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Shocked. What do people do?

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Shocked. What do people do?

Postby syrac818 » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 17:55:49

Because seriously people, I think I'm going to need it. I don't what else to say besides this sucks...

Since discovering peak oil about three months ago, my life has not been the same. It pretty much dominates my entire outlook on life, and has left me in a whirlwind of anxiety, depression, curiosity, and fear. All in all, not the healthiest combo. I find myself reading many of the posts on here, and wondering, how does that person take such a objective view to the subject?

I would like to know what people do or what thoughts they have to help them move forward. For me, I have become involved in a local group, started organic gardening classes, and speaking to others about what we're facing here. While these things have been helpful, I'm wondering if anyone here has any suggestions.

Please don't make fun of me, and I'm sorry if it sounds like I'm trying to turn this into an online support group, but I really am struggling here...Can we make it out of this?
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Postby bruin » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 18:01:58

No problem making alchohol. You just won't be buying as many bottles from the far reaches of the globe.

In fact, I imagine many drugs will do quite well in a PO world. There will still be oil, just less of it. So we will choose what we really want and for many, that would be drugs and alchohol.
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Re: Can I make alcohol is a post carbon world?

Postby Hiderow » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 18:19:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', '
')Please don't make fun of me, and I'm sorry if it sounds like I'm trying to turn this into an online support group, but I really am struggling here...Can we make it out of this?

hehehe, of course we'll make it out, I'm not making fun of you but your on the right track, alcohol will be very important post peak, here in Ireland it'll probably be more important than food :lol:

hey, you just gave me an idea :!: I'll be a beer baron :twisted:
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Postby Ayoob » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 19:17:06

We get a thread like this every couple weeks or so. I think I started about a hundred of them myself. From where we are right now, it looks like we're pretty much Expletive deleted. .

The Powers that Be look forward to your future slavery with baited breath. Assuming you deserve slave status, of course.

The poor have it really really bad in other parts of the world. Hundreds of thousands of people, real human beings, die of starvation every month. The tsunami happens every month, only it's a tsunami of no food that hits those unfortunate enough to be born in the wrong place. Soon, that fate will belong to the poor here in the US. Thanks to our current political structure, we will have fat dogs and cats while children die of malnutrition before your very eyes.

I think the thing to know about this situation is that the people that die of starvation today are just as real as you are. If they could read English and get to a computer, they might post their last words in this thread, you know? This is not an illusion, it's real life and real death.

When I first started reading about this a couple years ago (omg has it really been that long yes it has), it seemed to me that oil would peak in production maybe as early as 2007 or 2008, something like that. As of this spring, it looks like the date of the peak has already passed and we are now on the very first lip of the decline. When will decline be visible? It could be as soon as the next time you refresh your cnn page or wherever you read your news. Could it be Thanksgiving Day 2005? Could be. Could it be not for another year or so? Maybe. Could it be sometime between now and 2008? In my own personal opinion, I think it's pretty damn likely.

If that's true, we have maybe on the outside two and a half years to completely reengineer society to value human life over money. Yeah.

On that note, I gotta say that every single day I live as though it was going to be the last day I spend in the opulent lifestyle to which I have become accustomed. I relish every moment as much as possible like the hedonist I am. Not going to get into the specifics of that here but you can guess.

In closing, prepare to kill your neighbors and steal their food. Also, buy a scooter. That is all.
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Postby syrac818 » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 19:40:35

Ummmmm....ok, that was really, really depressing. Is this the general feeling on here, that I will be sold into slavery assuming I am that lucky? Oh lord.
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Postby Ayoob » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 19:55:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', 'U')mmmmm....ok, that was really, really depressing. Is this the general feeling on here, that I will be sold into slavery assuming I am that lucky? Oh lord.


I only speak for myself.

One other thing. You know how to do anything useful?
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Re: Can I make alcohol is a post carbon world?

Postby MD » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 19:57:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', 'I') would like to know what people do or what thoughts they have to help them move forward.

You are looking to move forward, and have taken some steps in that direction. You should be encouraged by this alone. Some additional thoughts:

Focus on relationships. Happiness is found in relationships and community above all else, it really has little to do with the size of your TV, horsepower of your car, how many X boxes you own, or how high powered a career track you have established.

Focus on higher purpose for life. My own faith has carried me through many difficult times.

Live emotionally in the now, not in the future. Plan intellectually for the future, not emotionally.

The situation may not be as grim as some suppose, and there will almost certainly be pockets of sustainability that may be nearly untouched by unfolding events.

Plan accordingly, make the best long term plan you can, if it proves wrong, make sure you have people around you that you cherish, and make the best of what you have.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
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Postby LadyRuby » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 20:58:55

Syrc, I can totally relate. I also just REALLY came to understand oil peaking a few months ago and have also been somewhat obsessed. It feels kind of crazy, and yet I can see that a lot of quite smart people are predicting that things could get pretty ugly (and from what I've read it doesn't seem unreasonable to expect that). :(
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Postby NEOPO » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 21:57:09

Syrac,

decent article on yeast and winemaking:
winemaking

That which is about to be "taken" from us is something we never really had in the first place.
We wanted to believe that the energy to continue our modern unsustainable lifestyles was infinite or that with technology we would find a way to continue unabated.

Wake up neo...the matrix has you :)

There is only one goal - survival - secondary and yes intertwined with survival is procreation.

Humanity confuses need with want and somehow justifies an upside down list of priorities.

Hmmm its madness one might say.
What to do ....what to do?!?!?!?

Tell your friends and family as if you have suddenly found religion!!! :o
Yes they will think you are crazy but if you can get them to look and read the facts then the smart ones MAY see and help.
Tell your clients and associates but dont be surprised if they think you are nuts :roll:
I havent lost any business yet so I suppose they shrugged PO off well.
Save and plan - make changes that will make the transition easier for you and anyone willing to take this thing on seriously.
Group - have meetings - plan and follow through - this will help you with your "mind" at this time but nothing will ever make PO go away.


I dont think I will feel good until my garden and orchard are around 3-5 years old - in bloom, cut and canned in massive amounts stored inside our village community house where we have plenty of guns, dogs, nightvision goggles and other paramilitary devices weilded by very serious Savarian doomer types :shock: !!!

"Gooks in the garden!"
"God I love the smell of cow manure in the morning."

I cant wait for the first suit and tie type to come up our "holler" begging for food :lol:

"Nice rolex pilgrim" I will say :lol:


The world wont change until it is forced to.
I think the story of the Ant and the Grasshopper is very relevant 8)
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Re: Can I make alcohol is a post carbon world?

Postby ONeil » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 22:00:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', 'B')ecause seriously people, I think I'm going to need it. I don't what else to say besides this sucks...


Alcohol is not a problem. Alcohol is the byproduct created when yeast eat sugar. I'm not sure where I would get yeast if I had to start this from scratch in a post carbon scenario, but, the good news is that you can keep yeast and have yeast reproduce. So with proper care and handling you should be able to keep drinking. ;)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', '
')Since discovering peak oil about three months ago, my life has not been the same. It pretty much dominates my entire outlook on life, and has left me in a whirlwind of anxiety, depresion, curiosity, and fear. All in all, not the healthiest combo. I find myself reading many of the posts on here, and wondering, how does that person take such a objective view to the subject?

I would like to know what people do or what thoughts they have to help them move forward. For me, I have become involved in a local group, started organic gardening classes, and speaking to others about what we're facing here. While these things have been helpful, I'm wondering if anyone here has any suggestions.


Well, it's been a little longer for me but still less than a year. I understand exactly what you are talking about because I myself feel it, in the way that you describe it, as well.

I was explaining peak to a green pill person (reference to The Matrix; Green pill people go to sleep and wake up the next day knowing nothing about the Matrix). This has to be one of the more frustrating things I've encountered in my life. But this green pill person had an interesting insight.

Me: Peak oil, blah blah blah.
Green Pill Person: So.
Me: Ok get this. We are all on a plane and it is going to hit a mountain! I can see this, I know it is going to happen.
Green Pill Person: So.
Me: WHAT DO YOU MEAN "SO"!!!! WE'RE ALL GOING TO DIE!
Green Pill Person: Well, get over it. Enjoy the time that you have.

Oh, talking to green pill people about this is so frustrating. But this one had a point. Get over it! We are not going to be able to stop the crash. So might as well order a drink, sit back and enjoy the time that remains. Do what you can for preparations, but aside from that, GET OVER IT!

For me this means I get to go back to my wasteful ways. In fact, given the negativity I have encountered by those aware of peak, I'm even more wasteful than I used to be! :roll: Solutions to peak that extend industrial civilization are not welcomed because they permit the wasteful behavior that is damaging the biosphere. So while we have oil, BURN IT! :-D You are in fact helping, by doing your part to usher in the peak and reduce the long term consequences to the biosphere.

In life there are two primary objectives. Not to be a darwin award winner and not to be killed by a darwin award winner. When it comes to peak, these green pill people are darwin award winners. So enjoy being a hydrocarbon man while you can and prepare for the post carbon world in the best way that you can.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', '
')Please don't make fun of me, and I'm sorry if it sounds like I'm trying to turn this into an online support group, but I really am struggling here...Can we make it out of this?


Make it out of what? This is life. Deal with it.

Star Trek dreams are still a possibility but, we are going to have to deal with peak and overshoot. That means we are going to have to reduce our population to about 1 billion. That's the stark reality. The faster we enter the dieoff, the better we as a species will be.

Remember; Don't be a Darwin winner, Don't be killed by a Darwin winner. Do what you can to make sure that you and yours survive.

Good luck.
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Postby LadyRuby » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 22:15:13

Yes, but isn't there some agreement that it could be very tough for a while (years, a couple of decades), but that in the end the planet will be better off, and hopefully society as well?
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Postby aldente » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 00:00:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', '
')If that's true, we have maybe on the outside two and a half years to completely reengineer society to value human life over money.


This is very well worded - hits the nail on the head. Never thought about it this way but brings back the answer that Michael C. Ruppert gave in a recent interview when asked what he thinks would need to change. His answer: The way money works!

As far as alcohol is concerned: Don't try to distill in you kitchen. The last time I did so it was a heck of an effort to get things cleaned up again...

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Postby ONeil » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 00:00:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LadyRuby', 'Y')es, but isn't there some agreement that it could be very tough for a while (years, a couple of decades), but that in the end the planet will be better off, and hopefully society as well?


Sorry to be so melodramatic Lady Ruby, but:

ALL YE WHO CROSS THESE GATES ABANDON ALL HOPE

is kind of appropriate in this situation.

The only "good" option I can see for crossing the dieoff period is a nuclear war or an H5N1 type outbreak. In this scenario the dieoff would be very short. The survivors would have access to advanced technology, would have a high level of education and access to machinery and resources to continue humanity's ascent into the stars.

Whenever someone can make nuclear war or plague look like a "good" option, then you know the outlook is going to be bleak.

The status quo option is that we continue to use up our resources until a critical mass. No one knows what this critical mass is but our experts will be able to tell us with certainty about 4 years after the fact.

I played with gasoline powered remote control vehicles. When an engine is run very lean, as in seconds before an engine runs out of gas, it will run very fast and very hot. As such I expect growth to continue in the global economy right up to the critical event.

Following the critical event we are looking at a downward spiral that will last about 100 years. In that period our population will be reduced (by what means I can only shudder) to about 1 billion. We may need to dip below 1 billion, this figure is only an estimate of what Earth's carrying capacity is based on historical numbers. Take a walk through a museam of civilization with greater awareness now.

Depending on the severity of damage done to the biosphere humanity may or may not become extinct.

This is why you must

GET OVER IT!

Which when translated for the red pills means GET ON WITH IT! Stop moaning about the inevitable and do what needs to be done. People survived the Titanic because of the red pills.

Your first task is to come to terms with reality.
Your second task is to collect your thoughts. Its a simple rule: You panic you die.
Your third task is to figure out a way to deal with your particular situation.
Your fourth task is to act. You figured out how to react to the best of your abilities. NOW ACT! Implement those plans. Do so with conviction, determination and confidence.
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Postby syrac818 » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 00:07:18

Well, first off I appreciate all your responses. I can't say I'm comforted by them, but they are honest. Like some others on here, I'm surrounded by people who think I'm pretty much crazy. I find myself trying to prepare with fairly limited tools, though in the end it makes me feel better. With each day I become more committed to act, as the above post mentioned.

Finally, one thing that gives me a sense of hope comes suprisingly from both Simmons and Campbell. They both have said that humans tend to respond best when their backs are truly against the wall. We have not reached that point yet, and as a result many are either unaware or just don't care. For me, the scariest aspect of all of this is having to watch industrialized society head straight into a brick wall. We see it everyday and this tremendous ignorance leaves me left wondering how horrible it will be.

However, the word is beginning to spread, and I have watched this issue go from "fringe paranoia" to headline news in a very short period of time. With this I have seen actual dialogue and ideas start to emerge, which is vital in shifting the focus from "how bad will this be?" to "what do we need to do to prepare". Don't get me wrong, I know we are headed for a very hard road and that the world will never be the same. And I know there will be suffering. But I also know that discovering this has caused a tremendous shift for myself in terms of what I view as important. My hope is that our greater conciousness can shift as well.

And with that, I'm going to have a beer. I honestly pray for everyone here, and hope that we can somehow make it out of this with some joy in our lives. Take care.
Last edited by syrac818 on Wed 15 Jun 2005, 00:09:43, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby ONeil » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 00:08:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('albente', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', '
')

As far as alcohol is concerned: Don't try to distill in you kitchen. The last time I did so it was a heck of an effort to get things cleaned up again...

Image


OH! Nice one. Reminds me of the time I made gun powder as a teenager. :-D

Remember kids, if you play with fire you are going to get burned.
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Postby aldente » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 00:24:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', ' ')For me, the scariest aspect of all of this is having to watch industrialized society head straight into a brick wall.


I hear you brother! That's how I go through my day, looking right and left and saying to myself : "with Full Speed into Peak Oil". What we hear on this forum is the bang before the crash. We won't make it through the wall or will we?

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Re: Can I make alcohol is a post carbon world?

Postby ace » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 10:35:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ONeil', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('syrac818', 'B')ecause seriously people, I think I'm going to need it. I don't what else to say besides this sucks...


Alcohol is not a problem. Alcohol is the byproduct created when yeast eat sugar. I'm not sure where I would get yeast if I had to start this from scratch in a port carbon scenario, but, the good news is that you can keep yeast and have yeast reproduce. So with proper care and handling you should be able to keep drinking. ;)

[s.
I see alchol distillation as a valuable skill for personal fuel poduction,(cocktails are merely an interesting byproduct.)and creating a hellacious(?)barter item along with toilet paper , .22 amunition ,and matches.

Yes this topic is unsettling. fasten your seatbelts and observe the no smoking sign.We all had the same dizzying experience , but I came to the sleepless realization I couldn't store a lifetime supply of food and waterI(we)needed to prepare for initial shortages and swing our life around to something more sustainable and less dependant. It is not a matter of holding on until the cavalry comes and things get back to normal...andI hate to be fatalistic here but life after all is life, and nobody's getting out of here alive...Like my grandfathers war stories:There I was surounded by 30 enemy soldiers and I only had 2 rounds left.... what did you do then grampa? Why I died of course.. He he gets 'em every time... :)
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Postby JB2 » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 11:34:41

There are plenty of apples where I live, so this is my plan:

Steps in Making Hard Cider

Secure apple cider without preservative. Most apple cider for hard cider should be a blend of 3 or more varieties.
Fresh cider should be in clean containers. Wooden barrels make the best hard cider as the wood breathes and gives the cider proper aging.
To the cider add 1lb. of sugar per gallon for a dry hard cider (not sweet) or 1 1/2 lbs. for a sweet drink. Honey can be substituted for sugar on a pound per pound basis. Sugar and honey should be dissolved by warming some cider and mixing the sugar and honey until completely dissolved; then mix with the cider.
Natural yeast in the juice will ferment the sugar to alcohol. Yeast need not be added, although it can without any problem. Some fermentation processes call for killing all the yeast in the pure cider with sulfur dioxide, waiting 24 hours and then adding wine yeast. For the homeowner this is not necessary.
Put air lock on container and keep at 60-70F for a couple of months. Lower temperatures take longer for product to change from sugar to alcohol.
After 2 months the juice should be decanted off (siphoned out of the container), the container washed, and the juice put back into the container. Do not use siphon hose closer than 4" from bottom of container as this is where all the sediment is resting.
After decanting, store at 40 - 60F in a wooden barrel and wait for proper aging -- 6 months to 6 years, depending upon desires.
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Postby Eli » Sat 18 Jun 2005, 23:29:20

Making alcohol requires a lot of energy to distill.

But I make my own beer all the time and it is easy to do.
You just take any grain most typically malted barley steep it in hot water to mash out the sugars boil it with hops for an hour cool it down put some in beer yeast and two weeks later you have beer.

My beer is as good as what I can buy commercially but better because I made it.

If your town doesn't have a local brewery you should make one that will be a very important job. It is hands on and people will always until the last day want to drink beer.
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Postby I_Like_Plants » Wed 22 Jun 2005, 05:32:29

Yeah it's easy to make all kinds of alcoholic stuff, whee! Sugar + yeast is the basic equation, and you'd be amazed what has sugar in it. I even tried some pine sap, no not tried brewing with it, just took some fresh dribble off the side of the tree, and put it in my mouth. It was good, sweet, although it will give you a mean pine-breath. But it's easy to see why birds like sapsuckers eat it. There will be no shortage of ways to make alcohol, although when people get really hungry, they're more interested in a full belly than extra fun.
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