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Colonizing a planet

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Colonizing a planet

Postby Falconoffury » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 10:30:38

I recently stumbled upon this article.

http://www.universetoday.com/am/publish ... lanet.html

It shows a planet recently discovered in a nearby star system using the wobble method. Planets have a lack of a light source, and they are very difficult to locate even with the wobble method, so there could be thousands of undiscovered planets within our galaxy.

Suppose that we have the capability the find these planets, and the technology to reach these planets through space travel. Would it be a good idea for our species to colonize other planets?

My opinion is that it would not be a good idea. If you look at how badly we are ruining Earth, then I would hate for us to ruin the whole galaxy. Some people say that we could terraform a planet by introducing algae and other methods. Even if this was possible, we would just destroy it after colonizing it, and probably pollute the planet worse than when we found it.

Of course corporations would love to colonize a planet and start exploiting resources right away. With Earth running out of room and resources, they would love to keep their company and the economy in general growing. That's the problem right there. If we continue living a growth based lifestyle, we will just spread like cancer throughout the universe.

I see lots of star wars fans who have high hopes for the future. They think star wars technology will be available soon, and we will have all the luxuries, weapons, and technology of basically limitless energy. That's just not the case, and even if we had that technology, it would be bad for the galaxy.
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Postby lorenzo » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 10:49:43

The problem is that cornucopians have a very strong point now. They use the idea that humanity's environment is not limited to the earth's biosphere, because colonizing and terraforming Mars is becoming increasingly feasible. And in a sense, they're correct. I do hope they're the first ones to leave this planet, though.
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Postby Falconoffury » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 11:14:26

The question I ask is an ethical one. Is it right for humans to colonize other planets?

My opinion is no. We have already shown on our own planet our lack of respect for resources and other forms of life. We can't be trusted to respect the resources and life of other planets.

There is another reason I bring up this topic in addition to the article I posted. I recently got a game that was made around 1990 for the computer called Master of Orion. It's a game where you command an intelligent race and expand a galactic civilization. You colonize and terraform planets, research technology, and interact with other intelligent races that you stumble upon.
"If humans don't control their numbers, nature will." -Pimentel
"There is not enough trash to go around for everyone," said Banrel, one of the participants in the cattle massacre.
"Bush, Bush, listen well: Two shoes on your head," the protesters chant
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Postby lorenzo » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 12:43:26

Well, I bring up cornucopians, because they have a particular kind of ethics based on the notion that we can terraform and colonize Mars. Ok.

If humanity succeeds in doing this in an international, collaborative way, with the explicit goal of increasing prosperity and happiness on earth, or for the good of humanity as a whole, then why not.

If this becomes part of a capitalistic endeavor, then it's not worth it, because the logic of that system is based on looting nature in an unsustainable way for profit which goes into the pockets of a few.
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Postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 13:07:41

Watched Apollo 13 yesterday and was reminded of those heady days of the lunar landings. One of the most successful television programs of the preceeding decade was the original Star Trek show, especially in terms of its syndication popularity and all the later spin-offs. This was a fond dream that can never come to pass. Space exploration was an expensive luxury which the US could indulge because of its vast oil reserves in the 60's. Well, we burned it up, all gone, (or just about and the clock is ticking). Dreams of terra-forming Mars are just another one of the Oil Age delusions.
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Postby MicroHydro » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 13:39:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'T')his was a fond dream that can never come to pass... Dreams of terra-forming Mars are just another one of the Oil Age delusions.


Largely agree, except for the never.

The delusion, still cherished by people like Bob Zubrin, was that energy use could continue on a 20th century +3% per annum growth curve forever. Somehow we were supposed to transition to a fusion based culture and the outer planets would supply vast quantities of Helium 3. Maybe if we had achieved fusion in 1980, that would have happened. Clearly, it cannot happen now. But the biosphere can heal itself, and there are at least 100 million good years left on Earth until a brightening sun starts to boil the oceans.

Interestingly enough, it is just barely possible in theory (under the laws of physics) to do interstellar travel with highly advanced solar sails. With the most optimistic of assumptions, a sail made of a mesh of doped carbon nanotubes and 500km in diameter could move a capsule the mass of a shuttle orbiter at 1% lightspeed. So it would take a robotic probe (or a human crew in suspended animation) over 1500 years to get to the newly discovered rocky planet (which is hotter than hell, BTW).

Obviously, this would not be anything like Star Trek or Star Wars. And it will not happen until long after the oil crash. But sometime in the deep future, on the other side of the long emergency, such things could be possible for wiser folk. If starfarers ever depart from Earth, they will not be us, but our better distant descendants (or the distant descendants of rats?) who have learned to live sustainably after a long crawl back up from the 21st century dieoff and mass extinctions.
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Postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 13:51:03

My guess is that the next intelligent life form will be ants. So maybe the most prophetic movie was 'Starship Troopers' - at least on the bug side. I think your time scale is off, the Earth still has billions of years left before the sun goes nova. Much will happen but it isn't for us to know. We are finite creatures in a finite slice of time. We have witnessed amazing things that humans in the past would not have thought possible. But it was all too temporary.
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Postby JoeW » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 13:53:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', ' ')Dreams of terra-forming Mars are just another one of the Oil Age delusions.

Whether it has anything to do with the Oil Age is debatable, PenMan, but I agree that it is a delusion.
The rotation of earth's liquid metal core generates its magnetic field, which protects us from deadly radiation. Mars may have once had a similar core, but scientists believe that its core is now solid, meaning that Mars does not have the same magnetic field protection that our planet does. This is why astronomers are more interested in planets and moons that are geologically active--because there is a good chance that they will have the liquid metal core, and the magnetic field that may be prerequisites for life.

I'm not aware of any plan that the terraformers have in mind to work around this issue. I am no expert, and I may be understanding the situation incorrectly, but I believe that some scientists even theorize that any life on Mars may have disappeared when its core solidified, eliminating the planet's magnetic field.
The mars of today may be the earth of the future. Scientists are tracking changes in our planet's magnetic field, and though its magnitude fluctuates both in space and time, the overall trend is a decline for the short period that it has been tracked.

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Postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 14:01:45

Forget about global warming, oil depletion, etc That's the biggie Joe! THE CORE IS SOLIDIFYING! Or how about a hypernova explosion in the nearby milky way? Massive gamma rays stripping the Earth of ozone. The sky turns brown and everything dies.
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Postby JoeW » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 14:21:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'F')orget about global warming, oil depletion, etc That's the biggie Joe! THE CORE IS SOLIDIFYING! Or how about a hypernova explosion in the nearby milky way? Massive gamma rays stripping the Earth of ozone. The sky turns brown and everything dies.


I didn't mean to sound alarmist. I'm sure we will all be quite dead before then.
But any discussion of colonizing planets has to be fact-based, and there are a number of prerequisites:
1) geologically active
2) atmosphere
3) has the right components to support life (H2O, O2, etc)
4) temperature in an acceptable range
5) has a size/mass in an acceptable range (Imagine if your weight suddenly increased by a factor of 10. It might be hard to get around).
There are plenty of other factors to consider as well, like how long is the planet's day? and if this planet is so great, how come nobody else is already living there?
At any rate, Mars fails on a number of prerequisites, namely #1 and #3 above. It is #2, #4, and #5 that get the terraformers excited.
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Postby Triffin » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 14:38:23

Shoudn't we try to terraform earth before
we try it somewhere else ??? No matter how
badly we've wrecked this planet .. It would
certainly be easier and more cost effective
to "fix" earth first ..

Triff ..
Last edited by Triffin on Tue 14 Jun 2005, 15:05:33, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby JoeW » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 14:48:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Triffin', 'S')houdn't we try to terrform earth before
we try it somewhere else ??? No matter how
badly we've wrecked this planet .. It would
certainly be easier and more cost effective
to "fix" earth first ..

Triff ..


It's not that earth needs to be fixed. It's an exponential growth problem, and we can't make earth any bigger than it already is, or restore consumed resources back to their original locations.
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Postby MicroHydro » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 15:59:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', ' ')I think your time scale is off, the Earth still has billions of years left before the sun goes nova.


It won't go nova ever. Actually, the sun will become a red giant and then a planetary nebula and finally a white dwarf. All of this will happen at least 5 billion years from now. But the earth will become uninhabitable for complex life long before then. The sun gets slightly hotter over astronomical periods of time. Earth has maybe another 100 million good years somewhat as it is now, then things get a lot worse. Definitely it will be a dry hellhole like Venus within 500 million years and life will be over except maybe for bacteria deep in the crust. See Peter Ward's great book:

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/de ... ce&s=books
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Postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 16:11:08

OK, I stand corrected. Jeez, time is so fleeting! Of course, .5 billion versus 4 billion years is totally irrelevant to us. Its only going to matter to whatever is inhabiting the Earth at the time. Let the ants fry, I say. :lol:
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Postby MicroHydro » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 16:11:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', 'I')t's not that earth needs to be fixed. It's an exponential growth problem.


Indeed. Reduce the human population by 99% and earth could become a paradise again. Fish populations would recover, forests would grow back, topsoils would regenerate, the air would clear, the DDT and PCBs would decay. Even the nuclear waste would eventually cool off.

I recall over 30 years ago a very moving episode of Hawaii 5-0. A biologist designed a pathogen to kill off most of humanity - because he loved the earth. It was remarkable because the scientist was not portrayed as evil or insane, he was shown to be wise, caring, and sensitive. The cops stopped him, because that was their job. But even McGarrett wondered if the scientist was right.
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Postby bobcousins » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 16:21:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MicroHydro', 'B')ut the earth will become uninhabitable for complex life long before then. The sun gets slightly hotter over astronomical periods of time. Earth has maybe another 100 million good years somewhat as it is now, then things get a lot worse. Definitely it will be a dry hellhole like Venus within 500 million years and life will be over except maybe for bacteria deep in the crust.


Don't worry, they have a cunning plan! http://observer.guardian.co.uk/internat ... 86,00.html

As for colonising other planets, sure why not? After a few more tries we may get it right!

The real ethical dilemma is that the best candidates for colonisation will be Earth like already (terra-forming even Mars being considered next to impossible). In order to be Earth-like (free oxygen etc) these planets will have life, though most likely non-intelligent. We will inevitably alter their ecosystem if we colonise. Will future ethics permit that?
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Postby PenultimateManStanding » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 16:33:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MicroHydro', '
')
I recall over 30 years ago a very moving episode of Hawaii 5-0. A biologist designed a pathogen to kill off most of humanity - because he loved the earth. It was remarkable because the scientist was not portrayed as evil or insane, he was shown to be wise, caring, and sensitive. The cops stopped him, because that was their job. But even McGarrett wondered if the scientist was right.
Everybody knows the truth. It has long since seeped into the collective consciousness. We are living on borrowed time and the time is approaching to pay the piper.
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Postby Tyler_JC » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 19:23:00

As Our Jedi Master always says, "Earth First! We can make Mars our bitch."

PS. Our Jedi Master is Aaron :) .
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
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Postby MicroHydro » Tue 14 Jun 2005, 19:28:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', 'D')on't worry, they have a cunning plan! http://observer.guardian.co.uk/internat ... 86,00.html


Well, as far as mega engineering projects go, putting up some sunshades at SEL-1 would be vastly cheaper than moving the earth. Believing that either project could be sustained over astronomical time is very optimistic.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s for colonising other planets, sure why not?


For the 70s, 80s, and 90s, that was my line! I got into a debate with Frank Drake on the subject about 10 years ago.

Over the last 5 years my beliefs in the rationality and planning capabilities of the human species have been sorely tested. IMO, H. sapiens petroleumus simply doesn't have what it takes to get its act together to utilize the huge energies required for fast starflight.

Obviously, we already know how to do slow starflight. The Voyagers are now travelling towards interstellar space at about 1/20,000th of C on chemical rocketry and gravity assist alone. But when you talk about passage times measured in thousands, or even hundreds of years you are talking about developing suspended animation biotechnologies far beyond 21st century science. That won't happen until a stable post-carbon civilization arises. We won't be going, maybe H. sapiens solarius will go.
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Postby RIPSmithianEconomics » Wed 15 Jun 2005, 05:35:12

I seriously doubt a post-peak civilization would have the energy, the resources and perhaps even the technology to colonise other worlds. If it's unfeasable with our current level of energy, how is it going to work decades from now?
There'll be war, there'll be peace
But one day all things shall cease
All the iron turned to rust
All the proud men turned to dust
So all things time will mend
So this song will end
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