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PeakOil is You

Uses and Costs of Substituting Natural Gas

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: 250 Years OF Natural Gas

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 23 Jun 2011, 19:38:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hughj', 'W')elcome to PO, Logic. Honored to respond to your first post. I'm excited to hear someone
here using the word "solution" in a sentence.

I really don't feel qualified to second-guess the IEA's math. If it ends up being somewhat
less than 250 years, I'm good with that, as will my daughter, and my future grandchildren.

Now between you and me, just as technology has broadened the time horizon of natural
gas, don't you think it is going to do the same for other petroleum products? In the 1860's,
oil production meant what could be scooped off the surface and packaged. Then it meant
what was available in the US at a depth of 500 feet. Then we got to 2000 feet. Then 5000.
Then injection for recovery. Then Middle East oil, South America, Alaska. Now we are
drilling below the basement rocks for both gas and oil. Fracking, oil sand, shale,hydrites.......
Hubbert would be proud, wouldn't he?

I am hopeful about the future.

Hugh


Me too, but without gas an oil ruling our lifes. These oil daze are coming to a close, just like the horse an buggy day's.... :razz:
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Re: 250 Years OF Natural Gas

Unread postby GoIllini » Fri 24 Jun 2011, 17:51:06

Sure, shale gas is a good option when we can be fairly responsible about its extraction. Obviously, I do have some concerns about the watershed that we're trying to extract it from.

More importantly, though, we still have to find a way off of oil. And this is the perfect opportunity to get electric cars like the Volt working- and have them running on electricity from gas-fired turbines and hopefully also nuclear reactors, wind, and one day space-based solar or fusion.

Shale gas in some ways gave us a second-chance. Let's not blow it this time- we need an energy policy that encourages plug-in cars so we can more gracefully transition to another energy technology- so we at least have more options when the Texas shale gas starts to run out and we have to consider whether or not we want to tap the Marcellus and risk polluting even more important watersheds for agriculture and consumption.
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Re: 250 Years OF Natural Gas

Unread postby Logic » Sat 25 Jun 2011, 00:08:08

Thank you for the welcome:)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hughj', '.')..
I really don't feel qualified to second-guess the IEA's math. If it ends up being somewhat
less than 250 years, I'm good with that, as will my daughter, and my future grandchildren.


Sure, but do the math. How much NG does it take to drive a car 15,000 miles a year? If half our light vehicle fleet moves to NG, how much more NG will we be using? Double? Triple? 10 fold?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hughj', '
')Now between you and me, just as technology has broadened the time horizon of natural
gas, don't you think it is going to do the same for other petroleum products? ...


Undoubtably, as it has been ever since we started drilling the stuff. The thing is, both oil and NG continue to get more expensive (energy, financial and environmentally) as we continue to find new ways to get to the stuff that is more difficult to get to. We are approaching a critical level of diminishing returns.

I too am hopeful for the future. But that means people need to be aware of this critical issue and stop hiding their head in the sand.

Once we reliably discover more oil than the current oil fields are depleted, and demand for oil stops increasing, then I will be even more hopeful for the future.
"We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors... we borrow it from our children"
American Indian proverb
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Re: 250 Years OF Natural Gas

Unread postby Poordogabone » Sun 03 Jul 2011, 23:29:29

This gas story is nothing but ... gas. especially coming from the IEA who have a notorious history of being wrong and unrealistically optimistic in their forecasts.
The solution: use much less of everything. forget growth, concentrate on prosperity with the dwindling resources that we have left.
What you think is good news seems to be prolonging an unsustainable way of life at great environmental costs.
I personally hope that future generations will still use oil and natural gas a thousand years from now but use it wisely and not blow it all up like a bunch of greedy monkeys.
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Re: 250 Years OF Natural Gas

Unread postby Serial_Worrier » Mon 04 Jul 2011, 02:37:45

Cornucopia is here! 8O 8O 8O
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Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby peeker01 » Wed 10 Aug 2011, 22:35:22

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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby babystrangeloop » Wed 10 Aug 2011, 23:13:49

Explanations (or very dry humor, it's hard to tell these days without asking) of sections of the article linked above:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Why Is Oil's Price So High Compared to Natural Gas?
By IBTimes Staff Reporter / International Business Times / August 10, 2011

If, as an investor, motorist, or reader, you're perplexed and surprised by the continuing anomaly in the oil/natural gas relationship, joing the club.

The background/lowdown: Oil historically trades at about 8 times the price of natural gas. Currently it is trading at 20.4 times natural gas.

Well, duh, oil is the vital lifeblood of everything we hold dear while natural gas is a cheap and common waste product or by-product or something like that. Naturally oil is worth more.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.').. some of the price discrepancy also reflects the depressed condition of U.S. natural gas prices, due to sluggish demand ...

Gas has no teen appeal even.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.').. large increase in supply stemming from new, innovative drilling techniques, including hydraulic fracturing, also known as "fracking," ...

Gross, "gas" is what you don't want to get when you eat and even the new technologies for gas have names like "fracking"

Fracking gas!

All seriousness aside, gas is harder to engineer uses for than oil and it has lower energy density so you're at a loss before you even start to try to use it instead of oil.

Speaking about news articles from IBTimes, they are participating in the creation of the "solar flares will cause endless blackouts" myth.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Bigger Solar Flares Could Cause Year-Long Blackouts, Nuclear Crisis
By IB Times Staff Reporter / August 10, 2011

... Federal Government studies have shown that extreme solar activity could cause complete blackouts for years in vast tracts of the country. ...

The funny part is when you look it up it's radio transmission blackouts not electrical power ones that are purported to be caused by solar flares.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ore alarmingly, there could be disruption of power supply for years, or even decades, as geomagnetic currents attracted by the storm could debilitate the transformers.

We started putting up electrical grids with Pearl Street in 1882. Does anyone since then have any evidence of disruptions of power supplies from solar flares? Yet junk news articles repeatedly try to make this false connection.

It's like they know there's going to be massive blackouts and they want people to think "well, it's probably solar flares" when they happen instead of knowing it's peak oil.
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby peeker01 » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 00:52:44

You are delusional Loopie. We used to use oil to make electricity.......we don't anymore.
We used to power our buses with diesel.......not much anymore........10 million cars worldwide
use compressed natural gas and not oil........home heating is much cheaper on nat gas.......more and more common......oil is passe, they'll be giving it away in your lifetime.
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby peeker01 » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 14:27:57

Peet, every time you post you weaken the nation. I saw you accusing someone else of being
shorty last week. How many shortys can there be? And who cares? Anyone who puts your
foolishness on display is alright by me.
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby peeker01 » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 16:01:24

I haven't failed anything PEET, you refuse to debate, preferring to call me names or other
people's names.

There is a huge natural gas infrastructure, and it's growing every day. You can buy a home
compressor to pump up your CNG car over night. The conversion kit for your car is around 1300
bucks. I'd be doing it right now, except the pipeline isn't in this neighborhood (yet).

Many cab fleets are on CNG, most bus fleets are on CNG, and much research is being done
on LNG technology for big highway trucks. Since LNG can be trucked to a filling station,
it very doable, and is the only way we will survive a long term oil shortage. I know you disdain
any concept which postpones peak oil doom, but I have decided I'm not quite ready to surrender.
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby peeker01 » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 16:08:30

Peet, the 240 people reading this forum can see the truth. That's good enough for me.
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby basil_hayden » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 16:09:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peeker01', 'P')eet, every time you post you weaken the nation. I saw you accusing someone else of being
shorty last week. How many shortys can there be? And who cares? Anyone who puts your
foolishness on display is alright by me.
There have been lot's o' shortys here over the years.

Spocklives==Shortonsense==Xenophobe==TheAntiDoomer==Hughj==peeker01==Johnybo. There are even those who suggest your tricks go all the way back ReserveGrowthdroolz?

Each time you and I get into a substantive debate you cut and run, and then pop up here under another pseudonym. I repeat the obvious to you and you run like a little boy.

You have not yet shown how our liquid petroleum infrastructure could be converted to a highly compressed natural gas. Natural gas lines don't run along highways. How to supply heavy trucks on cross country routes? Highly compressed natural gas can not safely transported to work sites. How to power cranes, bulldozers, tractors, crop harvesters, mining equipment, freight trains, cargo ships, airplanes?

Must I go on? You have failed to convince anyone that natural gas is even a useful local urban transport fuel, except in special circumstances (some bus routes or inside warehouses.) You have failed this debate a dozen times and you will fail again.

Give it up troll.


Plus, it's easy to tell who's who with the list of common cliches and spelling errors, never mind thinking and judgement errors.
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby basil_hayden » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 16:10:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A')re you ever going to learn how to format your crap better?

I still wouldn't read it though. Your responses are still as vacuous as they have ever been.


Git outta meh tree, durnit!
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby peeker01 » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 16:17:28

Yep, there is no room on PO for "Exploring Hydrocarbon Depletion" We should rename it
Peet's Playhouse of Doom"
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Re: Natural Gas Prices VS. Oil

Unread postby basil_hayden » Thu 11 Aug 2011, 16:31:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peeker01', 'Y')ep, there is no room on PO for "Exploring Hydrocarbon Depletion" We should rename it
Peet's Playhouse of Doom"


Or Peeker's dePleting Powers of Persuasion.
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Natural Gas is Not the Answer

Unread postby Graeme » Tue 30 Aug 2011, 19:12:05

Natural Gas is Not the Answer

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here is no denying that in the last decade, renewable energy has edged away from the peripherals of public discussion, onto center stage. This industry that was once criticized as expensive, unreliable, or unrealistic is now being heralded as the future of energy, with scores of new solar and wind projects coming online every day.

It is surprising, then, that another resource is rising in popularity simultaneously, one that is also being praised as a replacement for North America’s dependence on other highly-polluting energy sources. Natural gas has been increasing in prevalence as an energy source in North America, mainly because large deposits of it can be found in Canada and the United States. This fuel is cleaner than traditional energy sources such as coal and relatively easy to extract, making it an attractive alternative fuel source for many.

But exchanging one dirty fuel for another slightly cleaner fuel is not a good long-term strategy, warn climate scientists. Natural gas has many implications for both the health of the environment and local citizens. The new method of extracting the fuel, called hydraulic fracturing (fracking) has controversy swirling about alleged health problems and environmental damage that has sparked mass protests. (More information on that here.)

"If governments are serious about climate change, they have to be moving away from natural gas," said Matthew Bramley, Pembina's director of research.

In a 40-page report released in partnership with the Pembina Institute, scientists instead urge the public to not think of natural gas as a temporary band-aid to meet short-term energy efficiency targets.


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Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe. H. G. Wells.
Fatih Birol's motto: leave oil before it leaves us.
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