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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

How rich is rich?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

How rich is rich? (net worth)

$1,000
0
0%
$10,000
0
0%
$100,000
3
No votes
$1,000,000
11
No votes
$10,000,000
33
No votes
$100,000,000
11
No votes
no amount is enough
2
No votes
 
Total votes : 60

How rich is rich?

Unread postby truecougarblue » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 12:47:08

I've noticed as I read through the threads that there are many posters who hold the opinion that in a PO decline, long or short, the wealthiest X% will do just fine.

Please opine as to where you would place a threshold to indicate a person who's wealth will make PO a mild inconvenience, expressed as net worth (assets minus liabilities) in US$.

I realize that variation in investment vehicles can make a big difference in this question. Let's take this into account in our estimates.

My guess, 15 million USD current net worth.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby jdumars » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 17:25:30

The thing that cracks me up about the notion of being rich right now is that people still have not mentally caught up with the fact that we are in an extreme state of hyperinflation right now in the housing market. Take for example, this lovely one bedroom apartment, er, condo. Folks, that's 1 million dollars. For 1 bedroom. Think about that for a second. Remember when Robin Leach used to tell us about the "Lifestyles of the Rich and Famous" and so-and-so had a magnificent 3 million dollar home? 7 units in a modest San Francisco condo complex is $13,000,000. Rich today means 50 million+, and that's in wholly-owned hard assets, not just real estate. We're awash in McMillionaires who are going to be in real trouble relatively soon.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby strider3700 » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 17:47:51

I think the interesting question isn't how much makes you rich but how much is enough.
shame on us, doomed from the start
god have mercy on our dirty little hearts
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby rwwff » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 17:58:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdumars', 'T')he thing that cracks me up about the notion of being rich right now is that people still have not mentally caught up with the fact that we are in an extreme state of hyperinflation right now in the housing market. Take for example, this lovely one bedroom apartment, er, condo. Folks, that's 1 million dollars.


While you can get the same squarfootage, and more dirt for $50,000 in most of the country.

Not my fault Californians are idiots.

With a million bucks, you could get 100 acres, a modern house with connections to utilities, barn, livestock, tractor, some wind and solar supplemental power, a new pond dug, and enough cash left over to pay the taxes for many years.

Exactly why someone would trade that, for a condo, is frankly none of my business; but I certainly am under no obligation to consider it a reasonable benchmark for use in my analysis.



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'm')odest San Francisco


Modest, and San Francisco. Used in the same sentence. About real estate??? :lol:
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby lateStarter » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 18:16:50

Rich - the guy I saw sitting in the shade of some side street in Warsaw selling strawberries, cherries and beans. Talk about a no-stress job... Mind you, this is all excess from his farm outside the city. Drop the wife off at the corner in the morning, return to the farm, pick her up in the evening.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby rwwff » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 18:21:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'r')wfff your 100 acres in the middle of nowwhere is worth little. Now it is called am American farm and these entities are going broke faster than gold hoarders. In the peak oil future that farmette will be called bait


I didn't say you could farm it at present, I said you could buy it. Its also why you need that saved cash to pay the taxes for several years. Lease outs for grazing and hunting may also be able to help with the taxes.

In the end, with such a purchase, you're betting the cost of grains will skyrocket as demand meets supply and takes all the slack out of the system. The trick then is to absolutely avoid borrowing money on it for "improvements" or "equipment". Don't plant nit until you're pretty sure 60 bushels of corn per acre will more than cover costs and give you back something for your time. I do think its a better bet than spending a million bucks on a condo.

As to "bait". Maybe, maybe not. If so, then I will have been ultimately proved right about which path to dealing with peak oil makes the most sense. If power down results in the Zombie Horde rampaging and pillaging through rural America; then the only rational response to peak oil is to risk everything and burn anything in an attempt to develop and deploy Magic FutureEnergy.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby rwwff » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 18:36:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 's')o you have $1 million sitting out in a loosing piece of americana waiting for tsthtf?


They're both losing pieces of Americana.

You weren't under the delusion that that condo will be worth more in a few years, were you?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')an I have some?

No.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou can join my commune

No thanks, I have my own disfunctional neighbors and family members to play with. At least I like them. [most of the time]
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby jaws » Wed 21 Jun 2006, 22:14:58

You're rich when you have to hire someone to calculate how rich you are.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby Chaparral » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 12:32:40

I'd argue that net worth doesn't mean a thing without factoring in leverage.

It could be said that someone with a few small properties and other assets all worth maybe 1 or 2 million USD but who DOESN'T OWE A THING to any bank or lender whatsoever is richer than someone who has a volatile 12 million dollar portfolio and owes 8 or 9 million dollars to the lenders.

That being said, it seems that one can never have enough. One day a fella wakes up and finds his net worth has reached the 7 figure milestone. The next morning he's worrying about how to make the second million. Five years later he's wondering how long it'll take to make that an eight figure number.

I'd also note that many don't like to include their primary residences as an asset; only investments count towards net worth. The amount owing on that primary residence however is counted as a liability.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby lotrfan55345 » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 12:42:11

Obviously it depends on what country you live in... A millonare in USD in Africa would be treated like a king there, yet be treated normally in most 1st world countries...
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby eastbay » Thu 22 Jun 2006, 13:06:02

Absolutely correct. It all depends on where you live.

In a place like SF, London, Tokyo, or Singapore a net worth of a million (US$ equivalent) will force you to go to work every day much like the person who has a net worth of zero or less than zero.

But a few miles away from Manila, or, for example, just about anywhere in South America, Africa, or in most places from the eastern German border all the way to the Pacific Ocean a person with a million US$ will be considered rich.

The pile of miney determining 'rich' ranges from zero to 10's of millions depending on where you are and what you're doing. The guy in selling produce in Warsaw seems 'rich' to me.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby truecougarblue » Fri 23 Jun 2006, 00:25:08

Good replies so far, and helpful to the process.

I agree with those who made points about location, debt, and leverage.

Now my question is could we come up with some formulation to calculate a PO wealth quotient? I think with a bit of tweaking we might be able to make something that calls the independent farmer in El Salvador as wealth as an american millionaire.

I'll think about it some more and see what I come up with.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby Liamj » Fri 23 Jun 2006, 01:04:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', ' ')...In the peak oil future that farmette will be called bait :twisted:
No, i think the serviced exurb will be the bait. All the newly destitute will be in withdrawal from those little pleasurers that made their currently hellish rat-race lives bearable.

But farmette has no Coke, no hamburgers, no pharmaceuticals, little hot water, no cable tv, no candy bars etc etc. The real dead wood will be drawn to the exurbs like flies to faeces, and the more you fortify the bigger the mob will think you are worth rolling. Add arguably justifiable anger at the corp/gov pasty faces who mal-administer the descent, and I wouldn't even live near an exurb, such will be their detriovore drawing power.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby rwwff » Fri 23 Jun 2006, 02:08:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Liamj', '
')But farmette has no Coke, no hamburgers, no pharmaceuticals, little hot water, no cable tv, no candy bars etc etc. The real dead wood will be drawn to the exurbs like flies to faeces, and the more you fortify the bigger the mob will think you are worth rolling. Add arguably justifiable anger at the corp/gov pasty faces who mal-administer the descent, and I wouldn't even live near an exurb, such will be their detriovore drawing power.


No coke - arguably a good thing
No hamburger - goat meat makes perfectly good hamburger
No pharma - hmm, doubt anyone's gonna have pharma, so whats the diff
No hotwater - you've never had a shower with water heated with wood?
No cable - dbs has long since surplanted any thought of cable in rural US.
No candy bars - obviously you don't eat peaches and figs...

As to "the mob", aka, The Zombie Horde. Unimpressed.

It should be noted, I'm not talking about an exurb retreat. I'm talking fully rural, with miles of thin, two lane asphalt and dirt roads between them and anything resembling a highway.

Oh, and the best fortification is to simply blend in.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby And_over » Fri 23 Jun 2006, 15:24:18

I think there are levels of wealth. **My figures are for the 1st world**

If you have a net worth of 1.5 million USD your wealthy.

If you have a net worth of 10 million USD and an additional yearly income of several 100,000 USD then you are rich.

At 50 milllion USD with an additional yearly income of at least 1 million USD, then you are extremely wealthy.

If you have a net worth of over 400 million USD and/or a yearly income of 10 million USD, then you are riddiculously wealthy and don't have to worry about money.
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Fri 23 Jun 2006, 15:34:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'Y')ou're rich when you have to hire someone to calculate how rich you are.
tell that to Ken Lay :)
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Re: How rich is rich?

Unread postby lateStarter » Fri 23 Jun 2006, 18:09:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')f you have a net worth of over 400 million USD and/or a yearly income of 10 million USD, then you are riddiculously wealthy and don't have to worry about money.


And what about food? What if my US income is purely speculative? What if I am a hedge-fund manager? How long will that gig last?
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