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2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Narz » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 01:40:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GASMON', 'I')t will still be a machine, albeit a thinking machine.

It will NOT have a sense of humour, be able to pick it's nose, scratch it's arse,
just say "sod it" or bugger off home early on friday afternoon.

Dull, boring days ahead.

Gas

I don't see why computers can't make jokes. I don't generally choose friends based on nose-picking or arse-scratching ability.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 01:59:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('GASMON', 'I')t will still be a machine, albeit a thinking machine.

It will NOT have a sense of humour, be able to pick it's nose, scratch it's arse,
just say "sod it" or bugger off home early on friday afternoon.

Dull, boring days ahead.

Gas

I don't see why computers can't make jokes. I don't generally choose friends based on nose-picking or arse-scratching ability.


Actually Gas raises a good point. If you think about it, "humanity" is more than just neurons. We're hugely influenced by hormones as well -- from testosterone, estrogen, adrenaline, etc. How could that ever be modeled by an AI? And, who we are is really the product of many years of programming, so to speak. How could a computer ever tell a joke, if it's never felt pain?

To create real artificial human intelligence you'd have to model everything, hormones plus all the life experience of being human. So I don't think the AI will be human intelligence, but a new kind of sentience.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Golgo13 » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 02:37:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('green_achers', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..whatever it is our brains are doing when they create consciousness — not just doing arithmetic very quickly or composing piano music but also driving cars, writing books, making ethical decisions, appreciating fancy paintings, making witty observations at cocktail parties.

OK, so I'm writing an article about some sort of great new thing and it comes time to make a list of things that human brains do that differentiate human consciousness from machine computational power. What's the first thing I decide to list? Oh, of course, driving cars.


Google has a computer that does that.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Atmk07Otu9U
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Sys1 » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 02:39:33

"How could a computer ever tell a joke, if it's never felt pain?"

This is a story from my father-in-law who was computer/physic teacher. He knew a friend who tryed to develop an AI, that was actually similar to what is called today "Chatbot". For tests, many questions more or less difficult were asked. This is the pretty funny "log" :

User : Hello!
Computer : Hi!
User : I have a question for you!
Computer : I'm ready.
User : What is Earth's weight?
Computer : With or without humans?

By the way, I'm developping myself (just for fun, since my job has nothing to do with this) a french chatbot for 2 years. From previous posts, I can tell you that we won't ever be able to create intelligence without a "true body". The 5 feeling are necessary to create AI, pain and pleasure must be modelized with it. Imagine someone (or here a machine) unable to touch, to see, to hear, to smell, to taste. What would be the point to have a brillant brain?
Moreover, it's crazy to think that a true AI would not search for fun or stop working. Journalists writing that are melting some "qualities" of basic machine with a supposed God brain. Nonsense. It's like a naughty boy asking Santa to bring him a true Optimus Prime.
A true AI could either decide to paint, to suicide, or to have fun playing starcraft or chess with its friends. AI could eventually even create a virtual world in which it would be happy forever with its.... human avatar. AI could also decide to create a breach in spacetime in order to create a new Big Bang instead of letting the universe expand forever. This case would be interesting. The origine of the universe would be itself, and God a super computer playing with the limits of physic.
Whatever the AI, note that humans are not playing any role (beside creating the first one). AI would mean mankind is obsolete.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 06:12:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sys1', 'U')ser : Hello!
Computer : Hi!
User : I have a question for you!
Computer : I'm ready.
User : What is Earth's weight?
Computer : With or without humans?


Your post got me trying a chatbot. This is cleverbot:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U')ser: Do you know what peak oil is?

Cleverbot: No, I know what crude oil is.

User: Do you want to know what peak oil is?

Cleverbot: Yes.

User: Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum extraction is reached, after which the rate of production enters terminal decline.

Cleverbot: I'm not talking about Peak Oil.

User: You don't want to talk about peak oil?

Cleverbot: I don't really care.

User: Tell me a joke.

Cleverbot: I don't know any.

User: Try to make one up.

Cleverbot: Make one?

User: Try to think of a joke.

Cleverbot: OK.

User: Was that the joke?

Cleverbot: No, you tell me a joke.

User: Tell me a joke.

Cleverbot: I already did, it's your turn.

User: User : What is Earth's weight? Computer : With or without humans?

Cleverbot: With.
http://www.cleverbot.com/


:lol:

It's interesting that it didn't know what peak oil is, but knew it had something to do with crude oil. Or is this all random? How do they program this?
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby mididoctors » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 13:19:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sys1', ' ')human avatar. AI could also decide to create a breach in spacetime in order to create a new Big Bang instead of letting the universe expand forever. This case would be interesting. The origine of the universe would be itself, and God a super computer playing with the limits of physic.
Whatever the AI, note that humans are not playing any role (beside creating the first one). AI would mean mankind is obsolete.


Metric engineering..

creating a breach in space time?

well heady stuff.....

do we really have enough data points or insight to presume technical ability really does expand forever


perhaps the universe is a lot more limiting than we would like to believe?
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Carlhole » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 18:26:25

It seems to me that the crazier scientific assertion is that humans are unable to understand biology. This hasn't been proved and doesn't seem likely at all.

But if scientists are ABLE to understand biology, then we will have a Singularity event.

Mapping the fruit fly brain

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ASHINGTON — A new computer-based technique is exploring uncharted territory in the fruit fly brain with cell-by-cell detail that can be built into networks for a detailed look at how neurons work together. The research may ultimately lead to a complete master plan of the entire fly brain. Mapping the estimated 100,000 neurons in a fly brain, and seeing how they interact to control behavior, will be a powerful tool for figuring out how the billions of neurons in the human brain work.


I mean, Nature has already proven that high intelligence can emerge from highly organized matter, now we are finally getting around to exploring how many ways and to what degree that might be done.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby mididoctors » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 19:15:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'I')t seems to me that the crazier scientific assertion is that humans are unable to understand biology. This hasn't been proved and doesn't seem likely at all.

But if scientists are ABLE to understand biology, then we will have a Singularity event.



I am not sure that follows..

firstly what do you mean by understand?

we understand a lot of things in great depth but they haven't resulted in some sort of singularity?
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Arthur75 » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 19:19:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Carlhole', 'I')t seems to me that the crazier scientific assertion is that humans are unable to understand biology.


Any scientific knowledge, whatever it is, can be written in a book. Any book is dead. Animals are not.
You always tend to mix up knowledge and machines (that are as dead as books by the way, even if writing themselves or whatever)
Singularity is an ultra utilitarianist boring cult, nothing more.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby peripato » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 21:23:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'J')esus WILL return in clouds of glory. :)

Image

Human stupidity is increasing exponentially and the only singularity we will be progressing through this century, it seems, is collapse. Unfortunately, it will not be humans that transcend biology, but biology that transcends us, in the form of a dieoff.

Would that there were a short position I could take against Kurzweil's lamebrain prediction, but I suspect I will be laid out in my wooden suit well before 2045.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 21:26:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', ' ')Unfortunately, it will not be humans that transcend biology, but biology that transcends us, in the form of a dieoff.


Yepadoo. :) <<<<<< bitter smile
Last edited by Ludi on Mon 14 Feb 2011, 17:13:29, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Narz » Sun 13 Feb 2011, 22:26:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', 'A')ctually Gas raises a good point. If you think about it, "humanity" is more than just neurons. We're hugely influenced by hormones as well -- from testosterone, estrogen, adrenaline, etc. How could that ever be modeled by an AI? And, who we are is really the product of many years of programming, so to speak. How could a computer ever tell a joke, if it's never felt pain?

To create real artificial human intelligence you'd have to model everything, hormones plus all the life experience of being human. So I don't think the AI will be human intelligence, but a new kind of sentience.

Well it doesn't necessarily have to understand humor to use it.
“Seek simplicity but distrust it”
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby NickyBoy » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 10:11:29

There are many reasons why a ‘pure’ Artificial Intelligence is unlikely to emerge in the format that the media/vocal supporters present, but the viewpoints of some of the luddites in this thread are significantly wide of the mark (“I do not understand this therefore it cannot happen”- Seriously? That’s the worst aspect of human ignorance being displayed right there.)

Adaptive expert systems designed to work at a very deep interactive level (potentially deeper than via our senses) with humans are far more likely to arrive first, as they are a simple extrapolation of modern technology that provide the majority of the benefits derived from an AI without the need to programmatically reproduce sentience.

We already see this trend occurring, with human support tools being found in ever shrinking electronic devices and each generation learning to use them with a higher degree of instinctive expertise.

If the Singularity event does occur it will be the child of Synthetic Hybrid Intelligences – Data retrieval/storage/processing devices with lightning fast logical decision making directly wired up to a human brain that provides sentient oversight and intuitive decision making.

If we don’t kill ourselves and our civilization first, some form of singularity event via Synthetic Hybrid Intelligences is almost inevitable….but that’s a bloody big if!
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Arthur75 » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 11:22:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NickyBoy', '(')“I do not understand this therefore it cannot happen”- Seriously? That’s the worst aspect of human ignorance being displayed right there.)

blah blah blah


What you should question is your desire for AI, as well as the fact that you view "not being a fan of it" as an "anti modern" position or something.

Fact is, the usual custom in science is to publish results and not mere wishes, the AI community has forgotten this for already decades.
Moreover most of them do not even really know what happened in Maths at the turn of the XIX/XX century, or when they do they do their best to forget it. As to AI labs, the most used software to come out of MIT "AI" lab for instance, is the X windows system, which would require quite a stretch to be qualified as AI.

Truth is that sticking to above said scientific custom is being really truly Modern and scientific, becoming more of a "popular mechanics" writer is going into the singularity charlatanism business.
Not much more.
And then there is litterature of course, which also says quite a bit about the above for people who can read (and more than philosophy in fact).
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby NickyBoy » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 12:47:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Arthur75', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NickyBoy', '(')“I do not understand this therefore it cannot happen”- Seriously? That’s the worst aspect of human ignorance being displayed right there.)

blah blah blah


What you should question is your desire for AI, as well as the fact that you view "not being a fan of it" as an "anti modern" position or something.



If you actually read the component you so ignorantly replaced with 'blah blah blah' you will see I have no desire for AI at all.

Not only do I have no desire for AI, my direct experience with designing and coding expert systems leads me to the logical conclusion that the ‘dumb’ descendants of such systems will provide all the advantages of an AI, without the need to digitally recreate sentience (so, no AI)

Specifically, what started as a drive for ‘old’ style expert systems (which were considered a derivative of AI and on the whole have proven to be less than popular with most industries) has lead onto the production of ‘new’ style expert systems, which provide processed data at a highly abstract level allowing a human user to quickly make a decision – the ‘decision’ has actually been removed from the computer system and put back into the hands of the user.

In my case, I produce new – model expert systems designed to support reinsurance and large industrial insurance processes. In the past insurance required an individual to have a large knowledge about the area being insured, so that they could adequately calculate risks/costs (insuring an oil tanker for a trip along the coast of Africa is significantly different to providing reinsurance support for a car insurance agency). With the support of the systems my company (and our competitors) produce, an individual can have more generalist knowledge, with the specifics gathered and processed by the system. At the same time data involving the current situation of the insuring company (and in some cases its interactions with the syndicate of financers it draws upon) is pulled up and overlaid against the risk calculations.

This processed information is presented to the insurance expert at a highly abstract level so that they can quickly and intuitively make a decision on an insurance package.

Our recent innovations have not changed the underlying calculations or data sources one iota. Instead the developments have been in two fields

1. Integration with mobile technology, allowing access to the support system from a wider range of small devices.

2. Improvements in user interaction, increasing how intuitive and instinctive the system is to use.

The real bleeding edge of our RnD department is performing the initial groundwork on making sure our systems are compatible with slim-line display/interaction technologies that can be integrated into items like glasses, contact lenses and flexi-form dermal overlays. At the same time user interaction heuristics are being used to refine our information display/manipulation, with the goal being to produce systems that are as instinctive to use as breathing.

My view on what is going to happen with technology in regards to human interaction has nothing to do with pie-in-the-sky idealism or some desperate desire for immortality. It’s based on the hard technology that I design and work with on a daily basis and is currently in use the world over.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Narz » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 17:02:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', ' ')Unfortunately, it will not be humans that transcend biology, but biology that transcends us, in the form of a dieoff.


Yepadoo. :)

Dieoff makes your smile?
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 17:11:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', '
')Dieoff makes your smile?


Sometimes it has to, a bitter smile. 8O But yeah, the smilie is inappropriate.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby mididoctors » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 17:45:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NickyBoy', '
')
1. Integration with mobile technology, allowing access to the support system from a wider range of small devices.

2. Improvements in user interaction, increasing how intuitive and instinctive the system is to use.



So what you suggest is less a singularity but more a world where information is abstracted to a degree where humans can make sense of it ..In this world decisions are still left to humans because the problems they face will still bee seen as a collection of ineffable issues that are new and require value judgements to be made.

this version of the future is really just a upgraded version we already have

people are still people with all their frailties?

this hybrid cyborg culture is hardly transformative as a singularity event and more just a rambling excess of technology some of which will be of benefit (in the main) and some of which will have unintended consequences

bit like the internet.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby peripato » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 18:50:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', '
')Dieoff makes your smile?


Sometimes it has to, a bitter smile. 8O But yeah, the smilie is inappropriate.

As a father, I find it easier to stomach if I don't take it personally.
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Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

Unread postby vaseline2008 » Mon 14 Feb 2011, 19:57:20

To be a true AI wouldn't the AI need to be given the freedom to choose whether it is "good" or "evil"? I'm not so sure any human would want to create a program that would allow it to become evil and possibly take us over...just saying...think of Robocop's prime Directive #4. So in that regards, I truly don't believe we will ever have a true AI but more like slave AI that will do all of our bidding. Well, we already have those kinds of things with automated telephone systems, robots that vacuum your floor, and traffic cameras that give us tickets.
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