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Peak Oil Authors Strahan & Clarke Exchange Letters

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Peak Oil Authors Strahan & Clarke Exchange Letters

Unread postby clv101 » Mon 03 Sep 2007, 19:22:10

Earlier this year two books were published, The Last Oil Shock by David Strahan and The Battle for Barrels by Duncan Clarke. Both books address the question of future oil supplies but came to dramatically differing conclusions; Strahan arguing global oil production will soon peak and go into terminal decline, Clarke highlighting complexities concerning the evaluation of how much oil remains, historical mistakes in production forecasting and suggesting a more abundant view of our energy future.

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In August David Strahan wrote an open letter to Duncan Clarke. It can be read here.
In September Clarke responded with a letter of his own, read his reply here.
"Everything is proceeding as I have foreseen." The Emperor (Return of the Jedi)
The Oil Drum: Europe
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Re: Peak Oil Authors Strahan & Clarke Exchange Letters

Unread postby Bas » Mon 03 Sep 2007, 20:12:21

Interesting exchange.

This Clark fella is no dummy, but indeed his argument comes down to technology saves the day if peakoil happens, but it won't happen in the forseeable future, because "not all is known" ; in effect turning the argument of false OPEC numbers around, which he otherwise totally ignores in his reply.

Also he states that companies/countries will voluntarily switch to "something" before peak happens. Indeed he manages to package all this BS in such semantics that you cannot help but think at first glance, "that's pretty reasonable".

Bwech.
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Re: Peak Oil Authors Strahan & Clarke Exchange Letters

Unread postby americandream » Mon 03 Sep 2007, 21:58:48

Amazing...a bit like running a business on the assumption that you have sufficient stock in storage althugh you haven't done an audit in ages.

Hand me the glue mate!
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Re: Peak Oil Authors Strahan & Clarke Exchange Letters

Unread postby MattSavinar » Tue 04 Sep 2007, 00:23:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('americandream', '
')
Amazing...a bit like running a business on the assumption that you have sufficient stock in storage althugh you haven't done an audit in ages.

Hand me the glue mate!



I prefer the Kool-Aid myself.

[smilie=qpepsi.gif]
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Re: Peak Oil Authors Strahan & Clarke Exchange Letters

Unread postby jeezlouise » Wed 05 Sep 2007, 01:56:18

It's really too bad that return policies are only good for 90 days or so. Everyone who bought Clarke's book is going to want their money back in a few years. But for now, let it give them that warm fuzzy feeling inside that there's nothing to worry about as far as global oil supply is concerned.

And then, a few years from now, it can give them that warm fuzzy feeling on the outside as they burn it for heat.
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Re: Peak Oil Authors Strahan & Clarke Exchange Letters

Unread postby untothislast » Wed 05 Sep 2007, 18:52:23

The oft-promised 'technological fix' seems to have been nothing more than the appropriation of available arable land (previously used for feeding people) for 'growing' bio-fuels.

So, we're replacing oil . . . with oil.

Wow! What a breakthrough!
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