by kublikhan » Mon 20 Aug 2012, 21:54:23
Hydropower is also vulnerable to drought. I had a friend from Sri Lanka. They get a large portion of their power from Hydro. He used to talk about the frequent power outages when the water level in the damns fell. You also probably heard about the recent huge power outage they had in India, the largest power blackout in history. While the power grid in India has long been inadequate and suffers from numerous problems, one of the causes of the huge blackout was lower levels of hydropower because of drought and late monsoon rains. Climate change is altering the world's rain patterns, and with it the potential for hydropower.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hat era’s electric excitement culminated with a three day blackout. Then, as now, a sweltering summer drought left this hydropower dependent island choked of electricity.
In Sri Lanka no rain = no lights, and our current bouts of darkness reveal that our reliance on the rain gods has hardly reduced over the past 15 years.
The much vaunted Norochcholai pollution plant, and the glorified generator (it runs on diesel) at Kerwalapitiya have come up short. It’s now clear that what really kept us (relatively) power-cut free for a couple of years was reasonable rainfall but the droughts are back and our grid seems no better able to cope with the strain.
10 Things To Do During Power Cuts (Sri Lanka Or India)$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat caused the vast power grid failure that roiled India this week? Precise causes remain unknown, but one emerging explanation points a finger at the nation's severe drought:
"Part of the reason may be that low rainfall totals have restricted the amount of power delivered by hydroelectric dams, which India relies on for much of its power needs. Another cause may be that drought-stricken farmers are using more power than expected to run water pumps to irrigate their crops."
That's a drought-related double whammy: Low rainfall crimps energy supply because of its effect on hydropower, and jacks up demand by forcing farmers to irrigate more.
"Experts who met in Delhi in May to discuss climate-induced "extreme events" in India suggest that likelier threats include more short and devastating downpours and storms, more frequent floods and droughts, longer consecutive dry days within monsoons, more rapid drying of the soil as the land heats, and a greater likelihood that plant and animal diseases might spread."
Did Drought Cause India's Power Outage?$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he old way of predicting stream flow—by taking records of past flow and designing dams based on those amounts—is ”becoming more complicated because of climate change,”
In tropical and midlatitude rivers, water sources are already flowing less or drying up altogether. A 2009 study by the National Center for Atmospheric Research, in Boulder, Colo., found ”significant changes” in the stream flow of a third of the world’s large rivers from 1948 to 2004, with 6 percent less freshwater flowing into the Pacific and 3 percent less making it to the Indian Ocean. Drainage into the Arctic Ocean, however, rose by about 10 percent.
Shrinking rivers have already reduced or even shut down power generation in existing dams when their reservoirs dropped below critical levels. As a result, drought-stricken countries like Kenya, the Philippines, and Venezuela have suffered periodic blackouts and electricity rationing in recent years. Kenya is quickly developing geothermal and wind power to compensate for unreliable hydropower.
They found that while midlatitude areas will generally experience reductions in river flow and thus hydropower output, some areas, such as Northern Europe, East Africa, and Southeast Asia, will probably see a boost. As expected, the most at-risk areas are those that have a high dependence on hydropower but will face decreasing river runoff. In Southern Africa, for instance, drier conditions could mean a decline of 70 gigawatt-hours per year in hydropower capacity by 2050. Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Venezuela, and parts of Brazil are likely to be hit hard, too.
According to Byman Hamududu, a native of Zambia and one of the lead researchers on the Norwegian study, Norway and other far north countries, where river runoff is likely to increase, have the ability to adapt quickly—for example, by adding turbines to already existing dams to put the extra flow to good use.
But in some places, the case for building more hydropower capacity is strong. In Africa, only about 7 percent of the economic potential for new hydro projects has been developed, according to the International Hydropower Association (IHA). Getting Africa closer to the level of hydroelectric development in the United States or Europe—70 percent and 75 percent, respectively—would provide a vast resource for the continent, says IHA business director Michael Fink. Those levels might be ”the best trade-off between deployment using hydropower and preserving some rivers in a natural state,”