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Headlines at odds with each other on OIL

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Headlines at odds with each other on OIL

Unread postby Tanada » Thu 12 May 2005, 18:52:51

First we have news that Oil on the futures market for June took a major dive today, falling into the $48.00 range on speculator beleifs in massive inventories of Crude and Gasoline in the USA. If you look at historical numbers for Gasoline stockpiles the current ammount is just below average, not especially high or low.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/index.cfm?c_i ... D=10125320

I expect that downward spike will reverse itself when the next headline on Oil I read sinks in to the speculator's and analysts models, in this one the Presidente of Venezuala states flat out again that OPEC is pumping as hard as they can to meet world demand.

http://breakingnews.iol.ie/news/story.a ... =y4z688z48

President Chavez goes so far as to state $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')havez, whose country is the world’s fifth largest crude oil exporter, said that all OPEC members were “producing at full steam”.

“There’s a worldwide energy crisis around the corner,” Chavez told reporters at the end of the first Summit of South American-Arab Countries in Brazil.


Now bears may rule the market on Thursday May 12, but when I have seen several different OPEC oil ministers or countries leaders state that things are about to hit the wall it has to make you wonder what straws the market analysts are grasping for.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Unread postby tdrive » Fri 13 May 2005, 00:38:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')eadlines at odds with each other on OIL


They are not at odds. You have to consider that there are
three time horizons for oil prices, near term, mid term and long term.
Each of the time horizons is driven by different fundamentals.
Take this into account and re-read the market data again.

Cheers,
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Unread postby EnemyCombatant » Fri 13 May 2005, 12:44:41

I think this is market manipulation in order to maximize profits. This is being done with foreknowledge that resources are dwindling.

After reading the extensive article in The Economist, I have come to my own conclusion that oil and gas compaines are going to milk this baby dry. It is very troubling that energy companies are not doing any serious R&D on alternative energy resources. Have they just given up? Unlikely. Do they lack the money? LOL! Apparently the world leaders have decided to take us into another direction.
Now why didn't I take the blue pill.
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