by FatherOfTwo » Thu 19 May 2005, 11:51:48
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', 'F')irst, my thesis is that energy isn't 'declining'. Cheap liquid fuel is. Everything on your list is a vague commoditie without any details illustrating just why cheap petroleum alone can supply them. You're arguing from your gut here.
Finally, though I'm enamored with nuclear technology, I only advocate its use as an illustration of why we aren't running out of inexpensive energy. We are running out of inexensive fuel, which is an altogether different matter. I expect nuclear fission power will be replaced by something cheaper and more cost effective over the next century or two.
I think most do underestimate the lengths to which we are going to go to keep things going. We will synthesize fuel. We will go absolutely gang busters on nuclear and coal, and the environment is going to suffer for it. But what Dezakin is missing is the enormous, and I mean enormous upheaval that the loss of cheap oil is going to create. It is just too big a piece of the pie, and our infrastructure and economic system are SO dependent on it, that it will be the major event of our lifetimes. We're going to try to replace it, but we are going to fall way short. In fact, we may be too late... did you see that
the first nuclear plant won't be ready until 2014?!That nuclear plant and many more need to be coming online
well before we reach peak, which many are still forecasting to happen in the next few years. That is too little too late Dezakin.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '
')Second, the waste disposal issue is vastly overrated. The volume of waste is so very small that you could stick the entire lot produced over a century in a number of warehouses. In fact thats my preferred method. Why do you need to treat nuclear waste as if you need to shunt it away for all time, when most of it will be as radioactive as dirt in a couple of centuries, and the actinides are likely to have market value by then anyways. Revisit the issue in fifty or a hundred years.
I’m not going to touch that with a ten foot pole. Well, actually, where do you live? I’d like to propose building a waste storage warehouse right next to your place.