Part of the problem of divining the future is that so many relationships are.. non-linear. We do not know exactly how one event will impact another.
From today's Washington Post
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Unrest in Pakistan and increasing fuel prices have already boosted the cost of food in Afghanistan, making it more likely that hungry Afghans will be lured by payments from the Taliban to participate in attacks, a U.S. Army officer in Afghanistan said.
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Human response: Adaption or Maladaption?
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Human response: Adaption or Maladaption?
by wisconsin_cur » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 05:12:21
Now one does not need to be clairvoient to know that the region was and is a powder keg. But I do think we are seeing what makes the problem so complicated. Some individuals look at the problems we are facing and dwell upon the adaptive capabilites of the human species. What ever problems we are facing, we are told, we can innovate ourselves out of it.
Of course we can be adaptive, but we can also mal-adaptive. We can make positive changes but we also make negative changes. Sometimes we reduce our population growth in a good and reasonable manner, sometimes we send the young off to die in war.
As the price of oil goes up we will see plenty of positive adaptations no doubt but are they, like the new oil projects coming on line, enough to take up the slack of the mal-adaptations in addition to the decline in production we will see?
Young Afghani's will take up arms against American forces as the only way to keep themselves afloat, what will young Mexicans do? young urban youth in the United States? China?
Sweden, New Zealand, any number of other places might be able deal with PO in a positive fashion. This does not mean that we are not entering a dangerous period in history, that the mal-adaptive behaviors can easily boil over to another.
We are creative little mammals but we are also mischievious little apes as well.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
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