by Outcast_Searcher » Mon 21 Jan 2013, 20:17:32
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dolanbaker', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'W')ill the surviving US middle class over the next 30-40 years suffer from peak oil?
Only if they don't adapt!
Right Dolan.
And there are lots of adaptations that can (and I think will) go on, that don't have to involve suffering, just a change in attitude. Examples:
1). The whole system realizing energy is expensive, and planning for that. So the entire product lifecycle including product energy efficiency from producers to energy usage efficiency from consumers could result. (i.e. not driving around randomly, planning trips and errands for efficiency, waiting for a full load to wash clothes, buying in bulk or at planned intervals to minimize shipping costs/premiums are just a few examples that come to mind).
2). People realizing that saving, thrift, and efficiency really DO matter, and living accordingly. Today first worlders, especially Americans, tend to live at the edge (or beyond) of their income, make few contingency plans, and expect whining and Uncle Sam to make up the difference if anything goes wrong. When they realize that doesn't work so well and that one CAN live without splurging on fancy meals out, fancy vacations, fancy inefficient cars, fancy large homes, fancy things to fill the house, etc. -- lo and behold, a WHOLE LOT of saving could be going on.
3). People realizing that "keeping up with: pick your status symbol" is simply idiotic would really help.
So things like this could be used to deal with higher energy costs, and gasp, preparing for an unpredictable future. What a concept.
I don't expect this to happen quickly, or in our current government culture without a deafening amount of whining from many circles -- but over time, I do expect the reality to set in -- at least for those who prefer not to struggle and suffer economically as a SELF-IMPOSED way of life.
Given the track record of the perma-doomer blogs, I wouldn't bet a fast crash doomer's money on their predictions.