by FoxV » Wed 28 Nov 2007, 15:08:45
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'Y')es. My position hasn't changed one iota. Oil will peak, and it will be no big deal because we will smoothly switchover to alternatives. That has always been my position.
well you Technocopian's better hurry up. Oil production is in decline and so far the only serious effort put into a transition has been on the ethanol horse (dead within two years, good call George

). We still have many more of these boondoggles to work through before we start hitting on solutions with some substance (such as going through all the expensive RnD required to come up with a way to get people to take the bus).
If there's going to be a smooth transition, the solutions need to start showing up soon for people adopt them in any reasonable amount of time before there's a crisis. Just look at the current "rush" to abandon SUVs for hybrids (and EVs

). Unless part of the transition includes cattle prodding people into the new technology. But that wouldn't be a very smooth transition now would it.
In the meantime, 2 years post peak and counting.