Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Middle ground between believers & deniers

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 24 Apr 2009, 13:08:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', 'Y')our prayers are being answered Ludi!



Good for them! I hope nobody who wouldn't have had to pay higher taxes (those below $250,000 annual income) will be reducing their pay unless they really want to. That is, I hope folks aren't being confused about the new taxes (a mere 3% increase, btw) on the top 2% of earners. :)
Ludi
 

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby OutOfGas » Fri 24 Apr 2009, 15:20:50

Can you feel the love ?

Feels like TS is about to HTF.
OutOfGas
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 152
Joined: Sat 21 Mar 2009, 19:31:45

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Quinny » Fri 24 Apr 2009, 16:22:02

I can't understand why there are so many mega rich folk on here complaining about the tax increase. If I were earning money at the rate they must be to be paying more tax under the new government I wouldn't be spending so much time on an Internet message board. We must have the wealthiest group of posters on the Internet.

I would have thought that most ordinary people should be thanking the new president for their tax cuts.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', 'Y')our prayers are being answered Ludi!



Good for them! I hope nobody who wouldn't have had to pay higher taxes (those below $250,000 annual income) will be reducing their pay unless they really want to. That is, I hope folks aren't being confused about the new taxes (a mere 3% increase, btw) on the top 2% of earners. :)
Live, Love, Learn, Leave Legacy.....oh and have a Laugh while you're doing it!
User avatar
Quinny
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3337
Joined: Thu 03 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Pretorian » Fri 24 Apr 2009, 23:33:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('deMolay', 'T')here is nothing wrong with not working so hard, if that is your choice. The thing I take exception too is when some think they have a right to pick others pockets, and think others should pay their way. By all means live the lifestyle you like. Just don't expect everyone else to pay for it.


But you will. Either through welfare or encarcerating/legal fees.
Pretorian
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4685
Joined: Sat 08 Apr 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Somewhere there

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sat 25 Apr 2009, 00:26:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', 'I')f by some miraculous means, all of the world's assets were divided equally among the world's population, I would be willing to bet, that after a year or so, most of those assets would be back in the possession of those who owned them originally.
I think the Chinese would keep their share.

Most wealth is inherited. How do you suppose the Paris Hiltons of the world would regain their wealth in one year? :twisted: Sort of a bad example.
Facebook knows you're a dog.
User avatar
Keith_McClary
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7344
Joined: Wed 21 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Suburban tar sands
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sat 25 Apr 2009, 20:32:00

But most wealth is not inherited...

http://blogs.wsj.com/wealth/2008/01/14/the-decline-of-inherited-money/

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Decline of Inherited Money

My Krugman post brought a lot of emails asking about my assertion that “the vast majority of today’s rich didn’t inherit their money, but made it themselves.”

For the sake of brevity, I didn’t cite the research behind the statement. But since many of you have asked, and we aim to please here at the Wealth Report, here are my three main data points:

1. According to a study of Federal Reserve data conducted by NYU professor Edward Wolff, for the nation’s richest 1%, inherited wealth accounted for only 9% of their net worth in 2001, down from 23% in 1989. (The 2001 number was the latest available.)

2. According to a study by Prince & Associates, less than 10% of today’s multi-millionaires cited “inheritance” as their source of wealth.

3. A study by Spectrem Group found that among today’s millionaires, inherited wealth accounted for just 2% of their total sources of wealth.

Each of these stats measures slightly different things, yet they all come to the same basic conclusion: Inheritance is not the main driver of today’s wealth. The reason we’ve had a doubling in the number of millionaires and billionaires over the past decade (even adjusted for inflation) is that more of the non-wealthy have become wealthy.


The Paris Hiltons of the world are the exception, not the rule.
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Tyler_JC
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5438
Joined: Sat 25 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Boston, MA
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Bytesmiths » Sat 25 Apr 2009, 23:04:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '1'). According to a study of Federal Reserve data conducted by NYU professor Edward Wolff, for the nation’s richest 1%, inherited wealth accounted for only 9% of their net worth in 2001, down from 23% in 1989. (The 2001 number was the latest available.)
I suspect that in a quickly rising market, the proportion of inherited wealth goes down. If I die and leave you $100,000 and you manage to invest it at 17.5% (not unusual returns for real estate in the post-bubble days), your money will double in just four years, quadruple in eight. At the end of that eight years, you would report that your "inherited wealth accounted for only 25% of your net worth," when in reality, it accounted for all of it.

So it may be that the inherited portion of rich people's wealth has simply amortized away.

It would be interesting to see how this figure changes in a world where declining growth is the long-term rule, rather than a short-term exception.
:::: Jan Steinman, Communication Steward, EcoReality, a forming sustainable community. Be the change! ::::
User avatar
Bytesmiths
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 730
Joined: Wed 27 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Salt Spring Island, Cascadia
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 01:56:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Decline of Inherited Money

My Krugman post brought a lot of emails asking about my assertion that “the vast majority of today’s rich didn’t inherit their money, but made it themselves.”
The data seems to be based on what the fat cats say. I wouldn't expect them to say "I got it all from daddy the rum-runner" etc.
Facebook knows you're a dog.
User avatar
Keith_McClary
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7344
Joined: Wed 21 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Suburban tar sands
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby odegaard » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 04:16:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Decline of Inherited Money

My Krugman post brought a lot of emails asking about my assertion that “the vast majority of today’s rich didn’t inherit their money, but made it themselves.”
The data seems to be based on what the fat cats say. I wouldn't expect them to say "I got it all from daddy the rum-runner" etc.

Tyler_JC has listed sources to back up his claim. Keith_McClary. did NOT.

It is clear as day that Tyler_JC is making a stronger argument than Keith_McClary.
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
odegaard
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 382
Joined: Tue 21 Apr 2009, 00:36:50
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Quinny » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 04:25:59

No it isn't

How many ways can you get/make wealth?

Earn it?

Steal it?

Inherit it?

You don't need sources to cut through the bullshit!


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Keith_McClary', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Decline of Inherited Money

My Krugman post brought a lot of emails asking about my assertion that “the vast majority of today’s rich didn’t inherit their money, but made it themselves.”
The data seems to be based on what the fat cats say. I wouldn't expect them to say "I got it all from daddy the rum-runner" etc.

Tyler_JC has listed sources to back up his claim. Keith_McClary. did NOT.

It is clear as day that Tyler_JC is making a stronger argument than Keith_McClary.
Live, Love, Learn, Leave Legacy.....oh and have a Laugh while you're doing it!
User avatar
Quinny
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3337
Joined: Thu 03 Jul 2008, 03:00:00
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby odegaard » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 04:56:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'N')o it isn't

How many ways can you get/make wealth?

Earn it?

Steal it?

Inherit it?

You don't need sources to cut through the bullshit!
In a peakoil world there will be a steady state economy therefore we can make 2 conclusions:
1) The only way for a person to elevate their wealth would be to do it at someone else's expenses because remember it's a zero sum game.
2) If the first rule is true then the rich would try to suppress the poor and everybody else. Ouch that sounds like a very mean world.

getting back to our world:
We currently live in a world where rich people try to help poor people move up.
The rich gain no benefit from poor people staying poor.
In a growth based economy, a person does NOT lose if their neighbor increases his wealth so therefore we actually live in a very kind and gentle world, especially for the poor.
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
odegaard
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 382
Joined: Tue 21 Apr 2009, 00:36:50
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby cephalotus » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 07:31:30

I partly agree.

(US) Americans have a higher disposaeble income compared to most people in (Western) Europa.

But I assume that the comparison lacks in some ways.

People here live in smaller houses, but those houses have a very high standard made from solid brick, 20cm insulation, double or triple sided windows ect. A typical German house should and will last an average of 200 years. (houses built in the 1950th 1960th excluded)

I don't know if we spend less on consumption. In my opinion the amount of foof calories may be lower (that'ts not a bad thing), but the quality of the food is much higher on average.
I can get to the next small shop and chose between 50 different types of real juices. 100% natural juices and not some artificial flavoured, sugared and colored water. I can get to the small bakery next door and chose between 30 different types of bread, real bread.
Ok, that also about thing that people like to eat, we don't have 30 types of donuts (I didn't see a single donut for months).
I can't see a difference in clothes.
But there is a difference in cars and electronic stuff. (on the other hand most DSLR sales go to Europa these days, that's the only electronic statistics I know without the need of google).

So yes, Americans do consume more. If they do consume things of higher value I don't really know.
If they really -have- the money or if it's only borrowed money to buy all that stuff is a another question.

My personal opinion -and I'm one of those guys who currently pays a lot into the system without getting much out- is that I prefer the European model. (btw. you forgot free or at least heavy subsidized education at universities).

I prefer social security over excessive consumption.

I don't feel poor.

btw, I'm an engineer and I don't have a house and I even don't have a car, because I don't need either. On the other hand I have exactly zero dept and never had any dept to pay.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', '
')From a distance Europe (I assume Canada has a similar standard of living) seems like it's one step ahead of us.
We are constantly reminded by the media of the pretty high speed trains, universal health care, and generous social welfare unheard of in the USA. However the biggest difference is disposable income. Europeans just don't have it.

This glaring difference shows up in every aspect of a person's life from the size of their house, number of cars if any, how many times they can afford to go to the shopping mall. One of the biggest culture shocks that a foreigner gets when they come to the USA is the shear quantity of material possessions Americans have and our ability to replace them with newer ones. Houses in Europe are half the size. Even a person of low status like a garbage man can afford to live in a single family detached house in the USA. In Britain it is not uncommon for even doctors, lawyers, and engineers to live in row houses.
Imagine if you visited a hypothetical foreign country where everybody lived in houses twice the size, have twice as many material possessions, and they replace them twice as often. It would make for an interesting culture shock huh? :)
cephalotus
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 581
Joined: Tue 18 Sep 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Germany
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby cephalotus » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 07:35:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')
But there are no rich, unhappy countries.


Seems, that you've have never been to Germany? ;-)

(ok, maybe we don't count as rich anymore)
cephalotus
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 581
Joined: Tue 18 Sep 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Germany
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby cephalotus » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 07:53:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('deMolay', 'I')n your case don't feed the parasite. You may be somebody's sweetheart, but you are really just a legend in your own mind. Being hip or cool or cutting edge doesn't mean you have to be a parasite as well. Maybe you worship the 60's era and that is your own business. But I never met too many in the 60's who were avowed parasites like yourself. So don't feed the parsite folks.


I assume that 99,9% of all western people are parasites on the global systems.

We waste resources (without paying, what they are really worth), we pollute the planet without paying for it and we keep 50% of the worlds people in slavery and misery to work for our consumption.

Don't point with your finger on others when you are talking about people that mainly take from "the system" and don't give.
cephalotus
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 581
Joined: Tue 18 Sep 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Germany
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 10:36:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', '
')1) The only way for a person to elevate their wealth would be to do it at someone else's expenses because remember it's a zero sum game.



Depends on how you measure "wealth." If a family or group of relatively poor people pool their resources to buy land and then manage that land in such a way as to achieve maximum long-term ("sustainable") productivity, they can increase their wealth through the action of photosynthesis (solar energy), which is not at anyone else's expense.

See "permaculture"
Ludi
 
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Bytesmiths » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 10:43:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', 'I')n a peakoil world there will be a steady state economy...
I think the likes of HT Odum would argue otherwise: in a peak oil world, there will be a steadily declining economy, until energy use falls to a sustainable level.

Energy use = economy.

We've known this for sixty years: "The better you live, the more oil you use." -- Esso advertisement, New Yorker, 1949
:::: Jan Steinman, Communication Steward, EcoReality, a forming sustainable community. Be the change! ::::
User avatar
Bytesmiths
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 730
Joined: Wed 27 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Salt Spring Island, Cascadia
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 14:21:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cephalotus', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')
But there are no rich, unhappy countries.


Seems, that you've have never been to Germany? ;-)

We have some Germans here. They're always complaining about everything. Does that mean they're unhappy?
Facebook knows you're a dog.
User avatar
Keith_McClary
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 7344
Joined: Wed 21 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Suburban tar sands
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby odegaard » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 17:13:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', '
')1) The only way for a person to elevate their wealth would be to do it at someone else's expenses because remember it's a zero sum game.

Depends on how you measure "wealth." If a family or group of relatively poor people pool their resources to buy land and then manage that land in such a way as to achieve maximum long-term ("sustainable") productivity, they can increase their wealth through the action of photosynthesis (solar energy), which is not at anyone else's expense.

See "permaculture"
yes and no
Immediately after PO there will be some countries that will do a smarter job of transitioning to a lower energy state.
Therefore, yes, it is possible to come out ahead of some other idiot who failed to plan properly.
but......
In the distant future, the ultimate end result will be a steady state economy. In this system every resource that can be used will have already been utilized and currently in the ownership of somebody, presumably a rich man. I don't think this rich man will be in any hurry to sell his real estate property.
Basically I'm getting an image of Medieval Europe but with more advanced technology. There was very little "social mobility" in such an environment.
Everybody will get born in a certain "social-economic class level" and stay that way till they die.
That's my vision of a post peak oil world.
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
odegaard
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 382
Joined: Tue 21 Apr 2009, 00:36:50
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby odegaard » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 17:16:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bytesmiths', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('odegaard', 'I')n a peakoil world there will be a steady state economy...
I think the likes of HT Odum would argue otherwise: in a peak oil world, there will be a steadily declining economy, until energy use falls to a sustainable level.

Energy use = economy.
When I said there will be a steady state economy I meant the ultimate end result of PO.
Of course there will be a declining economy immediately after PO. After awhile it will stabilize. Exactly how far down or what time frame is any body's guess.
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
odegaard
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 382
Joined: Tue 21 Apr 2009, 00:36:50
Top

Re: The Vanishing Middle Ground

Unread postby odegaard » Sun 26 Apr 2009, 17:19:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cephalotus', '.')...we don't have 30 types of donuts (I didn't see a single donut for months)...
I was going to put Germany on my list of
"places to visit before you die."
I might have to rethink that. 8)
Image
"They're not too big to fail, they're too big to bail out!" Peter Schiff
odegaard
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 382
Joined: Tue 21 Apr 2009, 00:36:50
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests

cron