for "apple"; and still fail at knowing one apple vs one pear.

A harvesting robot doesn't really have to "know" the difference, it just has to be programmed to harvest the crop that's in the specific field it's being used in.

The "Apple Bot" is currently under development, by the way:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') Washington State University researcher has received a grant allowing him to develop an apple-picking robot....

Karkee envisions a prototype within three to five years and commercially available models within 10. His idea is of a robot reaching its dozen tentacles through the leaves of an apple tree to pick ripe fruit at four times the rate of humans.

- See more at: http://www.capitalpress.com/content/AP- ... RwGhX.dpuf


And here's a prototype strawberry robot:
Image

They're still working out the kinks, these aren't in the fields yet. But I can see the day when they will be. There are a lot of machine harvested crops already, of course, but no harvesting machines that could really be considered "robots" AFAIK.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') do wonder a bit if its really a worthwhile pursuit though; humans are cheap, 7 billion of us, many willing to work themselves to the bone for a couple bucks a day.

I have mixed feelings about this, at least when it comes to farm robots. These contraptions would only be used on the largest farms, farms that currently rely on an army of transient (mostly illegal) foreign workers. I think this labor system is rotten to the core. I'd be happy for this army to stay home. Besides, picking strawberries all day is fucking horrible.

On the other hand widespread robot harvesting would likely increase the size of farms and make them even more monocropped than they already are. Highly specialized equipment like the "Agrobot" or "Lettuce Bot" would require monocropping to make them worthwhile investments.

Smaller, highly diversified farms like the one I work on will likely never be fully mechanized. Capital constraints alone will prevent this. My boss can barely afford to fix the tractors he already has :lol:
A garden will make your rations go further.
User avatar
Loki
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 3509
Joined: Sat 08 Apr 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Oregon
Top

Re: Machine Intelligence Is Coming!

Unread postby MD » Mon 04 Nov 2013, 00:45:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'I')mpossible Loki. I worked a potato harvester on the picking table. I rather doubt a machine could distinguish and sort a dusty potato from dusty stone. And remove it in the same split second.


That task is very doable. I could do it with a few cameras, sensors, and a pick and place arm. It's done every day now in thousands of factories all over the world.

You are over your head on this one Pete... best to back away slowly.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
User avatar
MD
COB
COB
 
Posts: 4953
Joined: Mon 02 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: On the ball
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron