by mkwin » Fri 08 Jun 2007, 05:24:28
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')You are on drugs! The countries I listed buy our debt in the form of govt securities that are printed when the money is created. Treasury securities are government bonds issued by the United States Department of the Treasury through the Bureau of the Public Debt. They are the
debt financing instruments of the U.S. Federal government. Individual investors, pension funds, mutual funds, insurance agencies, banks,
foreign government central banks, can all buy the bonds, effectively loaning money to the treasury.
40% of our debt is held by the foreign central banks, mostly China.
http://www.treas.gov/tic/mfh.txtWhat people fail to grasp is this: If the economy cannot grow (along with the money supply) due to a lack of available energy, the govt printing more money won't overcome this.
Why?
Because the
energy will still not be there to facilitate the production of goods and services. It will drive inflation to no end, as the huge supply of money competes for fewer and fewer goods and sevices.
Money does not create energy.
MQ -
Your getting deficit government spending mixed with the trade deficit situation. I'm not an expect on the foreign exchange market but I know the basics. Essentially the net inflow of Chinese goods to the US leads to US capital going to China (or other net exporters) and being exchanged for local currency. The central banks in these counties then exchanges the capital for bonds as opposed to selling the dollars - as this would result in downward pressure on the dollar. The hoarding of dollars by the Chinese is a mutually benefitial arrangement - The US don't want the dollar to fall and the Chinese don't want their exports to get more expensive and therefore lower their economic growth.
Governments around the world run deficit often. Even those with a positive trade surplus. If Tony Blair decides he wants to build a new nuclear missile system, and run a £200 billion deficit he does not have to ask the Chinese to put the money up.
The dollar is under a lot of pressure because of your current account deficit. However, your government debt isn't that bad - it's 65% of GDP, which is comparable to other developed economies including Germany (who run a trade surplus). Japanese public debt is 175% of GDP and they also run a surplus.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_co ... ublic_debt
The bottom line is the central bank creates the capital and gives it to the government - it can then sell the bond on to an internal or external investor or retain the bond. No real money is required to create debt it comes out of thin air. They used to print money into existence, now they just press a button but doing so causes inflation and debasement of the currency.
And FYI derivatives have no effect on the money supply.