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There's nothing more to talk about

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby PrestonSturges » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 14:35:50

You have to wonder what is driving the GOP to suddenly loot state and local budgets, rewrite the voting laws, and generally create a scorched earth/Thousand Year Reich strategy.

I mean, "because they can" is a pretty good explanation, but why'd they all get on board for this without anything resembling a strong or even marginally competent leader?

I'm at a loss to explain their success going down this road without a charismatic schizoid drug addicted lunatic leading them, even though the Birchers dominating the party definitely have managed to create a general air of schizoid lunacy in the GOP.

But that's not enough to generate the sense of purpose in the coup we are seeing, what we used to call a "slow-motion coup," but which is now definitely chugging along in real time.

I'm really wondering whether AGW isn't putting the GOP into power grabbing hyperdrive, and they see the writing is on the wall. In several years they'll at a minimum need to reorganize and rename. In 3-5 years, when the public realizes how the GOP has lied to them, the GOP is going to be like the white South Africans during apartheid, and the GOP is consolidating its control on everything in anticipation of the time they will be holding onto those resources by brute force in a system that defines parties by racial identity.

I think that is one of the motives for what seems to be a nationwide movement to sell off, privatize, or carve up the power grid, the school systems, and the watersheds, so that these services will only be available for people with the right party affiliation (Republican). They are heading for the Russian/Chinese model of government, and I think it may be in response to AGW.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby americandream » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 14:53:17

Either one does something politically or like Ludi, stay silent. We have no options here. This is one problem we cannot wish away. We chose foolishly when we elected to go down the path of unbridled exploitation of the planet for personal gain and it isn't working.

This is something that needs to be changed at the global level. Growing your own potatoes from your composting toilet aint gunna work. Hoping that example will influence the mesmerised drones is pie in the sky. If you have kids, you have a generational obligation to make change happen or all this bogus morality that passes for parental devotion is pretty bloody worthless. Either that, or like Ludi, take to being silent and minimise the confusion that reigns.

Waffling on about composting your way out of this ballsup is just more delaying tactics and downright dangerous for your kids health. As a friend of mine is fond of saying, either shit or get off the pot.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby Timo » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 15:03:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'A')s a friend of mine is fond of saying, either shit or get off the pot.

At the risk of venturing off into an entirely different thred elsewhere here on PO, i'd prefer to get ON pot, myself. Although, truth be told, the Republicans control almost all of this shit this country has ever produced.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby americandream » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 15:53:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Timo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'A')s a friend of mine is fond of saying, either shit or get off the pot.

At the risk of venturing off into an entirely different thred elsewhere here on PO, i'd prefer to get ON pot, myself. Although, truth be told, the Republicans control almost all of this shit this country has ever produced.


It does not really matter what or whom the opposition are. We know the issues, we examine the remedies and we run with the challenges. In essence, capitalist BAU is either sustainable and its proponents take us step by step through that process in identifying the fault lines and resolutions (which include both use of the planet and attending to the monumental waste from that use, especially as it gears up to the full 6 billion (and rising)) or, where they fail to deal comprehensively with the issues, MUST make way for the only reasonable alternatives.

I am nowhere near satisfied that BAU capitalism is capable of resolving it's polluting footprint on the planet. It may well be able to devise some energy and resourcing alchemy, but that is not the problem. What is, is the vast amount of waste this system generates both in terms of atmospheric as well as other residue. We do not have the time to play around with perma-culturing this mess and it has to go and make way for a non-commercialised, steady state and communal modernity. That message needs to cut through the bullshit by as many of us who really have got to grips with the issues. Those who seek to use green plasters for this mega folly are a part of the problem and need to go away and shut up.

And this is a global problem which requires that we remove our parochial hats.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby mos6507 » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 16:14:04

" That message needs to cut through the bullshit by as many of us who really have got to grips with the issues."

How? Bitching on a worldsend?
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby americandream » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 16:35:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '&')quot; That message needs to cut through the bullshit by as many of us who really have got to grips with the issues."

How? Bitching on a worldsend?


Why not? All means of communication MUST be utilised, even the internet and forums. I would say that is pretty evident, don't you? And don't get any silly idea that because I am on here spreading the need for fast action, that I do not engage likewise in real life. That's one too many hasty assumptions that perhaps speaks more for your confusion that any real notion as to what is wrong and what needs to be done.

As for the bitching, wheres the bitching in clearly identifying a problem and standing by your reasonable beliefs which I have done from day one in the forum. I have consistently made it clear that folly rules this planet in both the way we fight like deranged fools over its resources and the manner in whch we use those resources. The fact that we seek to redeem the irredeemable.

I am not really concerned with how abusively persuasive the next fellow is. I know the issues and want results. Now if you have some persuasive arguments for demonstrating how capitalism can be made user friendly in the context of what Ludi has raised, I am all ears. But characterising my politicking as bitching misses my reasonable call for clarity in this debate from the opposition and its apologists and the need for focussed action. Don't bring green elsatoplasts on here as some panacea for capitalism's inherent terminality without addressing the global context of the problem. An earth toilet here and a hybrid there wont work. That's just plain old confused and confusing.

There are no winners and losers in this game...only losers. Try and get that into your noggin.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 17:59:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Timo', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', 'A')s a friend of mine is fond of saying, either shit or get off the pot.

At the risk of venturing off into an entirely different thred elsewhere here on PO, i'd prefer to get ON pot, myself. Although, truth be told, the Republicans control almost all of this shit this country has ever produced.


The war on drugs is a war that's failed.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 18:10:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hy are we talking about anything but our imminent death from Global Warming?

:?:

Why are so few people talking about this?

:?:


Ludi, I don't know. It's a GREAT question.

Kinda blows your mind doesn't it.

And..........you don't have to believe Cid for it to be a great question. Let's say there is a 1 in a 1,000 chance he is right, 0.1%. Even then the consequences are so huge.

While Cid is being very "in your face" about it his scenario is not the only one. Look at Jim Hansen, he is saying a similar thing, only out a few more years. He says if we burn all the gas and oil it is likely we will cook Earth, if we burn all the tar sands and coal it is assured. Since no one seems to be talking about Hansen, or any of the others who feel as he does, then it just makes the matter all that more incredible.

So, I repeat GREAT question. Why the HELL arn't more of us talking about it?

I know I tried to get the conversation going in my community and failed.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby americandream » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 18:15:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hy are we talking about anything but our imminent death from Global Warming?

:?:

Why are so few people talking about this?

:?:


Ludi, I don't know. It's a GREAT question.

Kinda blows your mind doesn't it.

And..........you don't have to believe Cid for it to be a great question. Let's say there is a 1 in a 1,000 chance he is right, 0.1%. Even then the consequences are so huge.

While Cid is being very "in your face" about it his scenario is not the only one. Look at Jim Hansen, he is saying a similar thing, only out a few more years. He says if we burn all the gas and oil it is likely we will cook Earth, if we burn all the tar sands and coal it is assured. Since no one seems to be talking about Hansen, or any of the others who feel as he does, then it just makes the matter all that more incredible.

So, I repeat GREAT question. Why the HELL arn't more of us talking about it?

I know I tried to get it going here and failed.


You gotta plod on and hammer home you argument, no matter how long it takes.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby ian807 » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 18:36:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hy are we talking about anything but our imminent death from Global Warming?

It's a severe problem, but I don't see it as immanent death for several reasons:

1) The planet has existing homoeostatic mechanisms for dealing with excess Co2. Algae, plants and such. In the presence of increased CO2, they grow larger and lusher and mop up CO2. I expect that this will continue.

2) As peak oil rears its head, the supply chains necessary to make use of all fossil fuels will eventually breaks down so that even available fossil fuels will not be used in huge quantities (I think "huge quantities" of anything will become unsupportable). Decreased use of fossil fuels will, like it or not, remove some, but not all of the problem.

3) The remaining problem, excess methane, will take longer to go away, but at some point, this stuff too, gets broken down by sunlight, cloud bacteria and so on. Still, it's an open question as to how long this takes. We could be in for a few decades of temperature increases or a few centuries. Economically and ecologically disastrous for many of us, yes, but unlikely to be fatal for all.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby oowolf » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 18:37:54

Most of the folks here (and similar sites) are what Gladwell describes as "mavens" and "connectors". We're the "big picture" people; among the first to sense a paradigm shift. In an emergency situation, most sheeple will sit waiting for someone else to make the first move. If you accept the 80/20 Pareto principle of the vital few--we're the ones who first realize that the Titanic IS actually going to sink, and make preparations for survival. Remember, 1500 people simply went down with the ship--it wasn't necessary for them to prepare because they were the ones who were going to die.

This assumes the emergency is survivable. Unsurvivable events aren't worth worring about because they are not zero-sum Pareto optimal--everyone loses; game over. Dealing with an end-Permian-grade anoxic atmosphere, supervolcano, nuclear holocaust, asteroid collision, etc. etc., is beyond individual effort. I doubt there's anyone here who actually believes petro-industrial "civilization" will willingly revert to a sustainable way of living. We have metastised and are now a cancer in the body of Gaia and are likely to set evolution back 250,000,000 years. As Pogo's Walt Kelly said: "There is no need to sally forth, for it remains true that those things which make us human are, curiously enough, always close at hand. Resolve, then, that on this very ground, with small flags waving and tiny blasts of tiny trumpets, we shall meet the enemy, and not only may he be ours, he may be us."

'tis sad....
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby scas » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 18:38:58

If anyone is wondering as to timelines, once the warming kicks in from an Arctic giving off 3.5+ Gt per year, it could be tens of degrees over a decade or two. All that ice and snow is going to help for a bit though.

Interesting reading from 2008.

http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/sep2008 ... -22-02.asp
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby americandream » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 18:45:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ian807', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hy are we talking about anything but our imminent death from Global Warming?

It's a severe problem, but I don't see it as immanent death for several reasons:

1) The planet has existing homoeostatic mechanisms for dealing with excess Co2. Algae, plants and such. In the presence of increased CO2, they grow larger and lusher and mop up CO2. I expect that this will continue.

2) As peak oil rears its head, the supply chains necessary to make use of all fossil fuels will eventually breaks down so that even available fossil fuels will not be used in huge quantities (I think "huge quantities" of anything will become unsupportable). Decreased use of fossil fuels will, like it or not, remove some, but not all of the problem.

3) The remaining problem, excess methane, will take longer to go away, but at some point, this stuff too, gets broken down by sunlight, cloud bacteria and so on. Still, it's an open question as to how long this takes. We could be in for a few decades of temperature increases or a few centuries. Economically and ecologically disastrous for many of us, yes, but unlikely to be fatal for all.


So do you reckon that the methane venting will be sufficiently leisurely to ensure that natural processes mitigate its effects ensuring some survivors? Do you have anything to back this up given the emerging evidence that we may have passed the point of no return with methane outgassing?
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 20:13:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hy are we talking about anything but our imminent death from Global Warming?

:?:

Why are so few people talking about this?

:?:


Ludi, I don't know. It's a GREAT question.

Kinda blows your mind doesn't it.

And..........you don't have to believe Cid for it to be a great question. Let's say there is a 1 in a 1,000 chance he is right, 0.1%. Even then the consequences are so huge.

While Cid is being very "in your face" about it his scenario is not the only one. Look at Jim Hansen, he is saying a similar thing, only out a few more years. He says if we burn all the gas and oil it is likely we will cook Earth, if we burn all the tar sands and coal it is assured. Since no one seems to be talking about Hansen, or any of the others who feel as he does, then it just makes the matter all that more incredible.

So, I repeat GREAT question. Why the HELL arn't more of us talking about it?

I know I tried to get it going here and failed.


You gotta plod on and hammer home you argument, no matter how long it takes.


Why??? To what end?
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby TheDude » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 20:35:43

I notice the wikileaks emails weren't full of "But of course this is all moot, since methane outgassing will kill all macroscale life on Earth shortly; but it is entertaining to discuss all this irrelevant data on CO2, since we must keep the public unawares and maintain business as usual for our own purposes, have to have a career after all, and keep that funding rolling in."

Or does somebody on an obscure discussion forum know more about this than the acknowledged experts in the field? Are said experts simply in denial full time? For that matter our core precept is that there are limited amounts of hydrocarbons to burn in the first place, and as Aleklett points out this makes the extreme AGW scenarios dubious to begin with.

Mostly I just carry on, but then I'm not a fervent activist. Felt a bit Active a few years ago, but now...this is all very much out of our hands; walk/bike/garden all you want, did any of it keep the Chinese from piling on another 1 mb/d last year?
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby americandream » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 20:56:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hy are we talking about anything but our imminent death from Global Warming?

:?:

Why are so few people talking about this?

:?:


Ludi, I don't know. It's a GREAT question.

Kinda blows your mind doesn't it.

And..........you don't have to believe Cid for it to be a great question. Let's say there is a 1 in a 1,000 chance he is right, 0.1%. Even then the consequences are so huge.

While Cid is being very "in your face" about it his scenario is not the only one. Look at Jim Hansen, he is saying a similar thing, only out a few more years. He says if we burn all the gas and oil it is likely we will cook Earth, if we burn all the tar sands and coal it is assured. Since no one seems to be talking about Hansen, or any of the others who feel as he does, then it just makes the matter all that more incredible.

So, I repeat GREAT question. Why the HELL arn't more of us talking about it?

I know I tried to get it going here and failed.


You gotta plod on and hammer home you argument, no matter how long it takes.


Why??? To what end?


Why not? Had our forebears bowed down and took the kick to the head from our British imperial overlords rather than go in search of the good life, neither one of us would have been enjoying the good life in the colonies. I guess, they could have said, why bother but they didn't and got off their collective butts in a bid for a better world, crossed the oceans and faced the challenges that life always throws at us.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby ian807 » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 21:04:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '
')So do you reckon that the methane venting will be sufficiently leisurely to ensure that natural processes mitigate its effects ensuring some survivors? Do you have anything to back this up given the emerging evidence that we may have passed the point of no return with methane outgassing?

I think we probably have passed the point beyond which we can do anything about it.

But look, with the exception of trivial amounts of abiotic hydrocarbons, every bit of methane, coal and oil now below ground was once above ground in the form of living breathing creatures. Life survived this and worse. I expect a few of the smart tailless hominids on the surface will survive too.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby americandream » Thu 03 Mar 2011, 21:31:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ian807', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '
')So do you reckon that the methane venting will be sufficiently leisurely to ensure that natural processes mitigate its effects ensuring some survivors? Do you have anything to back this up given the emerging evidence that we may have passed the point of no return with methane outgassing?

I think we probably have passed the point beyond which we can do anything about it.

But look, with the exception of trivial amounts of abiotic hydrocarbons, every bit of methane, coal and oil now below ground was once above ground in the form of living breathing creatures. Life survived this and worse. I expect a few of the smart tailless hominids on the surface will survive too.


I think the point made by Ludi was the hopelessness of it all for our species as opposed to some of the more robust ones that may or may not survive the hellish conditions 5 or 6 celcius rises will generate. As it is, there is reasonably good evidence that the methane venting that is likely to triggers these rises is underway notwithstanding periodic solar cooling and quite rightly there is some concern and consequent interest in alternative scientific views that comprehensively address these risks. As it is, I have meemoe on another thread trying to convince me that periodic solar cooling will step into the breach without really answering the question, what about after the end of the solar minimum...what then. Likewise, if theres any reasonable evidence that the methane venting is not as risky as it seems for humans or is overblown, I would be delighted to look at it.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby Newfie » Fri 04 Mar 2011, 09:12:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')
Why??? To what end?


Why not? Had our forebears bowed down and took the kick to the head from our British imperial overlords rather than go in search of the good life, neither one of us would have been enjoying the good life in the colonies. I guess, they could have said, why bother but they didn't and got off their collective butts in a bid for a better world, crossed the oceans and faced the challenges that life always throws at us.


I think your example is different. In your cited case it was a select group who were able to take action against their overlords. The overlords had their hands full elsewhere and their enemies gave us some help. And, to be fair, it wasn't ALL our forefathers, many were loyalist.

Today we, a very few, are trying to convince a huge majority that there is an issue. The majority does not perceive the changes nor the danger. Someone recently said that they see us doomers as being able to pick up changes early, an early warning system. I do think that at some time the flock will hear our voice, but then will change course in a violent manner. That violent manner will most likely not help the situation but merely be an emotional reaction to the newly perceived danger. The first thing they will want to do is to blame someone, probably the doomers for starting the panic.

I don't mean to stop you from doing all you can, and I will and do whenever I see an opportunity. In the meantime I am trying to figure out how to survive the flock when they wake up. That, quite frankly, is the more imminent danger, no matter how real the long term danger is.
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Re: There's nothing more to talk about

Unread postby Revi » Fri 04 Mar 2011, 09:51:56

Nobody wants to hear what's going on. I went to try to buy a four stroke motor for my boat. The salesman who I have known for years tried to convince me that global warming is a myth. I went along with it in the hope that I could get the price down a couple of hundred dollars, but he just wanted to convince me that I know nothing. I didn't end up buying the motor.

I try not to get into much of a discussion with people about global warming. It's cold out, so they can't understand what I'm saying. People can't hear me anyway. I told some of my colleagues about peak oil years ago, but they all buy bigger vehicles anyway. They are all going broke, and they can't understand why. They ridicule me for having small vehicles, and driving an electric car. They really can't comprehend what I'm saying. I've quit preaching. We save over $3000 dollars a year from the changes we've made, so that speaks for itself.

Imagine if you were on the Titanic and some guy came up to you early in the voyage and told you that the ship was going to sink. Would you listen to him or dismiss him as a nutter? If you were that guy and you knew what was happening would it help you to tell others? Or would it be better to scope out the lifeboats and make a raft out of deck chairs? I think the latter. That's why I prepare for what's coming every day. After work my second job is to get ready. If someone is really interested, I'll tell them what I'm doing and why, but I'm not telling any of my colleagues any more. It just pisses them off.
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