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What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby sparky » Fri 18 Feb 2011, 07:38:06

.
Most people don't panic at the drop of a hat
they want to see real actual sustained catastrophes to think of the worst.
There is an ancestral memory of the worst in our genes
people prefer hard case denial , they are right
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby joewp » Sat 19 Feb 2011, 20:48:30

I thought it's been trying for years, but nobody seems to be interested.
This is the front page of USA Today in the wake of Katrina and Rita.
Image

The article is still on line here: USATODAY.com - Debate brews: Has oil production peaked?

There was even some of our favorite geologists in the article:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '&')quot;The least-bad scenario is a hard landing, global recession worse than the 1930s," says Kenneth Deffeyes, a Princeton University professor emeritus of geosciences. "The worst-case borrows from the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse: war, famine, pestilence and death."

He's not kidding: Production of pesticides and fertilizers needed to sustain crop yields rely on large quantities of chemicals derived from petroleum. And Stanford University's Amos Nur says China and the United States could "slide into a military conflict" over oil.


So I think it looks like a big yawn to the masses and quickly dropped by the media, because that's happened a number of times already.
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 27 Feb 2011, 10:32:02

The title of that article, though is instructive. It's phrased as a question, not as a statement. The IEA has said that conventional oil has peaked. It's a statement. Now, it's a yawner on the basis that unconventional has and will continue to bridge the gap for some time to come. But obviously we're in a post-peak world in terms of conventional, so those who were screaming up and done that conventional wouldn't peak have lost the debate. It then moves on down to debating how long unconventional will forestall doom, and what that doom looks like.

This follows the same pattern as global warming. Is there global warming? Then it's "ok, there's global warming, but is it our fault?" and then "well, maybe it isn't so bad"? One defensive position after another as the situation continues to evolve under our feet. The common pattern being that we continue on the enterprise of BAU while ignoring the warning signs.
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby dinopello » Sun 13 Mar 2011, 12:00:16

Wasn't sure where to ppost this but just saw on TV. Alaskan Senator Lisa Murkowski giving a statement on rising oil prices

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e don’t import oil because our domestic reserves are exhausted – not even close. Since 1919 people have claimed that America is running out of oil. It might surprise you that we’re still the world’s third largest oil producer and seem to find more whenever we actually look.


Theoretically, a senator from an oil state like Alaska should be the most sophisticated and someone the masses should look to for what to do. She tells the masses - peok oil is a bunch of hooey, and all we need to do is look harder.
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby AgentR11 » Tue 22 Mar 2011, 11:41:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'j')ust to get off topic, what happens if gas doesn't go to $25, what happens if it stays around $5 but the number of people who can afford $5 a gallon just gets smaller and smaller?


I did originally think this is the way things would go; but the Fed seems hell bent that there shall be no deflation, and considering that they could put 500 trillion dollars into circulation if they felt like it; I think I kinda have to go with the rising price side. A better way to think about it would be to match it vs a common staple like a can of chili. [I've been working on fixing a home-made chili recipe to my tastes.. so I may be chili obsessed at the moment].

Its within my memory that a can of chili would buy a gallon of gas. Now a can of chili buys a bit more than a third of a gallon of gas. What happens to the way people use gas when a gallon of it costs the same as twenty cans of chili?
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby davep » Tue 22 Mar 2011, 14:13:47

Peak oil has been more or less accepted in French late-night talking head shows for a few years now.

Phrases such as L'ère de l'après-pétrole are often bandied about and nobody seems to disagree. But they never pursue the arguments to their logical conclusions, always assuming that some technofix can solve things. I guess in the country where 80% of electricity is produced from nuclear, this kind of dirigisme is seen to be normal.
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby Asterisk » Wed 30 Mar 2011, 12:04:16

Had to chime in. Just listened to Obama give a speech on energy and he said that his goal was to cut dependence on foreign oil by one third over the next decade.

WHAT KIND OF CRAP IS THAT???!!!!

First of all, peak oil is going to cut it a lot more by then, and second what the hell would that do anyway?

How pathetic. I can only assume that he's saying that publicly but behind closed doors they know exactly what is going on and that we are screwed beyond all recognition.

It was just such a ridiculous goal that I had to come on here and vent.
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby bratticus » Fri 01 Apr 2011, 09:41:55

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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby bratticus » Wed 04 May 2011, 18:47:39

is "mainstream" about repetition?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]@lamalgama
El próximo 9 de mayo se intentará hacer del hashtag #peakoil TT en España, así que se agradecerá la ayuda de todos http://xurl.es/6ld8x


In literal English:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')n May 9th we will try to make hashtag #peakoil TT in Spain, so I appreciate everyone's help http://xurl.es/6ld8x

"hashtag #peakoil" is a searching thing. A hash (or sharp, etc.) is the "#" character. A "hashtag" is a hash followed by a search keyword.

TT = Top Tweet (most repetitious tweet)
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby papa moose » Tue 04 Oct 2011, 03:26:19

Cross post from:

Occupy Wall Street demonstrations spread across USA
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1081381.html#p1081381

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url]http://occupywallst.org/forum/proposed-list-of-demands-for-occupy-wall-st-moveme/[/url]
[Demand five: Begin a fast track process to bring the fossil fuel economy to an end while at the same bringing the alternative energy economy up to energy demand.


OK, it doesn't specifically mention PO but what other reason for ending the ff economy?
Just cos, for example, you hate pollution doesn't follow u want to shut down ff industry, just more controls/laws/money put into controlling it better.
Demanding end of ff industry displays an understanding that cheap-oil is gone and expensive-oil is the new normal-oil, IMHO.
Not that this implies everyone in the movement is PO aware but at least whoever wrote these demands must.
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby AgentR11 » Tue 04 Oct 2011, 10:31:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url]http://occupywallst.org/forum/proposed-list-of-demands-for-occupy-wall-st-moveme/[/url]
[Demand five: Begin a fast track process to bring the fossil fuel economy to an end while at the same bringing the alternative energy economy up to energy demand.

Its sometimes hard to filter "plank - filler" from honest core objectives, but it does indicate that there are some folks out there that are at least focused on an underlying problem. Their demand, of course, isn't realistic; and as long as we have the heebee-geebees about nuclear power; we have a *LONG* way to go before we could even consider abandoning fossil fuels; but progress is progress I suppose.

I do wonder how effective protests like these can be in our modern age; it seems to me that they are likely just inconveniencing some secretarial office workers, accountants, and low level agents. In the face of any serious protest, those with decisive power in finance could likely run their entire operation from their office at home for a substantial period of time. ie, those the protest means to annoy, aren't... those that the protest purports to want to help, are.
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Re: What does peak oil becoming mainstream LOOK like?

Unread postby papa moose » Tue 04 Oct 2011, 21:57:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR11', 'I') do wonder how effective protests like these can be in our modern age; it seems to me that they are likely just inconveniencing some secretarial office workers, accountants, and low level agents. In the face of any serious protest, those with decisive power in finance could likely run their entire operation from their office at home for a substantial period of time. ie, those the protest means to annoy, aren't... those that the protest purports to want to help, are.


I hear what you're saying.
Bear in mind that the financial/investment industries are very much based on sentiment, having 1000s of angry protestors milling outside your lobby is hardly likely to instill confidence in the minds of the traders, even less so if they resign themselves to staying home and telecommuting.
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