PeakOil is You
Are We Past the Peak of Mankind's Glory Days?
Re: Are We Past the Peak of Mankind's Glory Days?
by Serial_Worrier » Mon 26 Sep 2011, 17:19:39
Given the rate of progression in computers, we're nowhere near our peak. Just wait until self-aware AI machines develop, then we're in for a doozy!
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Serial_Worrier - Heavy Crude
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Re: Are We Past the Peak of Mankind's Glory Days?
by dsula » Mon 26 Sep 2011, 19:01:25
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Serial_Worrier', 'G')iven the rate of progression in computers,
The computer AI in my strategy games today is about as stupid as it was 20 years ago. Not much progress. As with everything there's saturation where a humongous effort in additional computing power doesn't really change the result significantly.
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dsula - Tar Sands
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Re: Are We Past the Peak of Mankind's Glory Days?
by Serial_Worrier » Tue 27 Sep 2011, 14:56:28
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dsula', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Serial_Worrier', 'G')iven the rate of progression in computers,
The computer AI in my strategy games today is about as stupid as it was 20 years ago. Not much progress. As with everything there's saturation where a humongous effort in additional computing power doesn't really change the result significantly.
One anecdote proves nothing. Moore's Law is still in effect. Intel has already shown a prototype CPU with hundreds of cores. 3-D transitors. Super-low power CPUs that don't sacrifice anything in performance. Just look at the software people run in their everyday lives compared to even 5 years ago. It's amazing.
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Serial_Worrier - Heavy Crude
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Re: Are We Past the Peak of Mankind's Glory Days?
by dsula » Tue 27 Sep 2011, 16:38:45
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Serial_Worrier', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dsula', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Serial_Worrier', 'G')iven the rate of progression in computers,
The computer AI in my strategy games today is about as stupid as it was 20 years ago. Not much progress. As with everything there's saturation where a humongous effort in additional computing power doesn't really change the result significantly.
One anecdote proves nothing. Moore's Law is still in effect. Intel has already shown a prototype CPU with hundreds of cores. 3-D transitors. Super-low power CPUs that don't sacrifice anything in performance. Just look at the software people run in their everyday lives compared to even 5 years ago. It's amazing.
No doubt. BUT it don't mean nothing. The productivity gain is marginal. I'm running Windows 7 on a 4 core machine. I'm not much more productive than I used to be using windows 95 on 166MHz cpu. Because most of the time the limiting factor is still me thinking not the computer calculating. And judging by the cleverness of my strategy game, we're still FAR FAR away form the computer doing the thinking.
