by Sixstrings » Tue 23 Aug 2011, 19:59:17
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrestonSturges', 'W')ell demand for US treasuries is up, so the free market, the all seeing all knowing free market, has shown that the S&P downgrade was spectacularly wrong. Flubbing that call probably cost a lot of people billions and billions of dollars. So he had take the fall for a giant cl&*erf!^k.
I don't know much about the CEO, other than he's apparently from India. Not sure how long he's been in the US. This could be a situation where S&P has a lot of multinational people working for them, and they took a look at the US and used the same criteria they were using for other nations.
What this Indian CEO didn't have was an American bias.. now S&P will have an American bankster in charge, an American who knows you simply *do not* hold the US to the same objective standard as other nations.
Thing is Preston, a few Chinese rating agencies had already downgraded us. If anything our domestic ratings agencies were being far too kind for too long -- the downgrade was warranted.
The reaction from the US government and the European governments to crack down on ratings agencies is disappointing. It totally wrecks credibility, it's banana republic stuff -- don't like your credit rating, prosecute the ratings agency. Make a phone call to the Board, have the CEO fired. Maybe bust up the company. This is Soviet Russia stuff, not good.
As for the free market and desirability of US bonds.. that's irrelevant. A ratings agency report is supposed to be on the fundamentals, whereas the free market is a function of best of all bad options. It's entirely logical that the US can be downgraded yet still be the "safest" investment -- it's just indicative of how much trouble the world is in, and S&P did
the responsible thing by issuing a warning. People deserve some objective truth, they deserve some warning and good forecasting of the future -- that's what a ratings agency's job should be.
But not anymore. Fitch and Moody's sees what's happened to S&P. Now they'll never downgrade the US, lesson learned. And after the shakeup at S&P I wouldn't be surprised if they raise us back to AAA in short order.
Bottom line.. forcing S&P to change their tune hurts the credibility of US ratings agencies, makes them look government-controlled now. I don't see how that helps matters.