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Monte's Return

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby davep » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 17:55:22

Oh, and as for Europeans not understanding nature. Hmmm...

I've lived in England, Canada, Italy and France. Frankly, the Canadians' major link with nature was to shoot stuff (ok, it was a small town) with no thought of the impact.

A lot of English have a visceral understanding of nature and are leaving their home country in droves to find somewhere closer to nature. I once lived in a place called Dreux in France, where the Druids throughout Europe were said to come together. Italain telly is rubbish, but there are lots of non-condescending programmes on food and where it comes from. They have a similar appreciation of "terroir" to the French.

I live in a village of 500 people in 12 thousand acres. Even the hunters look after the environment, because otherwise there would be no hunt.

Simple trans-atlantic comparisons are too facile. Try to be a little more sophisticated in your arguments.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 18:01:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', ' ')food aid and agricultural help


These have, in many cases, been inappropriately applied. Ag "help" has in many cases hooked people on oil-based products which they can't afford, and wiped out their traditional farming practices. You know this because it is happening in your local area.

Not saying aid should be stopped, I'm saying aid needs to be appropriate to help all of us live within our local carrying capacity.

Example of appropriate aid:

http://www.greenbeltmovement.org/


I agree Ludi, but if we are pushing into a 'post-oil' world we have both an immediate & a long-term problem.

In my previous job I was involved with problem-solving for IT companies and there was often a conflict of interest between short & long term (in fact it's a classic example). In Software you often have to deal with the previous set of fuck-ups before you can figure out the next code-release. You also have to look at backwards-compatability (how do you deal with people that are going to still be using the old system even after you have moved 75% of users to the new one).

Painful as it may be, we may have to keep the 'Green Revolution' of the 50's & 60's going whilst we also bring in new methods. Aid budgets can't be cut to zero overnight but we can phase in new ideas that will help rather than undercut the local economies.

For-example, if the West got serious about AIDS in Africa (it would not cost very much) we can assist the local economies to get back on their own two feet. (Unfortunately, this cannot be done without Western drugs & medicine - groan). But this is a positive thing we can do in the short-term. I see no harm in that.

You see we are in a very symbiotic relationship right now. I totally hate the mind-set that got us into this 'aid dependency' culture (you know my opinions on that one) but we need to be careful how we move forward, when human lives are at stake. That's all I'm saying...

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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 18:12:20

I strongly disagree, JP. Green Revolution methods are counterproductive.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 18:26:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '
')
If I understand your point correctly, you are saying we are responsible for feeding these people because we have exploited them and their resources for so long. I can see your point, but I can't reconcile it with the other things mentioned. Sometimes there simply is no good solution to a problem.


Shanny, we can turn our backs on the rest of the world in two different ways. We can either say, "Hey, we goofed-up, we admit that, it was all about fossil fuels and now the experiment has failed, we're going to turn our backs on you lot." or we can say, "We goofed-up and we have no answers."

There is no difference of nerve between the two positions, only a difference of belief - that is to say, only a fool would choose the first one over the second, needless to say, there are a lot of fools in the world. A wise man might try and choose the second - but that would then give him a certain, shall we say - crisis of confidence?

Which would you choose? To be right, or to be casting around for solutions? Only the best of us would know his or her destiny right now - and they would probably be wrong in whatever case.

With regard to oil supply, and its's affect on our ability to feed the world's people, there is no definite solution, only an infinitely-recessive set of problems, each one with its own solution and it's own, paradoxical way forward. There is no 'way' forward that will suit us all - only a general way for all of mankind, and that has to be, as it always should be, the path of least suffering for the majority.

Beyond that I know not. But I will not say that the attempt to find this path is not worth making.

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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby davep » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 18:34:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'T')here is no 'way' forward that will suit us all - only a general way for all of mankind, and that has to be, as it always should be, the path of least suffering for the majority.

Beyond that I know not. But I will not say that the attempt to find this path is not worth making.

JP


Amen.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 18:43:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I') strongly disagree, JP. Green Revolution methods are counterproductive.


I totally agree that the GR experiment will probably go down in history as (possibly) the greatest environmental fuck up there ever was.

Trouble is, we're now stuck with the results. We cannot re-wind history. For me, this is the crux of this debate.

'Die-off' IMHO is but a sophisticated version of denial. Nature bats late, but reality bats last of all (grin).

We need to find a way forward...

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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 18:44:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('virgincrude', 'T')hreadbare, you're still coming at the notion of a gutrench over destroying the environment from a badly informed position. My 'little country' (Spain) has more protected wild environment than any other 'little country' in Europe. (We're fighting to reintroduce wild lynx, bears and wolves- for what it matters,) I too have lived in France, close to the Jura mountains and right next to Geneva and the nearby Swiss Alps. I have experienced wild open spaces. Just not the Great Lakes.

Whoever you had contact with in Europe did not necessarily share your experience, it does not therefore mean no Spaniard has ever been camping out, for Chrissakes. Yes, the wild and open is harder to find in our 'little countries' but that does not mean we don't know how to appreciate or take care of it. Just because our wild and open spaces are smaller than the Grand Canyon doesn't mean we treat them with disdain. It is utterly ridiculous to state people in Europe have no aesthetic sense of nature. You've painted a picture of a paved over area, with people unable to experience the weather because they spend their time cocooned inside their apartment blocks, scoffing at environmentalists, based on a few aquaintances you made!


I wish you would re-read what I actually wrote. I lived in Spain and had friends who were very concerned about the environment, and did all the right things, but had no "feel" for it. They had never even gone camping. I'm trying to explain to you that some people, (and there are more here than where you're from) are moved at a more visceral level, as they have grown up in a more natural environment. Their sense of urgency, about how to correct the problem, therefore, would tend to be more radical.

This may not be true for you and your buddies, but it's my observation and I stand by it.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 18:47:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'O')h, and as for Europeans not understanding nature. Hmmm...

I've lived in England, Canada, Italy and France. Frankly, the Canadians' major link with nature was to shoot stuff (ok, it was a small town) with no thought of the impact.

A lot of English have a visceral understanding of nature and are leaving their home country in droves to find somewhere closer to nature. I once lived in a place called Dreux in France, where the Druids throughout Europe were said to come together. Italain telly is rubbish, but there are lots of non-condescending programmes on food and where it comes from. They have a similar appreciation of "terroir" to the French.

I live in a village of 500 people in 12 thousand acres. Even the hunters look after the environment, because otherwise there would be no hunt.

Simple trans-atlantic comparisons are too facile. Try to be a little more sophisticated in your arguments.


Again, I didn't say Europeans don't understand nature. I said they can't have the same experience of nature, because there is so little nature left.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby davep » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 19:11:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', 'O')h, and as for Europeans not understanding nature. Hmmm...

I've lived in England, Canada, Italy and France. Frankly, the Canadians' major link with nature was to shoot stuff (ok, it was a small town) with no thought of the impact.

A lot of English have a visceral understanding of nature and are leaving their home country in droves to find somewhere closer to nature. I once lived in a place called Dreux in France, where the Druids throughout Europe were said to come together. Italain telly is rubbish, but there are lots of non-condescending programmes on food and where it comes from. They have a similar appreciation of "terroir" to the French.

I live in a village of 500 people in 12 thousand acres. Even the hunters look after the environment, because otherwise there would be no hunt.

Simple trans-atlantic comparisons are too facile. Try to be a little more sophisticated in your arguments.


Again, I didn't say Europeans don't understand nature. I said they can't have the same experience of nature, because there is so little nature left.


As I said, I live in a village with 25 acres per person. My 10 acres for a family of three is well below the average. France has more forest now than it had 100 years ago. France still has the vestiges of its peasant culture (thanks in part to years of EEC subsidies), whereas I don't think that holds true in the US to the same extent.

It's true that there are major population densities in Europe. It's also true that a lot of environmentalists here are driven by dogma and have hardly set foot in the countryside. However, I know lots of people that have gone (and go) camping. I used to regularly go to the forests in the Lake District and the mountains of Wales at inclement times of the year. I'm not the only one. The most popularr sport in the UK is angling, where men spend all day on their own in havens of nature. It's hardly an intellectual approach to nature. But they're plebs, so they don't count.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 19:13:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')
Again, I didn't say Europeans don't understand nature. I said they can't have the same experience of nature, because there is so little nature left.


Aye, you're probably right. Very little knowledge & experience of Nature (sob)





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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 19:22:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'T')here is no 'way' forward that will suit us all - only a general way for all of mankind, and that has to be, as it always should be, the path of least suffering for the majority.

I agree with you on that, certainly. My own belief is that the best way to minimize suffering is to do things locally. I'm always open to being convinced my ideas are wrong, but that involves hashing things out in detail. If you want to do that here, feel free to detail what you think is the path of least suffering.


That has already been said & by much better men than me (growl). It is not my role here to re-point out that which should be obvious to all.

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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 19:56:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'T')here is no 'way' forward that will suit us all - only a general way for all of mankind, and that has to be, as it always should be, the path of least suffering for the majority.

I agree with you on that, certainly. My own belief is that the best way to minimize suffering is to do things locally. I'm always open to being convinced my ideas are wrong, but that involves hashing things out in detail. If you want to do that here, feel free to detail what you think is the path of least suffering.


That has already been said & by much better men than me (growl). It is not my role here to re-point out that which should be obvious to all.

JP


Having said which, maybe what I said was a bit cruel. I do have a 'few' ideas - need to get them thrashed-out on paper though, so give me a bit of time. Don't get too excited though, 'cos they are mainly to do with stopping tropical de-forestation & feeding Africa (grin).

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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 20:19:31

JPL, You've illustrated my point with your photo of a verdant landscape that was once covered in native forest.
My mother's father's family is from the Highlands. Gunns of Caithness.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 28 Sep 2007, 20:30:35

DaveP, The small rural village is probably the most sincere approximation of a natural experience any of us could ever have. I mean I've spent some time in Princess Louisa inlet,out of radio range, noone within miles, deep fjord, never been logged, pristine, Grizzly bears. But I have to be honest with you, I was cruising in my boat outfitted with all the modern conveniences. We're all several degrees removed from actually LIVING in nature at this time, so I plead....ready for it...GUILTY :lol: :lol:
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 14:14:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'J')PL, You've illustrated my point with your photo of a verdant landscape that was once covered in native forest.
My mother's father's family is from the Highlands. Gunns of Caithness.


Oops.

Ah well, if you're going to own-goal, do it with style (grin)..

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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby thuja » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 15:30:13

JPL- Die-off is not a denialist term- its simply a loaded term. Instead we should talk about population contraction. The Earth will only to be able to carry a fraction of the humans now on the planet in a post-petroleum/GW world.

The developed world is already primed for population contraction and it is already happening in much of Eastern Europe/ex-Soviet Union. Western Europe will be contracting in the next decade. Lowered life expectancies due to the consequences of Post-Peak will likely accelerate this trend but it won't be apocalyptic- just a natural contraction over a period of 50-100 years.

Its the Developing World that faces the largest challenges in not experiencing massive Die-Offs. How to combat that? Incentivized population control, birth control, large block grants to support local infrastructure, ag, conservation, etc...essentially weaning from 20th century industrialized s of living. Will it work in time? Very doubtful...but absolutely worth a try...
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 18:10:21

phosphates. Without them, forget it. It won't matter how pretty and green the countryside is.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 18:20:54

" Rock phosphate is quarried from phosphate beds in sedimentary rocks. In former times it was simply crushed and used as is, but the crude form is now used only in organic farming."--wikipedia

Sounds good to me, PMS.
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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby JPL » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 18:32:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', 'T')hanks. I'm interested in your ideas. :)


I don't want people to confuse my reluctance to speak out on 'the way forward', with ignorance. But I also do not want to become anyone's guru.

Having toppled one 'wise man' we should not immediately set another one up in his place. When that one is proved wrong, and after that the next, where then would we look?

I will PM you with a couple of ideas but they won't be for public discussion (sorry...)

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Re: Monte's Return

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 29 Sep 2007, 19:05:20

JPL, Having toppled who? Monte Queste? Do you know something we don't? I thought he just stepped out momentarily due to his outbreak of shingles, or vinyl siding, or whatever it was.
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