by Loki » Mon 29 Sep 2014, 21:59:40
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', 'W')e MAY get total global collapse, IMHO this ebola thing has that capacity.
But baring that we could more likely have a series of local collapses. In fact I suspect you could consider the whole "Arab Spring" thing a bunch on localized collapses. Maybe even the Ukrainian situation, I dunno.
California,may well be heading in that direction ( over another year or two) due to the drought. I know there is enough for every one to drink. But there isn't enough water to keep the agricultural based economy going which is likely enough to break CA's back sending millions eastward looking for work.
You can prep for these localized collapses.
Your point on localized collapse is right on. That geographic perspective is usually lost by those suggesting we're in store for a total, sudden, and permanent collapse at a global, civilizational scale.
We're certainly seeing lots of chaos in Egypt, Ukraine, et al., but I don't take these regional disturbances as irrefutable evidence of an imminent global collapse. The 19th and 20th centuries were chock full of social and political disorder, much of which was far more intense than what we're seeing right now. Hell, 80 years ago Stalin was starving the Ukranians to death by the millions.
There will be degrees of "collapse," varying from place to place and time to time. When the global economy slips into another recession, Central Congo may experience this as total collapse, and may very well face roving bands of MZBs (if they don't already), while suburban Peoria may just have a 15% unemployment rate and rising food stamp participation rates.
Re. Ebola, even worst case scenario it's just another drag on the global economy, much like the 1918-19 global flu pandemic, which was far worse than Ebola could ever possibly be. But the last thing this global economy needs is another drag.
A garden will make your rations go further.