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Money multiplier makes no sense

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby lakeweb » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 14:13:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')Nero, you're not suggesting these jokers have savings are you? They probably live pay cheque to pay cheque indepted up to their ears with a second mortgage, two car loans and credit card debt too. No wonder they are so bitter about the system. They have no grasp of it. If they had savings & investments right now they would not be so keen to see the system collapse :!:

You cannot put out a forest fire of misinformation with a bucket full of facts. I will save my ammunition for those that really are looking for answers. :)


So MrBill,
What is the answer? Does Bernanke have enough helicopters? The economies of the world hinge on 'these jokers'...

http://www.thetrumpet.com/index.php?pag ... le&id=1777

http://www.safehaven.com/forums-15195.htm


Best, Dan.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby MacG » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 16:56:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'N')ero, you're not suggesting these jokers have savings are you? They probably live pay cheque to pay cheque indepted up to their ears with a second mortgage, two car loans and credit card debt too. No wonder they are so bitter about the system. They have no grasp of it. If they had savings & investments right now they would not be so keen to see the system collapse :!:

You cannot put out a forest fire of misinformation with a bucket full of facts. I will save my ammunition for those that really are looking for answers. :)


Naaahh.. Come on! In the current system, there cant be savings if there are no debts. Your savings are someone else's debts. Please show some humility and avoid hubris over the indebted. Their debts are the basis of your savings. That kind of hubris have a tendency to bring out the worst in people. Torches, pitchforks and all that...
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby gego » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 17:43:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', ' ')

I take it you don't have a bank account then? If you do then it is a bit hypocritical to complain about bankers creating money. You are just as much a party to the money creation system as they are. After all if you didn't put the money in the bank they couldn't lend it out. Your deposit is an essential cog in the fractional reserve banking system just as much as the banks lending it out. In fact both of you receive an interest in the system. The bank pays you interest on your deposits doesn't it? That's your share of the take.


If one intends to transact any sort of business, he is, as a practical matter, forced to use the only "money" that is available and that is one or another form of bank credit. Federal reserve notes are the debts of that bank and checking and savings accounts are the debts of local banks; that is what we call money; there is no other practical option available when government has taken them away.

Seems to me a little strange on your part to blame the slaves for the slave system rather than the masters who use force to keep the system going.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby gego » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 17:58:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')
Nero, you're not suggesting these jokers have savings are you? They probably live pay cheque to pay cheque indepted up to their ears with a second mortgage, two car loans and credit card debt too. No wonder they are so bitter about the system. They have no grasp of it. If they had savings & investments right now they would not be so keen to see the system collapse :!:


Good description of how the banking system enslaves its prey; the banker with all the wealth and the majority with all the debts to the banking system. Seems to me that you are describing fairly well the effect on the average man of the privelege banks have to loan money into existence.

Your assumption as to the financial position of others reflects your misguided sense of superiority. You really do not know who of us have managed to prosper in spite of the monopoly system you endorse and who have been fleeced by it, so your assumption is only a guess. Judging by your posts, and lack of knowledge of how the banking system works, my guess about you is that you might be a clerk pretending to understand the workings of the system.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby nero » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 18:37:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f one intends to transact any sort of business, he is, as a practical matter, forced to use the only "money" that is available and that is one or another form of bank credit. Federal reserve notes are the debts of that bank and checking and savings accounts are the debts of local banks; that is what we call money; there is no other practical option available when government has taken them away.


If you perform all of your transactions on a cash basis you are NOT participating in the fractional reserve banking system. The manner in which currency (the monetary base) is created is another subject entirely. Do you also have some prejudice against the fed's book keeping operations as well?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')eems to me a little strange on your part to blame the slaves for the slave system rather than the masters who use force to keep the system going.


No I was pointing out it seemed a little strange for you to blame bankers and not the depositors. I don't have a problem with the fractional reserve system so I was not "blaming" anyone.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby MacG » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 18:53:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', 'J')udging by your posts, and lack of knowledge of how the banking system works, my guess about you is that you might be a clerk pretending to understand the workings of the system.


:-D :-D :-D

Took some weeks to get it, but now I agree.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby gego » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 19:07:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', '
')
If you perform all of your transactions on a cash basis you are NOT participating in the fractional reserve banking system.


So I go to my local bank and take federal reserve notes instead of a checking account and you think I am not participating in the fractional reserve banking system; you are incorrect. I have deprived my local bank of part of its reserves, but now I have a piece of paper which has a zero reserve. So the fraction of these liabilities for which something must be held as a reserve is zero instead of 1/10 or whatever the reserve requirement of the local bank is. The fed has unlimited power to create these notes as per Mr.Bernanke's heliocopter remark. And to boot, the federal government places me under suspicion if I operate using large amounts of "cash".

There is no escape from participating in the fractional reserve system when legal tender laws make only barter an alternative (payment with gold coin would be barter since nobody would use old coins at their legal tender face value).
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby CrudeAwakening » Mon 21 Nov 2005, 20:16:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '[')b]RE Read Carefully

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')ead carefully....
How do open market purchases add to bank reserves and deposits? Suppose
the Federal Reserve System, through its trading desk at the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York, buys $10,000 of Treasury bills from a dealer
in U. S. government securities.(3) In today's world of computerized
financial transactions, the Federal Reserve Bank pays for the
securities with an "telectronic" check drawn on itself.(4) Via its
"Fedwire" transfer network, the Federal Reserve notifies the dealer's
designated bank (Bank A) that payment for the securities should be
credited to (deposited in) the dealer's account at Bank A. At the same
time, Bank A's reserve account at the Federal Reserve is credited for
the amount of the securities purchase. The Federal Reserve System has
added $10,000 of securities to its assets, which it has paid for, in
effect, by creating a liability on itself in the form of bank reserve
balances. These reserves on Bank A's books are matched by $10,000 of
the dealer's deposits that did not exist before.


Now read carefully....

If the FED conducted repurchase operations whereby its bought back its own debt then by definition they would be buying back securities that they issued in the first place via primary dealers. The primary dealers would have paid the FED in full at time of purchase.

Next? :)


I'm confused.. lakeweb is talking about the Fed's occasional permanent additions to bank reserves via government security purchases, while MrBill is talking about temporary changes to bank reserves via RPs and RRPs. Not the same thing at all.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby nero » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 01:08:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', 'S')o I go to my local bank and take federal reserve notes instead of a checking account and you think I am not participating in the fractional reserve banking system; you are incorrect. I have deprived my local bank of part of its reserves, but now I have a piece of paper which has a zero reserve. So the fraction of these liabilities for which something must be held as a reserve is zero instead of 1/10 or whatever the reserve requirement of the local bank is. The fed has unlimited power to create these notes as per Mr.Bernanke's heliocopter remark. And to boot, the federal government places me under suspicion if I operate using large amounts of "cash".


Just to be clear I am assuming you mean that the fed doesn't have to hold a reserve to back up their paper currency obligations? If I am assuming correctly then what you're railing against now is the fiat money system not "fractional reserve banking" which is a separate idea. You don't need a fiat money system to have fractional reserve banking and you don't need a fractional reserve system to have a fiat money system.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby gego » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 01:32:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nero', '
')
Just to be clear I am assuming you mean that the fed doesn't have to hold a reserve to back up their paper currency obligations? If I am assuming correctly then what you're railing against now is the fiat money system not "fractional reserve banking" which is a separate idea. You don't need a fiat money system to have fractional reserve banking and you don't need a fractional reserve system to have a fiat money system.


So what is the point? We have a fractional reserve system and a fiat system. The fed issues credit against nothing. The local banks issue credit against reserves; these reserves are themselves fed credit. It is all a house of cards. It is all a scam to transfer wealth out of the hands of the average man into the hands of the banking cabal. The government supports this system because this system supports the governemnt and the politicians.

I frankly do not understand what knowledge you are attempting to impart.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby nero » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 02:45:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', 'S')o what is the point? We have a fractional reserve system and a fiat system. The fed issues credit against nothing. The local banks issue credit against reserves; these reserves are themselves fed credit. It is all a house of cards. It is all a scam to transfer wealth out of the hands of the average man into the hands of the banking cabal. The government supports this system because this system supports the governemnt and the politicians.

I frankly do not understand what knowledge you are attempting to impart.


Well if you understand that the fractional reserve banking has nothing to do with fiat money system do you then agree that doing business in cash means you are not a party to the fractional reserve "money multiplier" system?

If you do and you still have a bank account you ought to acknowledge some small level of hypocricy.

If you acknowledge that you are forced by circumstances to take advantage of the fractional reserve system perhaps you could be a little bit more charitable to poor bankers who are also through force of circumstances forced to take advantage of the banking system we have.

Go ahead and rail against the banking system if you like but when you start implying that bankers deserve to be hung you're being an ass.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby gego » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 03:20:49

Nero,

Fiat money is money not backed by a physical commodity.

Fractional reserve banking is a system where a "reserve" is kept that backs a liability, but the reserve is only a fraction of the liability.

The US (and Canadian) banking system is both a fractional reserve system and all the "money" involved in this system is fiat. When is the last time you transacted in species?

We are not discussing some ambigious point that could be intrepreted by rational minds in different ways.

We have fiat money because it is not backed by a physical commodity. You cannot surrender your bank account to the bank and get a physical commodity. All you can get is a credit promise. We have fractional reserve banking because the banking system issues credit based on reserves ranging from zero in the case of federal reserve bills of credit to a small percent in the case of certificates of deposits, savings accounts and checking accounts.

You are arguing that black is white.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby MrBill » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 03:56:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', 'N')ero,

Fiat money is money not backed by a physical commodity.

Fractional reserve banking is a system where a "reserve" is kept that backs a liability, but the reserve is only a fraction of the liability.

The US (and Canadian) banking system is both a fractional reserve system and all the "money" involved in this system is fiat. When is the last time you transacted in species?

We are not discussing some ambigious point that could be intrepreted by rational minds in different ways.

We have fiat money because it is not backed by a physical commodity. You cannot surrender your bank account to the bank and get a physical commodity. All you can get is a credit promise. We have fractional reserve banking because the banking system issues credit based on reserves ranging from zero in the case of federal reserve bills of credit to a small percent in the case of certificates of deposits, savings accounts and checking accounts.

You are arguing that black is white.



No, that money is backed by the physical assets of the entire country. At any point in time you can exchange those useless paper IOUs for food, transport, housing, energy and any physical good you like as well as for such things as an Ivy League university education. Do those assets go up and down in value? Yes, so does gold.

If you use your savings to buy a house, you have a house. You have exchanged your dollars, euros or pesos at a fixed point in time for a physical asset. You will no longer earn interest on your paper money or electronic debit, but you will no longer pay interest either. The house becomes your asset. It is real. Does it really make any difference to you if you used gold to pay for the house, cash to pay for the house or whether an electronic book-entry was made to pay for the house?

Yesterday I bought & sold millions of dollars worth of oil & gas futures, which will mature in mid-December. But, at the end of the day, my position was the same as it was on Friday afternoon. Did I create or use physical oil & gas? No, I temporarily entered into future obligations, either to buy or to sell a physical commodity, but before maturity, in this case the sameday, I cancelled those obligations by taking an equal and opposite position. The on difference from a bookkeeping perspective is the gain I made between the purchase and the sale price. That gain is someone else's loss.

When I use my credit card to book an airline ticket, I have entered into an obligation to pay for that ticket either immediately or over time. If over time then my bank will charge me interest for use of their funds. Yes, they are their funds because I do not pay for the airline ticket they do. Then they charge me for the ticket. If I don't pay then they have to write my debt off or pursue me through the courts, which also has costs attached to it.

Even when there was such a thing as 'The Gold Standard' whatever that means as it was never universal, but book-keeping entries not the physical transfer of coins or gold were the basis of commerce. The Medici in 15th century Florence leant money to merchants and royalty and charged interest. Never less than 12% p.a. and up to 45% if the party in question needed the funds urgently or like most royalty of the day were poor credit risks. You could quite reasonably argue that even on the gold standard (?) the concept of fractional banking (i.e. extending credit based on promises to pay) and fiat banking (more credit than the physical supply of coinage) was well entrenched. For instance, money might be leant against an estate or a copper or silver mine or in the case of the Church as future income stream from the productive operations of the church's property.

Sounds like modern banking to me, but because our current system is more sophisticated and efficient the concept of lending has extended to more and more people with lower and lower transaction costs. But, even then you still had debtors that got into trouble and could not repay their debts. They did not have the gold or silver to repay the paper IOU that they had signed. So how can you say that all transactions were backed by a physical commodity?

The History of Banking

p.s. I like the comment about being a clerk. Got a chuckle out of that one. :)
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby gego » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 04:29:14

Mr. Bill,

I think you need to go back to you job on Saturday Night Live.

You say the paper money is backed by the commodities etc. of the country. This is abusrd. The paper may be spent to buy these assets, but the paper is not backed by them. If these commodities are not owned by the banks and cannot be claimed by surrending the paper to the bank, then there is no backing of the paper by the commodities.

The general commodities in the economy are not the reserve for the bank debts. You assertion is blatenly incorrect.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby Doly » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 04:47:00

I think the essence of the question (what is money backed with?) is: let's suppose that you don't like what's happening to a currency (for example, rampant inflation). In the past, you could cut your losses by demanding gold (or silver) from the bank for your notes. Nowadays, what do you do?
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby MrBill » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 05:17:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', 'I') think the essence of the question (what is money backed with?) is: let's suppose that you don't like what's happening to a currency (for example, rampant inflation). In the past, you could cut your losses by demanding gold (or silver) from the bank for your notes. Nowadays, what do you do?


You can buy physical assets like gold, property or drums of oil using those worthless paper IOUs.

You can borrow more money if you think inflation will reduce the future value of your money. You can then invest this money in appreciating assets and repay the loans with depreciated money.

You can sell your dollars and buy euros or yen if you think one country's currency is depreciating faster than another country's.

RE the value of the dollar. The external value of the dollar is backed by investors' confidence in the US' ability to repay their debts using the productive assets of the country. Just like Argentina's was. :oops:
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby MrBill » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 05:23:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', 'M')r. Bill,

I think you need to go back to you job on Saturday Night Live.

You say the paper money is backed by the commodities etc. of the country. This is abusrd. The paper may be spent to buy these assets, but the paper is not backed by them. If these commodities are not owned by the banks and cannot be claimed by surrending the paper to the bank, then there is no backing of the paper by the commodities.

The general commodities in the economy are not the reserve for the bank debts. You assertion is blatenly incorrect.


If I can exchange paper money for hard assets then by definition this money has equal value to what I am purchasing. Who would exchange valuable commodities or goods or services for something worthless? :oops:
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby nero » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 12:55:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gego', 'W')e have fiat money because it is not backed by a physical commodity. You cannot surrender your bank account to the bank and get a physical commodity. All you can get is a credit promise. We have fractional reserve banking because the banking system issues credit based on reserves ranging from zero in the case of federal reserve bills of credit to a small percent in the case of certificates of deposits, savings accounts and checking accounts.


Well this is all correct but you seem to be trying to expand the normal definition of fractional reserve banking to include the requirement for fiat money. Even if we had money backed by gold we would still have fractional reserve banking. Do you believe that fiat money itself is the root of this evil cabal's plan to impoverish "normal folk"? I suppose that could be argued, but then that has nothing to do with frational reserve banking and more to do with inflation caused by the imprudent expansion of the monetary base.

Go ahead and rail against fiat money then, but recognize that the main beneficiary of the fiat money system is not the bankers but the government. Your local bank does not benefit one jot from the fiat money system.
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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby lakeweb » Tue 22 Nov 2005, 15:08:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'N')o, that money is backed by the physical assets of the entire country.

No, it is not. It is backed by a promise to pay.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', ' ')At any point in time you can exchange those useless paper IOUs for food, transport, housing, energy and any physical good you like as well as for such things as an Ivy League university education.


Only as long as there is a belief in its value. Do I have to quote the fed on this, again?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'D')o those assets go up and down in value? Yes, so does gold.


You are kidding, right? The assets have not gone up in value, the currency has declined.
in·fla·tion
A persistent increase in the level of consumer prices or a persistent decline in the purchasing power of money, caused by an increase in available currency and credit beyond the proportion of available goods and services.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'I')f you use your savings to buy a house, you have a house. You have exchanged your dollars, euros or pesos at a fixed point in time for a physical asset. You will no longer earn interest on your paper money or electronic debit, but you will no longer pay interest either. The house becomes your asset. It is real. Does it really make any difference to you if you used gold to pay for the house, cash to pay for the house or whether an electronic book-entry was made to pay for the house?


As long as the paper and ledger entries are trusted to have value.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'W')hen I use my credit card to book an airline ticket, I have entered into an obligation to pay for that ticket either immediately or over time. If over time then my bank will charge me interest for use of their funds.

Money they created out of thin air. Do I need to quote the fed, again?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'E')ven when there was such a thing as 'The Gold Standard' whatever that means as it was never universal, but book-keeping entries not the physical transfer of coins or gold were the basis of commerce.

Patently false.

Money, Gold, and the Great Depression

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Re: Money multiplier makes no sense

Postby MrBill » Wed 23 Nov 2005, 05:16:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lakeweb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'N')o, that money is backed by the physical assets of the entire country.

No, it is not. It is backed by a promise to pay.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', ' ')At any point in time you can exchange those useless paper IOUs for food, transport, housing, energy and any physical good you like as well as for such things as an Ivy League university education.


Only as long as there is a belief in its value. Do I have to quote the fed on this, again?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'D')o those assets go up and down in value? Yes, so does gold.


You are kidding, right? The assets have not gone up in value, the currency has declined.
in·fla·tion
A persistent increase in the level of consumer prices or a persistent decline in the purchasing power of money, caused by an increase in available currency and credit beyond the proportion of available goods and services.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'I')f you use your savings to buy a house, you have a house. You have exchanged your dollars, euros or pesos at a fixed point in time for a physical asset. You will no longer earn interest on your paper money or electronic debit, but you will no longer pay interest either. The house becomes your asset. It is real. Does it really make any difference to you if you used gold to pay for the house, cash to pay for the house or whether an electronic book-entry was made to pay for the house?


As long as the paper and ledger entries are trusted to have value.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'W')hen I use my credit card to book an airline ticket, I have entered into an obligation to pay for that ticket either immediately or over time. If over time then my bank will charge me interest for use of their funds.

Money they created out of thin air. Do I need to quote the fed, again?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'E')ven when there was such a thing as 'The Gold Standard' whatever that means as it was never universal, but book-keeping entries not the physical transfer of coins or gold were the basis of commerce.

Patently false.

Money, Gold, and the Great Depression

Best, Dan.


Do I have to quote the FED again? :-D

Commodities go up and down in value depending on supply & demand and are influenced by seasonality as well as economic cycles. Take the price chart of any commodity, gold, oil, copper, and adjust the price for inflation or look at it a foreign currency or basket of currencies and you will see falls in price as well as increases independent of inflation and/or the value of the dollar. I would suggest you look at the CRB index to start.

Between 1985 and 2005 the CRBI was
198 in July 1986,
267 in June 1988,
208 in October 1992,
261 in April 1996,
184 in February 1999,
184 in October 2001,
320 in March 2005, and
315 as of yesterday

in a generally falling interest rate environment between 1987 and 2004 which saw Fed funds fall from 18.5% to 1%, now 4%. And the US dollar has both fallen and risen against the euro (legacy currencies), yen and other freely converted currencies.

RE backed by a promise to pay. Even under a gold standard, loans are promises to pay in the future in exchange for cash or coin today.

As for your comments about the purchasing power of the dollar you are confusing the dollar's present value against its future value or its ability to hedge against inflation as a future store of value. If you use dollars today to buy appreciating assets, which hedge against inflation, then you will preserve the future value of your dollars today. If you use gold to pay for consumables today, they will not hedge you against inflation in the future.

Or do I have to quote the FED? :-D
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