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Leading Causes of Death in 2030? 2050?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Leading Causes of Death in 2030? 2050?

Unread postby ritter » Wed 30 Mar 2011, 16:54:51

@ Loki: I sure hope you're right. You're certainly more in the biz than I.
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Re: Leading Causes of Death in 2030? 2050?

Unread postby The_Toecutter » Thu 31 Mar 2011, 20:17:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', 'H')ere's the leading causes of death right now in the United States :

Cause

Percent of Total
1. Diseases of the heart
28.5
2. Malignant tumors (cancer) 22.8
3. Cerebrovascular diseases 6.7
4. Chronic lower respiratory diseases 5.1
5. Accidents (unintentional injuries) 4.4
6. Diabetes mellitus 3.0
7. Influenza and pneumonia 2.7
8. Alzheimer's disease 2.4
9. Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis 1.7
10. Septicemia (blood poisoning) 1.4
11. Suicide 1.3
12. Chronic liver disease and cirrhosis 1.1
13. Primary hypertension and hypertensive renal disease 0.8
14. Parkinson's disease (tied) 0.7
15. Homicide (tied) 0.7

Source: CDC/NHS, National Vital Statistics System

What do you think will be the leading causes of death in the future?


Homicide
Malignant Tumors
Alzheimers disease (and also vCJD)
Respiratory Diseases
Organ failure
Accidents
Suicide
Diabetes
Starvation (localized/regional)

Basically, the things that kill people in the future will resemble that list you posted, although the categories I listed will shift up on the list, while the others will shift down. Many of the disease-related issues we have today which are an anomoly on this planet(diabetes, cancer) have evidence to tie their cause to our food supply, lack of proper nutrition, lack of exercise, and exposure to environmental pollution; the quality of our food supply is likely to get a lot worse by then(average people in the U.S. already cannot afford a GMO-free, rGBHfree, pesticide-free diet), and environmental pollution is also likely to worsen. As the economy worsens and people become more desperate, homicides will certainly rise. However, if we have a collapse in vehicle travel, people will definately be getting around on food a lot more, and heart disease due to obesity may not be nearly as common.

If America erupts into a civil war, or if we have another world war with a draft to go with it, we could add war to the list of causes as well.
The unnecessary felling of a tree, perhaps the old growth of centuries, seems to me a crime little short of murder. ~Thomas Jefferson
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Re: Leading Causes of Death in 2030? 2050?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Fri 01 Apr 2011, 22:45:30

Homicide has never been the leading cause of death in a country (except, perhaps, for Rwanda in 1994).

The current US homicide rate is 5 per 100,000.
The current US death rate is 838 per 100,000.

I assume that one would expect the US death rate to increase Post Peak.

So you're assuming a 10,000%+ increase in homicides.
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Re: Leading Causes of Death in 2030? 2050?

Unread postby andrewsmith082 » Fri 19 Aug 2011, 00:17:10

I have been searching everywhere and I can't seem to find a website that explains the leading cause of death among people 23-26. Any help??

leading causes of death
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