by MD » Sun 27 Nov 2011, 05:28:29
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'E')ROEI is a useful metric for determining how far down the hole we are.
It doesn't tell you beans about whether any particular project is a good idea or a bad idea for a company to develop.
The ethanol thing is a perfect example. Even if you accept that EROEI is negative, producing ethanol reduces the amount of grain surplus on the market, and can be turn up or turned off at will; eating up huge surpluses when they exist, and leaving stocks untouched when supply is tight. In additional, ethanol's energy inputs are mostly non-liquid, and its output is all liquid. This is an extreme increase in value, even if the total energy is less than the sum of its inputs. So it acts as both price support / permission to grow surplus, and functions as a relatively efficient solid/gas -> liquid conversion method.
So even if its EROEI negative, it is still awesome for all the companies involved.
Great example of where it doesn't matter much when you look at it in that specific context. Yet that very same ethanol production is contributing to the overall worldwide shift in EROEI, which the important relationship to be watching, and no one is. It may be too complex to watch. Who could manage an exhaustive energy-cycle analysis of human activity across the planet? It would take massive effort.
It's no wonder discussions around the topic fall so readily into confusion.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.
Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.