[ralfy]

Forum members can make up anything about themselves without giving evidence.

[Tanada]

Ralfy is correct as far as they go, however no matter what kind of a persona you make up the truth will out. IOW if you stick around for a while the truth of how much common sense you have and what you think about the facts you are exposed too will be evident for those reading your messages.

As for me I am one of those who has asked what year will we fall off the plateau several times, I think we are teetering on the edge of decline now but I have been wrong before. Time will tell.

[SGV]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '(')...)
As for me I am one of those who has asked what year will we fall off the plateau several times, I think we are teetering on the edge of decline now but I have been wrong before. Time will tell.

[ralfy]

What SGV wrote. I think the consensus is between now and 2014 or 2015. I linked to various reports here:

http://ralfyman.blogspot.com/

[meemoe_uk]

>the end of the plateau will be between 2012 and 2014, but that's just a guess.
If I let you get away with calling the increasing supply of the last 8 years a plateau, then the end of it was 2009, after which oil supply has been going distinctly up.

[Kristen]

The problem is higher gasoline prices combined with stagnant wages.

[dolanbaker]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kristen', 'T')he problem is higher gasoline prices combined with stagnant wages.

[vaseline2008]

In a supply/demand economy doesn't constant price increases constitute a lack of supply? The way I see it is that we begun the "peaking" in the late 90's...oh I remember the days when oil was $9/barrel.

Sure demand has increased but if prices have continued to go up and not down -- not counting the 2008 spike and drop -- no matter how much supply has entered into the marketplace then haven't we technically "peaked" already?

[ralfy]

I forgot to add that if we consider global oil production per capita, then the peak took place in 1979.

[kublikhan]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('meemoe_uk', 'O')h and well done kub for bring an off topic discussion private discussion onto '2005 is year of peak oil thread'

[MD]

peak oil occurred several years ago. We are already well into the new energy age.

[dolanbaker]

But we must be past peak BTU's at this stage, if you consider the fact that all those substitutes have a lower calorific value.