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THE George Soros Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby timmac » Mon 08 Aug 2011, 21:44:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'D')oes anyone have a clue here? It's not the Dems. It's not America. It's not the f#cking speculators, arabs, oil companies or Chinese. It's peak oil. You morons.



No its not just peak oil, its more not being fiscally responsible, yes $145 barrel oil did help burst the bubble in 08 but that bubble was about to burst on its own.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Mon 08 Aug 2011, 21:50:15

Eric Cantor was shorting treasury bonds this week. What about other Republicans? Let's not just automatically go into Soros bashing mode shall we?
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby careinke » Mon 08 Aug 2011, 21:51:12

Darn, I was hoping the Koch Brothers did it.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby timmac » Mon 08 Aug 2011, 22:04:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('timmac', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'D')oes anyone have a clue here? It's not the Dems. It's not America. It's not the f#cking speculators, arabs, oil companies or Chinese. It's peak oil. You morons.



No its not just peak oil, its more not being fiscally responsible, yes $145 barrel oil did help burst the bubble in 08 but that bubble was about to burst on its own.
Christ almighty man. Are you going to argue with me about PO? You will lose.


Whats there to argue, I never said I don't beleave in Peak Oil, I just won't pin todays economic problems in U.S. or Europe just on high price oil, sure it help cause some of the problems but was not the main problem, it was Government's borrowing and spending at break neck speed instead of fixing the problem, you don't need high oil cost to to go bankrupt, over spending can do that on its own..
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 08 Aug 2011, 22:51:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')his isn't chump change. Where does that nine billion come from? Who ultimately pays out on these bets? You and me and a few hundred million other schmucks.


I highly doubt that the average American has money invested in hedge funds that bet against Soros. 8)

It's one thing to sell shares of AT&T short, it's quite another to bet on complex CDS derivatives like the one Soros purchases. Trust me, you didn't lose a dime because Soros shorted the dollar.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby basil_hayden » Mon 08 Aug 2011, 22:55:51

Well it wasn't Cerberus, they're too F-ing stupid, except the gun company investments.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby americandream » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 00:51:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kiwichick', 't')he us should have been downgraded years ago


The US should never have won the Cold War and we would have been done with this religious nonsense, greed and general decadence that sees women one step above other commodities.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 02:08:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ho 'made $10bn on 10/1 bet that U.S. credit rating would be downgraded'?

A mystery investor or hedge fund reportedly made a bet of almost $1billion at odds of 10/1 last month that the U.S. would lose its AAA credit rating. Now questions are being asked of whether the trader had inside information before placing the $850million bet in the futures market, or if the bet happened at all.

There were mounting rumours that investor George Soros, 80, famously known as ‘the man who broke the Bank of England’, could be involved. The latest bet was made on July 21 on trades of 5,370 ten-year Treasury futures and 3,100 Treasury bond futures, reported ETF Daily News.

Now the investor's gamble seems to have paid off after Standard and Poor’s issued a credit rating downgrade from AAA to AA+ last Friday.
Whoever it is stands to earn a 1,000 per cent return on their money
, with the expectation that interest rates will be going up after the downgrade.

The link has been made to Mr Soros in part because he has been tied to President Obama’s administration since 2008, reported The Examiner. He also recently stopped managing money for outside investors, meaning he is under less scrutiny from the Securities and Exchange Commision

But the mystery bet could easily have been made by another trader with similar resources, despite Mr Soros’s links with the Obama administration. The bet also raises questions of whether President Obama and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner knew that a downgrade was on the cards.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2023809/Did-George-Soros-win-10-1-return-S-Ps-US-credit-rating-downgrade.html


It's so disgusting how Wall Street is an outright casino, juiced up with central bank cash whenever it runs low. Somebody, either Soros or another billionaire or a hedge fund, bet a billion dollars on a credit downgrade. I have no clue how these ETFs work, but at "10 to 1 odds" the bet pays out ten times -- so this mystery billionaire turned his one billion into ten billion.

This isn't chump change. Where does that nine billion come from? Who ultimately pays out on these bets? You and me and a few hundred million other schmucks.


If I'm reading this correctly, even that article say this could be anyone. And this part doesn't even make any sense:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he link has been made to Mr Soros in part because he has been tied to President Obama’s administration since 2008, reported The Examiner.
Is that a conspiracy theory?

Here let's summarize GOP talking points for the week:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')loof murrble yab blub blub blub gaaaaaaa.

At some point I keep thinking that the global markets will get tired of this drooling gibberish from the GOP.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 09:07:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I') highly doubt that the average American has money invested in hedge funds that bet against Soros. 8)

It's one thing to sell shares of AT&T short, it's quite another to bet on complex CDS derivatives like the one Soros purchases. Trust me, you didn't lose a dime because Soros shorted the dollar.


But Tyler it's a $9 billion dollar profit out of thin air. That's a lot of money, it has to come from somewhere. In the case of shorting stocks, like Bank of America, you and me do end up paying for that because Uncle Ben will come to the rescue and replace the money looted out of the stock market. Each round of quantitative easing further devalues the dollars in all our pockets, no?

I don't understand the ETFs, not sure how one can "bet" on a downgrade.. what's the mechanism.. betting on higher interest on treasuries? But that wouldn't have paid off, uncertainty drives more people into treasuries and the yield went down.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby basil_hayden » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 12:35:43

Now that all the fish in the ocean have been eaten, it's good to see the sharks munch on each other.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby Cloud9 » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 12:56:45

Soros took the Brits down a notch and made a killing. Smart guy that one. I suspect everything he does is calculated for effect. Might be why he backed the Dems.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 12:58:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'C')hrist almighty man. Are you going to argue with me about PO? You will lose.

Pstarr,
Of course it is all related to PO,
However now we are in new brave world where some fortunes will be built and some other lost, just because of PO.

Some peoples will make money out of PO, and some peoples would try (and succeed) to make money out of atomic war (OK, in the latter case they would win power, not money).
Human nature.
Did you follow on Deflakion/Rossi scam?
Empty/fraudulent promises to deliver something what is desperately needed - cheap energy.

So because we have PO, not an atomic war - just buy silver.
IMO once all gold disappears in elite's private vaults, well secured from preying eyes of a taxman, there will be a silver frenzy.

IMO within 3-5 years silver will go up to at least 20% of gold value, may be much higher.

Too much paper which must be abandoned.
Gold, silver, agricultural land, water rights, mineral rights, weapons, drugs - these will be the only games in town.
90% of industry and 90% of services and 90% of government will go literally worthless.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby Smudger » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 13:10:45

Pstarr my friend persepctive chap perspective.

Yes of course PO and energy costs will have a long-term and indeed now medium term absolute effect but the reality is the vague excitement of the last few days has been about the debt levels which yes may be linked to PO but its direct effect is about over indebted western economies and the low growth rates which result. nothing more nothing less.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 13:12:16

Just to clarify, I didn't mean this as an attack on Soros. You can't blame him, if it's legal to loot ten billion dollars then why not?

My point is this:

Before 1970, it didn't used to be this way. People saved money in banks. There was no quantitative easing, or offshoring where some guy in India takes your Wendy's hamburger order through VOIP.

Nobody traded forex at home in their underwear.

The stock market grew very very slowly, but steadily.

To find anything comparable to what we have now you have to go back to the 1920s when everybody was obsessed with the stock market, shoe shine boys trading stock tips. It's not a healthy foundation for an economy, it crashed then and it crashed again in '08 and never honestly recovered -- the more financial games everyone plays, the more the central bank prints money to plug up the holes.

It just gets worse every year, more bizarre financial derivative products created. I don't claim to understand it all, but the more I learn the worse it looks. It's like a ponzi economy, an economy based on graft and scam. Shorting, for example, no longer serves a market function if government won't ever let the market fall.

Maybe I'm just jealous I don't know how to do this. :twisted: Is it as easy as AmericanDream says, "just read the charts" and you too can be a billionaire?
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 13:22:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '
')But Tyler it's a $9 billion dollar profit out of thin air. That's a lot of money, it has to come from somewhere. In the case of shorting stocks, like Bank of America, you and me do end up paying for that because Uncle Ben will come to the rescue and replace the money looted out of the stock market.

You are imagining that there is a lot of money there.
In reality there is a lot of increasingly worthless toilet paper and once there is a flight from it, you will find out that an acre of farmable land is worth $ 100 000, an ounce of gold or silver (they may well reach parity at some point...) is $ 50 000 and your suburban house... well $ 10 000 maybe.

You see... current value of paper money is a pure delusion.
Value of most of industry and services is close to zero.
Be patient, you will soon learn it.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')ach round of quantitative easing further devalues the dollars in all our pockets, no?

Yes, but your pockets are already full of toilet paper, you just don't know it yet.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') don't understand the ETFs, not sure how one can "bet" on a downgrade.. what's the mechanism.. betting on higher interest on treasuries? But that wouldn't have paid off, uncertainty drives more people into treasuries and the yield went down.

The only *honest* downgrade of US is downgrade to *default* level.
So S&P is defrauding investors by keeping excessively high rating of US government.

Treasuries, very much like dollars are *rubbish* not treasuries.
Just one paper rubbish are chasing another paper rubbish (both loads of rubbish issued on behalf of US government).
Entire Western economic and liberal political model is bankrupt, but society still pretend that it is alive.

Well, Nature will really brutally correct it pretty soon.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby Sixstrings » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 13:45:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'Y')es. The game hasn't changed. The wealthy still own most of the pie. It's just getting smaller.


But thanks to the internet, maybe average folks can profit off collapse too. If you can't beat 'em, join 'em.

Anybody can trade forex. Voluminous market info is free on the internet. Haven't tried them, but there are reasonably affordable robotrading programs.

Only problem is losing your shirt and not making the mortgage payment.. :lol: and it takes money to make money, of course.
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Re: Did Soros turn $1 billion into $10 billion on downgrade

Unread postby timmac » Tue 09 Aug 2011, 13:52:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Smudger', 'P')starr my friend persepctive chap perspective.

Yes of course PO and energy costs will have a long-term and indeed now medium term absolute effect but the reality is the vague excitement of the last few days has been about the debt levels which yes may be linked to PO but its direct effect is about over indebted western economies and the low growth rates which result. nothing more nothing less.


+1
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