Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby biofuel13 » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 09:59:09

Hey all,

If anyone knows if there is a better thread for this question please point me in the right direction, otherwise toss in your input.

My wife and I need to purchase a new clothes dryer as the one we have now is about 20-25 years old and finally crapped out on us. It was an old beast of a gas dryer and I shudder to think of how inefficient it was. Given the discussion in this thread about the skyrocketing price of NG and in this thread and others about skyrocketing electricity costs I'm not sure which kind of dryer will be more efficient/cost effective in the long run. Any suggestions??

PS I anticipate that some of you will say screw the dryer, focus on preps instead, but fear not we are pretty well set in that department so please stick to the gas v electric topic. Thanks!
User avatar
biofuel13
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 606
Joined: Wed 07 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Chaska, MN

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby ROCKMAN » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 10:03:49

biofuel,

Probably depends where you are. Down here in Texas NG will likely be a better choice in the long run: lots of local NG and most of our electricty come from NG fired plants. Thus going NG cuts out one middle man.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby seahorse2 » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 10:04:01

How about posting under the energy technology thread or the planning thread? Why this thread?
User avatar
seahorse2
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 2042
Joined: Mon 18 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby dunewalker » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 10:21:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', ' ')
You do not need natural gas to make nitrogen fertilizer. It is just the source of energy. Not a feedstuff. You can also use coal or nuclear to make fertilizer. And inorganic fertilizer is not the only source of nitrogen either. There are alternatives. It is just up to now inorganic nitrogen fertilizer made with natural gas (and lots of water) happened to be the least cost, most efficient alternative.


"A reasonable question to ask is, Why is natural gas so heavily used in the manufacture of nitrogen fertilizers? I'll try to explain it. Nitrogen is all around us. In fact, the atmosphere is composed of 80 percent nitrogen. Unfortunately for our pocketbooks, it is not in a form plants can use. Small amounts of nitrogen are converted to plant-available forms and sent to the earth in lightning strikes. Some is returned to the soil when rainfall washes pollutants out of the air. Free-living blue-green algae convert small amounts of atmospheric nitrogen to plant-available forms. Bacteria in legumes' roots can convert atmospheric nitrogen to a plant-available form. However, of all these mechanisms, only the one legumes use supplies enough plant-available nitrogen for high-yield agriculture.

Here's where natural gas comes in. In 1910, scientists discovered that they could combine natural gas and the atmosphere at very high temperature (about 900 ºF) and pressure (between 200 and 1,000 atmospheres) to create anhydrous ammonia gas. This technique is called the Claude-Haber ammonia synthesis process. Natural gas is used in the process two ways: to react with the atmosphere and supply hydrogen to the reaction, and create the high temperature and pressure necessary for the process to take place.

What if you use a form of nitrogen different from anhydrous ammonia? Why should your nitrogen fertilizer costs increase? That's another good question. Most of the other popular forms of nitrogen fertilizer are made with anhydrous ammonia. Urea is formulated by a reaction between anhydrous ammonia and carbon dioxide at high temperature and pressure. Ammonium nitrate is formulated by combining anhydrous ammonia and nitric acid in a very corrosive manufacturing climate. Solution liquid fertilizers (28 to 32 percent nitrogen) are composed of one-half urea and one-half ammonium nitrate. It's pretty hard to apply a nitrogen fertilizer formulation that doesn't have natural gas in its manufacturing process."

http://www.noble.org/Ag/Soils/NitrogenPrices/Index.htm
"Wilderness is another civilization apart from our own." - H.D. Thoreau
User avatar
dunewalker
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1253
Joined: Thu 30 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: northern California

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby MrBill » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 11:04:30

If anyone is interested in alternatives to making inorganic nitrogen from natural gas here are a few links:

Nitrogen Sources

SOURCES OF NITROGEN FOR ORGANIC FARMS

Impacts of Crop Rotation and Nitrogen Fertilization

Coal Mine Nitrogen Generation

Manure as a source of Nitrogen

Cyanobacteria that can fix atmospheric nitrogen

Fertilizer from fish and bone meal

Nitrogen from Hydroelectric

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he solution was ingenious: instead of manufacturing aluminium, Eyde – in collaboration with the researcher Kristian Birkeland – devised a method of using hydroelectric power for the first ever successful industrial production of fertilizer. Apart from hydroelectric power, the other main ingredient was nitrogen – which is found in air. There was fresh air in abundance up there in the mountains. Nitrogen fertilizer was to be Hydro’s most important product until far into the 1980s – and since 2004 it has been manufactured in the world’s largest fertilizer company, Yara.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby biofuel13 » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 11:18:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse2', 'H')ow about posting under the energy technology thread or the planning thread? Why this thread?


Sorry guys and gals, I was unable to find the thread I was looking for earlier. I posted here because it was related to Peak NG. I have since located the thread I needed.

Mods can certainly delete this post and the above post by me where I pose the question. Thanks
User avatar
biofuel13
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 606
Joined: Wed 07 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Chaska, MN

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby PraiseDoom » Thu 19 Jun 2008, 17:43:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'N')o PD...it's brand new and deep and expensive and a high flow rate/recover potential (potential, of course, meaning we don't really know crap yet)


Well, then good luck. Most resource plays aren't deep, aren't expensive ( but have poor rates of return, which is something else ) and most certainly don't have decent flowrates when compared to conventional reservoirs.


Was checking out core samples myself today, but the Marcelleus falls into more of a traditional resource play ( continuous ) definition rather than deep, or new, or high flowrate stuff.
User avatar
PraiseDoom
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 289
Joined: Mon 23 Apr 2007, 03:00:00

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby kenohio » Fri 20 Jun 2008, 21:30:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PraiseDoom', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ROCKMAN', 'N')o PD...it's brand new and deep and expensive and a high flow rate/recover potential (potential, of course, meaning we don't really know crap yet)


Well, then good luck. Most resource plays aren't deep, aren't expensive ( but have poor rates of return, which is something else ) and most certainly don't have decent flowrates when compared to conventional reservoirs.


Was checking out core samples myself today, but the Marcelleus falls into more of a traditional resource play ( continuous ) definition rather than deep, or new, or high flowrate stuff.


I am not sure if that is good or bad. My family has a farm with 3 gas wells already drilled that have been producing pretty well since 1984. Apparently by the maps there is some freak deep gas pockets under the property. But it is in the border-line pretty deep Marcellus Shale predictions.

I am not sure if this is a good thing or not for the future of my families gas wells.

I guess the only good thing is that the pipeline is already in place if they ever want to go beyond the shallow wells.
User avatar
kenohio
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 53
Joined: Tue 29 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Top

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby Starvid » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 11:29:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') don't know what you do with a natural gas fired power plant if natural gas gets too expensive Neither does anyone else. A gas power plant is basically an aircraft derived jet engine fuelled by gas turning a generator. Only other fuel is aviation fuel.
Those things are pretty small and cheap relatively... And there is no global market for gas. So I'd guess you could dismantle the plant and send it off to somewhere gas is cheap or even flared.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
User avatar
Starvid
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3021
Joined: Sun 20 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Uppsala, Sweden
Top

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby ROCKMAN » Sun 22 Jun 2008, 12:05:33

Starvid
There is a small global market currently for LPG but the potential growth is significant. About two weeks ago a Japanese company commsisioned the construction of a $14 billion LPG plant for an offshore Indonesian Field with an estimated 10 trillion cubic feet of gas.

As for a moving a gas fired plant it's not very economic. Some of the high end components could be salvaged but it's simliar to tearing down a house and rebuilding it 500 miles away....cheaper to build a new house from scratch.

I'm not sure what the time frame might be but there have been trillions of cubic ft of NG discovered in the Carribean just south of the US. There is very little market for this volumein the local economies. There are a number of plans to build big LPG receiving facilities along the US southern shores but no major progress yet.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby MrBill » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 05:12:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kenohio', '
')
I am not sure if that is good or bad. My family has a farm with 3 gas wells already drilled that have been producing pretty well since 1984. Apparently by the maps there is some freak deep gas pockets under the property. But it is in the border-line pretty deep Marcellus Shale predictions.

I am not sure if this is a good thing or not for the future of my families gas wells.

I guess the only good thing is that the pipeline is already in place if they ever want to go beyond the shallow wells.



Unfortunately, the oil well drilled on our farm contaminated our groundwater. We used to have super water. Now it all smells like petroleum. We will have to shock it and hope it solves the problem. The rent cheque is nice, but not at the expense of clean, pure water.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia
Top

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby MD » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 06:07:50

RE:OP

Here in North America we'll have to figure out how to get by with half the gasoline we consume today. It could happen in as little as a month, or if we're very lucky, it might take ten years. That's the harsh reality.

Natural gas, on the other hand, isn't subject to sudden interruption, since we don't import much.

More good NG news: Useful quantities pop up everywhere. You'll note I said "useful", not "commercial" (you'll have to pick your own dividing line between the two).

Natural gas price will follow oil into the stratosphere as people continue to attempt substitution.

There is no reason to expect energy-industry on this continent to shut down, even through the worst economic conditions. Therefore you can expect NG to remain stable. The industry is poking holes like mad, and will continue to do so.

Oil? Not looking so good. This means gasoline and diesel shortages. Big ones. Coming to your town soon.

PO is the killer. PNG comes later, and will help soften the blow, if we're lucky.
Stop filling dumpsters, as much as you possibly can, and everything will get better.

Just think it through.
It's not hard to do.
User avatar
MD
COB
COB
 
Posts: 4953
Joined: Mon 02 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: On the ball

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby ROCKMAN » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 07:53:03

Good points MD. The oil industry in the US (as far as exploration goes) hasn't been the OIL industry for over 20 years at least. It's been the gas industry. Of the last 100 drilling projects I've reviewed I would say 10, at most, were searching for oil. That's a big reason why the latest potential oil resource plays, like the Bakken, have gotten so much interest. But now that NG prices are up over 70% from last winter (the "high" gas price season) most are hitting the unconventional gas/tite gas sand plays like there's no tomorrow. We have 100's of thousand of acres of such leases. But were pretty close to the limit on drilling operations: not enough rigs and pretty close to limiting out on steel tubular production.

Sorry to hear about the well water woes M. Bill. Methodology/ethics are much better these days but screw ups still happen. Any chance of nailing the operator for remediation?
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby MrBill » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 08:20:15

We are working with them, but it may have been the seismic drilling? Hard to say? Large hills that drain down into a lake. Therefore, anything upstream might affect downstream even if there were a hill in between? We were getting 85+ gallons per minute from the well, so would be a shame to lose it.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby ROCKMAN » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 08:31:38

Mr. Bill,

It's probably too late in your situation but for future reference you could force/require any drilling operators to use radoactive markers in their fluids. Thus having their fluids fingerprinted you might be able to ID the offender. Some operators might resist while some are all for it. A new operator in your area might insist on doing it to avoid climbing into an existing potential lawsuit.

Are there any other potable sources at depth. From my experience many operators would drill you a new well to avoid a lawsuit even if they were sure they weren't the offender. A good lawyer costs a lot more than a water well.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby MrBill » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 09:05:07

Well, our block is all owned by one oil company, so the seismic would have been ultimately done on their behalf in any case. A negotiated settlement is always better than suing. In a small community it just breeds ill will as the company men are also our neighbors. My step-sister works for a gas company and my step-brother is a drill push. And we use energy. So no use being a hypocrite about it.

If memory serves me correct the well is about 500 feet deep. We could likely drill another and tap into another underground river. We are not exactly hurting for water. We are in the bend of the N. Saskatchewan River. There is open water every 10-miles in Lakeland Country. But we do have some problems with rust.

Separate question. How deep and how many boreholes would need to be drilled for a heat exchange system for a large house? We are already on natural gas with hotwater heating throughout, so it would be to convert from gas to a heat exchanger pump. One neighbor suggested four holes. Doesn't ground water interfer with the efficiency of the heat exchanger?
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby ROCKMAN » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 09:30:54

Mr. Bill,

Residential geothermal is far from my expertise but I won't let that hinder my advice. There should be some web data out there to help quantify the potential. If I understand the question re: groundwater inteference and if I understand a little about geoheating, you want an active ground water interaction. The systems I have seen use a loop method to recover the "warm" water: fluid is pumped down and up with exchange occuring in the aquifer. Thus it would be beneficial to have moving ground water recharging your artifical heat sink. I saw a film on such a project designed to supply heat to a commercial 25,000 sq ft operation. Took 8 holes at 200'. But this was in Georgia, USA. But I also know some systems actually produce the aquifer and recover its heat at the surface with the water then being discharged on the ground.

Obviously it would take a detailed study of your location to know which technique, if any, makes sense. If you find some info on the net feel free to hit me with any questions that pop. As you can see, my not being an expert seldom stops me from offereing advice.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby MrBill » Mon 23 Jun 2008, 10:34:29

Great. Thanks very much. Sorry to disrupt the nat gas thread. Cheers.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
User avatar
MrBill
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5630
Joined: Thu 15 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Eurasia

Re: Peak Natural Gas--Maybe Uglier Than PO

Postby copious.abundance » Tue 24 Jun 2008, 00:55:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FoxV', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KillTheHumans', '6'),000 TCF in known deposits and a 100 TCF/year consumption rate means it might be a problem sometime, but it sure isn't one of scarcity during the next couple of decades.
...
Absolutely. CBM and unconventional production completely reversed the US production decline and brought it to a new peak level, and the rest of world ignores that end of the resource spectrum. To say "there is alot more to be found" is an understatement.

Can you provide some links for details on these resources particularly the cost to exploit them.

I've seen many reports about lots of natural gas available in North America

I've got a whole thread on it here:

--> Chesapeake Energy CEO: US soon to be awash in natural gas <--

Chart of US natural gas production through the 1st quarter of this year.

Image
source
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron