by BiGG » Tue 10 May 2005, 19:58:59
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Ok so let's work on assumtion that Benzine/Gasoline costs 5 FRN a gallon.
Now there is just one problem with Petroleum VS. Bio-fuels.
FEDRAL RESEVE NOTES are created out of thin air and can be manipulated.
BIO-FUELS take REAL Human LABOR and RECOURCES....above and beyond the "COST" of Petroleum.
Understand this point well, and you will understand why most here do not put faith in Bio-Fuels.
IF we Factor in the Oil Wars for petroleum into the (human) cost...and it looks mighty bad.
But how bad do you think it would be when Farmland becomes a coveted source of wealth and infrastructure? (Humans will fight for recources of any kind, it is in our nature when we are unleashed from restraints.)
I am a bio-fuels fan BTW, I advocate their use as a stop-gap, but that is all they are IMHO. Otherwise, they are a false messiah in my book. Nothing even in combonation, that we have TODAY, really replaces the "gift" of Petrol recources.
Oh yes there is something much greater then oil ever was, human ingenuity. Rome didn’t fall because others had oil and the United States didn’t become number 1 because this tiny country had superior numbers of people. The opponents were simply out witted & out played in both cases. Computers = technology moving at light speed, nobody can dispute that. Technology = efficiency unheard of just a few years ago, nobody can dispute that.
Biofuels along with other technologies are the future, not just a stopgap. Biowaste & biofuels are sustainable and technology & cost is making them viable. We do have centuries worth of coal, nuclear, wind, sun, hydrogen, and methane along with emerging technologies whose stupid EROEI numbers more than make up for current biofuel shortages all holding an answer for the future.
How much in exports could Canada alone manage if they turned that country into corn fields instead of forestry? Did the doomers ever mention those numbers? Some windmills, solar, coal, methane, hydrogen, & nuclear thrown in with that kind of available land mass and the only problem the Canadians would have is there wouldn’t be enough servants to go around for ALL of its citizens.
Don’t automatically fall for the doomers old tricks of passing off reverse engineering of what we have now in other words. Start with a clean slate and see how we can build something else out of what we have because that’s just exactly what we are in the middle of doing.
What are the EROEI figures for a car that now gets 15 miles to the gallon with existing oil as opposed to a car that gets 60 miles per gallon with ethanol? Do EROEI figures really matter if it cost you $22.00 worth of existing fuel to go 60 miles in that oil powered car instead of the $3 or possibly $4.00 dollars worth of biofuel? You pay less, you use less, you only need one gallon now instead of four, and the four cannot compete with one. That’s your future, efficiency does not require massive amounts of antiquated oil therefore making alternatives viable. The point is, screw EROEI numbers, we will make due just fine with less efferent fuel and a much more efficient world.
What happens to EROEI figures if all the sudden everybody is using geothermal heat and saving 70% of the current oil & gas used? We need 70% less gas, that’s what. How about insulation, efficient transportation, banning incandescent light bulbs and replacing much of the rest of the lighting with solar? There are so many ways to save power we could show a model requiring much, much less fuel requirements now & in the future. That’s what we are doing right now contrary to the doomers who are only playing flimflam tricks by trying to pass off reverse engineering on what we currently use and claim there is no other choice.
Look at what is getting built, not at what is getting torn down or you will find yourself waiting for a horse & buggy while the rest of the world blows past you in their luxury sedans just like the doomers who were claiming the world could never get by without the horse.
"The Stone Age did not end for lack of stone, and the Oil Age will end long before the world runs out of oil" ............ Former Saudi Arabian oil minister Sheikh Zaki Yamani,