[Billy88]

Hi, I have just learned about the whole peak oil issue about 3 months ago, and I can not get enough information about it. This is my first post and I was wondering if the other memebers would share their view on when they think Peak Oil will happen. I know the ASOP have in their news letter the year 2004 for normal oil and 2007 for all types of oil. I have read that we might have already hit the peak, but I have also read that it might be decades out. I was wondering when the members thought it might happen. Thanks!

[Raxozanne]

Poll of people's views on peak date on this thread:

http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic9054.html

[Such]

It will occur from the years of about now until about 10 years from now.

It's not a date... its a decade.

[Tyler_JC]

March 22nd, 2006 at roughly 3:30 AM Eastern Standard Time.

Happy now?

Peak Oil is not an event, it's a series of them. It doesn't really matter the actual year. I do know that oil will peak within the decade or at least the US economy will crash into an oil-related decline by that point.

Either way it has the same impact for me.

[clv101]

I would say that since many individual countries have peaked (America, Norway, Venezuela, UK, Indonesia etc.), many individual oil majors have peaked (Chevron, Exxon, Shell, Total) and that individual grades of oil have peaked (Light sweet crude) a global peak in all oil grades can't be far away.

Here are two completely different approaches to the question of when peak oil will occur, both returning the same result.

My personal opinion is that the geological peak in crude extraction will be a long drawn out bumpy affair limited by logistics and infrastructure running from around about now through to 2010 when significant decline will set it.

P.S. I've also dropped this reply in your other thread, I expect the mods will merge the two in due course.