by Newbie Wants Info » Sun 02 Jun 2013, 22:57:41
Thanks for the interesting responses.
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1. the first risk is the actual damage caused by radiation overdose- I think the real threat here may not be so great as many believe. The wind and water dispersal will greatly weaken the doses received by most of the public and the effects are somewhat slow acting anyway for most cases (increased cancer risk in 20-40 years). Those who live very close will have to be evacuated of course.
But to where?
Europe and Japan, for example, have a very high population density in relation to the placement of nuclear power plants. Japan is particularly crowded, and when you consider that most of Japan consists of rugged mountainous terrain which is wholly unsuitable for farming and crowded living, one question that begs for an answer is:
to where do these people go?We're assuming here that there is widespread societal breakdown. There isn't going to be one failure, all nuclear power plants are going to be turned off, and there is no guarantee that this is going to be done safely, and we have no idea what will be done with the nuclear material which needs to be isolated from the biosphere.
One question that I really want an answer for is whether or not every nuclear nation has a place into which it can safely store it's nuclear material. Does Japan have a storage site far underground? Is it even possible to construct a stable storage site in a place like Japan, a nation that is prone to earthquakes?
Can we assume that if Japan does not have a storage site it will rely on a foreign nation to store its material? If so, which nation will that be? China? I have a hard time imagining these two countries cooperating with each other amidst all of the "chaos" you describe.
Furthermore, we are talking about complete and total societal collapse: the end of civilization. People can't just be "evacuated" forever. Food and water storage will eventually run dry, people will break free and the ability to patrol "no-go" zones will be diminished when this happens. Eventually people are going to wander aimlessly and many of these people will eventually penetrate "no-go" zones, some of which could be unsafe for thousands of years.
If a stable, reproducing population of humans manages to survive, how can they be prevented from trespassing on contaminated land? They may be illiterate and unable to speak the languages of their forefathers even if we assume that indestructable signs are erected to warn people against migrating to these areas.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you are postulating a world wide societal collapse, then I suspect the inevitable answer is "yes".
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dissident', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '
')If the world would shift to nuclear power there wouldn't be a societal collapse due to peak oil----the world would stop using fossil fuel and shift to electricity generated from nukes.