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Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby den » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 05:51:58

Hi
I have been following PO for about 18 months because of Global warming. My take, I think we have peaked and that is a gut feeling. Something is not right when Perth is the second most expensive city in Australia has just beat Melbourne, think about that. I have been there twice this year, nice place and the most isolated city in the world. Why because of Iron Ore, gas & oil. I am orginally from Canada and Alberta is booming!!!!! Why because of the tar sands oil!!!!. When you use up to 4.5 barrels of water to extract 1 barrel of oil, I think we have gone mad!!! Plus the fact that we are using NG to heat that tar sands oil which is equlivant of using one barrel of oil. So our net gain in energy is 0!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!. BUT they are making $30.00 US/barrel profit at the moment. There are days when I wonder what planet I live on, have we all gone mad!!!!! This is just my opinion. :evil:
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 06:56:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('den', 'H')i
I have been following PO for about 18 months because of Global warming. My take, I think we have peaked and that is a gut feeling. Something is not right when Perth is the second most expensive city in Australia has just beat Melbourne, think about that. I have been there twice this year, nice place and the most isolated city in the world. Why because of Iron Ore, gas & oil. I am orginally from Canada and Alberta is booming!!!!! Why because of the tar sands oil!!!!. When you use up to 4.5 barrels of water to extract 1 barrel of oil, I think we have gone mad!!! Plus the fact that we are using NG to heat that tar sands oil which is equlivant of using one barrel of oil. So our net gain in energy is 0!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!. BUT they are making $30.00 US/barrel profit at the moment. There are days when I wonder what planet I live on, have we all gone mad!!!!! This is just my opinion. :evil:


Hey Den. Perth must be great? Had friends from Alberta living there for awhile, but no chance to visit them. Ironically, they were studying the feasibility of turning Australian nat gas into N2, but the AUD exchange rate was too strong, so now they are in Egypt to do the samething. Water pricing is always an issue! ; - )

There is no reason why Alberta needs to use nat gas for the extraction of tarsands bitumen, but at the moment this is the cheapest source of energy for them. Longer term they should consider nuclear to produce steam and electricity as an example. They can import the uranium from neighboring Saskatchewan and the CANDU reactor know-how they already possess. No technology is a panecea, but agree it makes no sense to burn non-renewable nat gas to produce synthetic oil. No more than S. Arabia using nat gas to desalinate water for example.

As for using water I think the claims are always exaggerated. Do not get me wrong. Ground water polution is a serious problem anytime you have an industrial process. Downstream water courses like the Athabasca Basin need to be protected from harmful chemicals, and flow levels need to be maintained to keep the ecosystems healthy. However, it is simply wrong to say that 4.5 barrels of water per barrel of oil is used as if it is gone forever?

When I drink a liter of water and take a piss evaporation ensures that almost one liter of water evaporates leaving behind the trace minerals and waste products of my urine, but the evaporated water is pure.

Industrial sized sludge pits are not enironmentally friendly by any stretch of the imagination, but the water is eventually recycled and re-used. But as you are concerned about global warming as well then obviously this is a major drawback of releasing trapped CO2 gases from recovering and burning synthetic oil drawn from the tarsands.

However, in order to curb those emissions you need sources of clean energy. No one that I know is prepared to freeze to death in a dark, cold cave, so long as there is dung, wood, coal or oil to burn to cook and stay warm? Global warming or not. We all leave an energy footprint even if it is only to move about from Canada to Australia and visit nice, but out of the way places like Perth! ; - )
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby den » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 07:38:46

Hi
Thanks for that but please look at the data on water use in N Alberta. There are days I am so annoyed with all the BS that is going on I wish Bill Hicks was still alive!!!! Being Canadian first I will say that Alberta is the Texas of Canada. They have a warped mind set there, sorry if I offend anyone, but that is Alberta. At the moment WW oil production doesn't sound great for the first 6 months of this year.
Thanks Denis
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 09:08:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')t the moment WW oil production doesn't sound great for the first 6 months of this year.

Hello Denis, I am not familar with this term WW? Thanks.

p.s. here is a link that may interest you?

Water is the new oil: CIBC
Last edited by MrBill on Tue 28 Nov 2006, 09:35:49, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 09:18:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'H')ello Denis, I am not familar with this term WW? Thanks.
WW=Whole World?
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Of a thousand burning bridges
Sifting through the ashes every day
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Now is nothing more than a memory
The way things were before
I lost my way" - OCMS
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby Aaron » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 12:22:43

world wide

:)
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby nero » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 16:08:13

My "peak oil - in a paragraph" submission:

Someday the last oil well will be shutdown and the age of oil will be over. No one will notice. (Except those oil trivia buffs who can tell you who Edwin Drake was.) No one will notice because oil production will have been declining from its peak rate for hundreds of years. Almost all oil forecasters expect that peak oil production will occur within the next 30 years. Some people are alarmed that our profligate world economy will not be able to adjust to permanently declining oil production. Others expect us to be able adjust when the time comes. The most sensible of the lot recognize that, either way, we should be preparing now.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby ReserveGrowthRulz » Tue 28 Nov 2006, 22:22:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('den', ' ')Being Canadian first I will say that Alberta is the Texas of Canada. They have a warped mind set there, sorry if I offend anyone, but that is Alberta.


Albertans paid me to teach them how to drill horizontal wells. I loved the place. Good people, good steaks, nice women, spent a year there and loved it, didn't even mind the -40C in Edmonton.
So....heading into our 3rd year post peak and I'm still getting caught in traffic jams!! DieOff already!
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby MrBill » Wed 29 Nov 2006, 04:06:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReserveGrowthRulz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('den', ' ')Being Canadian first I will say that Alberta is the Texas of Canada. They have a warped mind set there, sorry if I offend anyone, but that is Alberta.


Albertans paid me to teach them how to drill horizontal wells. I loved the place. Good people, good steaks, nice women, spent a year there and loved it, didn't even mind the -40C in Edmonton.


Didn't even mind the -40C in Edmonton.... yes, 6-months of winter and 6-months of tough sledding! ; - )

Peak Oil means becoming more creative in the good sense of the word. I hate the waste and the environmental damage wrought by easy motoring, but I have to admire the search for oil and the technology developed to extract it.

As for Alberta, well they are fiscally conservative by nature and that is good. When the Province went into debt a lot of Albertans were pretty upset about it. When the Province then made serious cuts to entitlement and welfare programs to get out of debt, plenty of Albertans were also upset. But they stayed the course. Now that they have their financial house in order some other Provinces are pointing fingers and saying it is all about oil, but that just is not true.

One of the reasons Alberta is behind the curve in building infrastructure like roads, hospitals and schools to cope with the growth is that they were still cutting spending even as this latest rally in crude prices took them by surprise. Up until that time many wells were capped as at $10-15 a barrel, and nat gas was dirt cheap, it was not worth the cost of exploration and development. Plus a few droughts drained the Prairie farmer, while the beef ban to the USA locked in billions of dollars of losses for cattle producers. Against this backdrop it was that Alberta balanced its books and paid down its debt. Something other Provinces were unable to tackle even in good times. Well, if that means we have a warped mind set then so be it.

Post peak oil depletion in a sentence? The haves and the have nots, and the jealousy that will create won't be pretty.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby den » Wed 29 Nov 2006, 04:36:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'w')orld wide

:)


Hi
Yes I meant world wide. Also the reports of up to 4.5 barrels of water used per barrel of oil produced in the tar sands are from reports that I have read.
Thanks Denis
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby grabby » Wed 20 Dec 2006, 00:36:22

PEAK OIL IN ONE SENTANCE:

We either have MORE oil than we think we do, or Less oil than we think we do, and if it is LESS we are in trouble now.

Now with all the shananigans in OPEC and rewards for larger fields, which is most likely?

Correct, we have reached peak.

Peak oil in a thought.

A Republican NEO CON president one year says we should be able to drive as much as we want, this is amrica, and the next year he says
Amrica is addicted and we have to conserve.

what are the chances that something extremely shocking happened?

Correct, Peak oil happened and the Auds told him "No luck, Buck, we are at peak."

1+1=2
Peak oil is here, live with it.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby savethehumans » Thu 21 Dec 2006, 03:05:44

Lovely piece of wisdom from Tom Whipple, in this week's Peak Oil Crisis article:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ow those of you who follow the issue should be aware that the real peak oil debate is whether: a) world oil production has already peaked; b) will peak in 2008 or 2009 as the current round of new oil production projects is completed: or c) will come around 2010 to 2015. Nobody who understands the problem or follows the numbers would say "starting 20 years from now" unless they are sadly uninformed or are being paid to make optimistic noises so we consumers will keep on buying stuff or not start dumping our investments.


Well-put, Tom!

I would ask if there was anyone in power out there who can grasp that simple concept. But most of them are busy hopping on the "we can STILL win in Iraq if we send more cannon fodder (aka "troops")" bandwagon. Anyone who takes that line of reasoning about the oil wars isn't likely to have better reasoning about the depletion of oil. So I shall pass on asking. . . .
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby ReserveGrowthRulz » Thu 21 Dec 2006, 17:39:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('grabby', '
')
1+1=2
Peak oil is here, live with it.


We are. Haven't you noticed?
So....heading into our 3rd year post peak and I'm still getting caught in traffic jams!! DieOff already!
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby Gazzatrone » Mon 19 Mar 2007, 08:55:20

My tuppence worth for those new to PO

If...

Paper Barrels = True (Peak around 2030)
Paper Barrels = False (Peak right about now)

Will the problem of EROEI come sooner than we think.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby TonyPrep » Mon 19 Mar 2007, 16:02:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gazzatrone', 'M')y tuppence worth for those new to PO

If...

Paper Barrels = True (Peak around 2030)
Paper Barrels = False (Peak right about now)

Will the problem of EROEI come sooner than we think.
I'm not sure even 2030 is right, if the paper barrels are there. Some of the paper barrels are OPEC misreporting and others are assumed reserve growth, including discoveries. Maybe 2030 is the date if all paper barrels are true.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby MrBill » Wed 21 Mar 2007, 04:20:58

peak oil in a sentence. a serious problem. peak oil dot com. a site designed to talk about peak oil issues. the problem? one in ten voices want to talk about peak oil issues. the other nine want to rant. that is a problem!
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 24 Mar 2007, 21:56:46

Peak oil in a sentence?

In the future, you will have to work for your money; your money will no longer work for you.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby Plantagenet » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 21:30:01

Peak Oil in three sentences:

Peak Oil is the moment of time when half of the recoverable oil has been extracted. The idea is applicable to individual oil wells, oil fields, states, countries and the entire world. Prior to Peak Oil, oil production is rising, and afterwards oil production will inexorably fall.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby NEOPO » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 21:54:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Because we don't think about future generations, they will never forget us."
-Henrik Tikkanen-

Profound.
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Re: Peak Oil - In a Paragraph

Unread postby Newsseeker » Fri 20 Apr 2007, 10:02:39

The greatest challenge humanity has ever faced.
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