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Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 05:28:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MiamiRob', '
')I really do not want a Prius. I want another Mercedes.


Well, gee, why don't you just get a Fisker Karma and be done with it. You sound like you have money to spare anyway, or at least more valuable assets than most of us have.
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby Mesuge » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 08:00:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MiamiRob', '
')I really do not want a Prius. I want another Mercedes.


Hah, well, in that case go ahead with some full EV conversion,
Benz is very suitable donor car for diy or small conversion shop, easy direct drive (rear drive) setup. Ponny up some 30kWh of lithium batteries into the project and you will be the local celebrity..

I guess that Mercedes are plentifull (cheap) in Florida, I'd go with some trusty E190 w. low milage, that's the best/last/reliable car from this brand.

Electric E190 from Maryland but you can get much younger:
http://picasaweb.google.com/scwilson00/ ... 7280588674
DOOMerotron: at all-time high [8.3] out of 10..
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 11:33:31

"Just because I'm drivin' a Rolls Royce doesn't mean I got any money." - Marty Krofft
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby MiamiRob » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 13:52:22

LOL. You guys are one rough room.

Reverse Engineer, I understand that many on this board would like to have a house on twenty acres in North Carolina. However, if the zombie hoards scenario does come to pass, I now realize that the last place that I want to be is in a house in the NC countryside waiting with my shotgun for the inevitable looters to arrive. Long-term, a farming environment will be essential for food production. However, I think that in a zombie hoards scenario, a farm will be a dangerous place to be in the short-term (two or three years.) I should have kept the land in North Carolina free of any visible structures. Building that house was a mistake.

Perhaps you think that because I am not a poor guy that I make decisions flippantly and do not base my actions on sufficient knowledge or investigation. That is not the case. I have spent years of time and a lot of money trying to prepare for the impact of PO. In many ways, I feel that I have done a good job. In other ways, I feel that I have made mistakes. For me, it is a learning process. If you ever come to Miami, I would like to invite you to lunch. I would like to hear what you have to say. (I extend that same initiation to all posting on this board.)

Mesuge, Thanks for the suggestion to do a full EV conversion on a 190. I will look into that.
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 14:45:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MiamiRob', '
')I think that in a zombie hoards scenario, a farm will be a dangerous place to be in the short-term (two or three years.) I should have kept the land in North Carolina free of any visible structures. Building that house was a mistake.


Hiding in a bunker for 2-3 years and living on rations is fine. But I think you will be disappointed if you expect to emerge to find a depopulated garden of eden afterwards. All the choice arable land is going to be accounted for, either by the original tenants who have successfully held their ground or by some generation of squatters.
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby ki11ercane » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 16:53:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MiamiRob', 'I') should have added that I am also concerned about being able to travel to visit my elderly parents in central Florida. With the Hymotion module installed, the Prius can make the trip on about two gallons of gas. My current car uses almost ten gallons for that drive. My concern is that gas might not be available. What do you think is the possibility of major gas shortages over the next year or so?

If I never had to drive more than the five miles to work, I would completely agree with you that a bike would be the best backup plan. Actually, I have a bike and I ride it often. However, I don't ride the bike to work because there is no place where I can take a shower when I get to the office and I have to wear a suit.

Rob


Rob, the only reason gasoline will not be available in the next 24 months is if you cannot afford to buy it either by the inability for the economy to sustain your job or the inability for the economies of the world being able to bring it to market. The job possibility is about 100 times more likely than the world economies inability to bring gasoline to market. If either of these are the case, you won't be thinking about trips to see your parents repeatedly because you'll have to stay with them or them with you to care for them. Further you won't have to worry about going to work to have a shower because work may not exist to go to. So you're good there too.

As I just said in another thread unless you plan to live over 5 centuries you are not going to see in your lifetime a 1st World Nation without gasoline, NG, or oil because it got all used up. I know it's a Doomer Whet Dream but it's not going to happen on a massive social scale you're invisioning.

What you should be doing right now is finding a cheap car that's good on gas and banking the extra cash to use when you can't afford to pay for the gas later on, then spending that time preparing to transition for when this arrangement becomes socially and economically permanent. I can definitely see "that" scenario panning out in the next 24 months for sure.
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby jamest » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 17:14:08

I suggest that you check how many days of gas shortages there have been because of hurricanes over the last several years. I daresay that there weren't enough to justify buying a $43,000 car that you don't really want.

If you're that worried about gasoline availability during hurricane season, simply keep your present car filled, along with a couple of 5 gallon cans that you store safely.
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sun 04 Jan 2009, 20:58:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MiamiRob', 'L')OL. You guys are one rough room.

Reverse Engineer, I understand that many on this board would like to have a house on twenty acres in North Carolina. However, if the zombie hoards scenario does come to pass, I now realize that the last place that I want to be is in a house in the NC countryside waiting with my shotgun for the inevitable looters to arrive. Long-term, a farming environment will be essential for food production. However, I think that in a zombie hoards scenario, a farm will be a dangerous place to be in the short-term (two or three years.) I should have kept the land in North Carolina free of any visible structures. Building that house was a mistake.


The subsistence farm paradigm only works if the community pulls together and protects the area in some fashion. Just having an empty piece of land doesn't help that much, but of course a house with PV panels on top of it would be a temptation for theft no matter where you set the house down. I am interested to see if you can actually unload this Doomstead, if some bank will loan out the money for your friend to buy it. Anyhow, you probably can offer it up as a Bug Out location for some Peak Oilers here without their own Doomsteads.

Generally when I get down to FL, its in the Orlando-Tampa area, not Miami. If I'm heading that way, I'll let you know though.

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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby VMarcHart » Tue 06 Jan 2009, 10:20:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mgibbons19', 'B')uy an old corolla and a bike, and save 30k. On days there's no gas, take the bike.
You stole my words. :)

Rob, if our frame of mind is to hedge against the discomforts of missing the good old modern life comforts, we need to shift the paradigm of comfort. Spending $43 so we can have a back-up car to drive less than 10 miles (each way) is not the solution.

My 2 cents. Good luck!
On 9/29/08, cube wrote: "The Dow will drop to 4,000 within 2 years". The current tally is 239 bold predictions, 9 right, 96 wrong, 134 open. If you've heard here, it's probably wrong.
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby JJ » Tue 06 Jan 2009, 11:35:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', '[')img]http://i206.photobucket.com/albums/bb196/mbayrob/shaun_of_the_dead_zombies.gif[/img]
You aren't paranoid enough.


I'm working on plans for a Recumbent Bike with a Ball Turret Gunner seat to put one of my smaller students in to mow down the Zombies. You can find the Plans at REMobileZombieDefense.com.

Reverse Engineer


here ya go, RE
http://zombiehunters.org/forum/
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby Frank » Tue 06 Jan 2009, 23:03:56

Best of both worlds: buy a used '04 Prius (for what, $5-8K?) spend the $10K on the plug-in package and use the rest towards an asset that will better serve you in the future.
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby drew » Wed 07 Jan 2009, 00:29:57

yeah, but it wouldn't be new!!
:-(

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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby The_Virginian » Thu 08 Jan 2009, 01:20:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'M')iamiRob you live in Miami and wear a suit. With gasoline shortages your commute will be the least of your problems?

In a world starved for energy do you really believe your white-collar job will exist? Or that the electric grid will supply you with air conditioning?

Do yourself a favor and forgo the toys. Buy some land in Vermont.


Take that advice and get yourself a small parcel, does not have to be in VT. :)
[urlhttp://www.youtube.com/watchv=Ai4te4daLZs&feature=related[/url] "My soul longs for the candle and the spices. If only you would pour me a cup of wine for Havdalah...My heart yearning, I shall lift up my eyes to g-d, who provides for my needs day and night."
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby MiamiRob » Thu 08 Jan 2009, 01:37:32

Virginian,

What size parcel do you consider "small?"

Thanks,
Rob
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby The_Virginian » Thu 08 Jan 2009, 22:04:52

To me, anything under 20 acre is small.

That being said, 5 acres would be the minimum, assuming as Pstar notes, you buy wood in a northern climate...or you live in central to N. FL where you will only need heat sporadically.

If you worry about gas because of Hurricanes, get 3 five gallon containers for benzine and put some Sta-bil (or other gas stabilizer avail. at auto shops).
[urlhttp://www.youtube.com/watchv=Ai4te4daLZs&feature=related[/url] "My soul longs for the candle and the spices. If only you would pour me a cup of wine for Havdalah...My heart yearning, I shall lift up my eyes to g-d, who provides for my needs day and night."
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby Oerdin » Thu 08 Jan 2009, 22:45:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hermes', 'H')i Rob:

My opinion is... within the next few years there will be little gasoline for you to gas up your car with. You will probably be laid off, and will neither be able to make payments on the car nor will you need the car to get to your work anymore.

Electricity will become spotty shortly with brownouts turning to rolling blackouts turning to rolling on periods which become shorter and shorter (e.g. power is on from 10:15pm to 3:30am each day).


That's a joke. As you can see oil is just a tiny percentage of the electrical generation in the US. The largest comes from coal, then nuclear, then natural gas (which we have much more then oil), then hydro. Even if the doomers are right and we run out of oil electricity will be just fine. Virtually all of our coal is domestic, rain will still fall so there will be hydro, and nuclear power will still work.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricit ... le1_1.html
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby ki11ercane » Fri 09 Jan 2009, 01:44:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Oerdin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hermes', 'H')i Rob:

My opinion is... within the next few years there will be little gasoline for you to gas up your car with. You will probably be laid off, and will neither be able to make payments on the car nor will you need the car to get to your work anymore.

Electricity will become spotty shortly with brownouts turning to rolling blackouts turning to rolling on periods which become shorter and shorter (e.g. power is on from 10:15pm to 3:30am each day).


That's a joke. As you can see oil is just a tiny percentage of the electrical generation in the US. The largest comes from coal, then nuclear, then natural gas (which we have much more then oil), then hydro. Even if the doomers are right and we run out of oil electricity will be just fine. Virtually all of our coal is domestic, rain will still fall so there will be hydro, and nuclear power will still work.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricit ... le1_1.html


Another PO Detractor to add to the wood pile! Welcome Oerdin!

It's not the lack of oil that is the problem Oerdin. Oil will continue to pump out of the ground for centuries. However it's extraction, production, transportation, and sale of oil are all directly tied into our economy. Our economy "is" oil. Everything you eat, buy, drive, wear, etc. has been touched by "oil." This also means the mechanisms to extract coal, maintain a hydro plant, and mine uranium all come from the extraction, production, and consumption of oil. If our economy is decimated by it's poor availability or insane expense to extract the more expensive version of it, you should be more worried about how you will pay to heat your home or keep the lights on when the cost do to so will not be in your reach because you are jobless or homeless because our economy did not properly adjust in time for everything to cost more.

If you think we've caught this problem in enough time and you think the social transition will be a smooth ride, good for you!
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Re: Is Spending Plug-In Prius Worth $43,000

Unread postby Auntie_Cipation » Fri 09 Jan 2009, 02:56:01

Okay, here's the thing -- let's say you get the beater car (or keep the Benz, or whatever other non-Prius options you're considering) and the bicycle, as was suggested.

And then along come gasoline shortages, where it's either unavailable or really expensive.

What do you do? You ride the bike, right? If your beater car is a Geo Metro, perhaps you can squeak by continuing to drive on some days, since you're using so little gas.

And what if this continues on for weeks, maybe into bad weather even. With or without the electric outages.

Do you think at that point you'd regret not having the Prius?

No, you wouldn't.

Why?

Because you don't live in a societal vacuum -- imagine what everyone around you will be going through when gas is unavailable or $25/gal. They will be panicking, their wallets will be empty, they'll be taking up THEIR bicycles in droves. And none too pleased about it.

Do you really want to be the only one driving around in a spiffy plug-in hybrid in that situation? I sure wouldn't! Talk about a sitting duck target!

I definitely vote for the Geo Metro, the bicycle, and/or the 'lectric scooter. Maybe even one of those motorized assist bicycles, so you don't have to sweat into your three-piece suit. You could even get two bikes to hedge your bets about which shortage will occur, one with electric motor assist and one with the little gasoline engine that holds a quart of gas and gets 250 miles/gallon, and still come out way ahead from your $43k.

Heck, some of us could build a whole house with that much moolah! :lol:
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