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Have no fear, the government is here...

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Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Leanan » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 12:50:52

Arlen Specter, Pennsylvania Republican, head of the Senate Judiciary panel, says he's shocked by the size of oil company profits. He says Congress is going to do something about it.

Windfall profits tax, here we come...
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Longsword » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 12:52:32

I'm taking bets on how soon the Oil Companies start moving their Headquarters out of US. :lol:
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby gnm » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 12:56:30

Seeing as how those windfall profits came out of the consumers pocket how about a tax credit back to us after the gov taxes the corporations?

Don't figure that will happen since they know how to spend our money better than we do right?

-G
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Leanan » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 12:58:17

Are you kidding? They're already out of the U.S. Incorporated in a post office box in the Carribean. :lol:
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 13:04:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'S')eeing as how those windfall profits came out of the consumers pocket how about a tax credit back to us after the gov taxes the corporations?

Don't figure that will happen since they know how to spend our money better than we do right?

-G


How about not cutting the oil companies any tax breaks so they have to actually work and invest their own money in alternatives? Nah, that makes too much sense...
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby pip » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 13:40:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'S')eeing as how those windfall profits came out of the consumers pocket how about a tax credit back to us after the gov taxes the corporations?

Don't figure that will happen since they know how to spend our money better than we do right?

-G


The current 10% "windfall" profits of the US oil companies includes the "massive" tax credits.
The road goes on forever and the party never ends - REK
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Longsword » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 14:00:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'A')re you kidding? They're already out of the U.S. Incorporated in a post office box in the Carribean. :lol:


Just out of intellectual curiosity, I did some digging, some are still in US:

ExxonMobil
Corporate Headquarters
5959 Las Colinas Boulevard
Irving, Texas 75039-2298
(972) 444-1000

Chevron Headquarters
6001 Bollinger Canyon Rd.
San Ramon, CA 94583, U.S.A.
Tel. +1-925-842-1000

Still a few to go! But I am sure they will be just as happy to sell the Chinese, despite what mr. Specter (a name straight out of a Bond movie!) wants them to do.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby gt1370a » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 17:00:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'S')eeing as how those windfall profits came out of the consumers pocket how about a tax credit back to us after the gov taxes the corporations?
-G


That's the worst thing that could happen. If you subsidize demand when there is a real supply problem, you will create shortages - unless you have rationing.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby DigitalCubano » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 17:17:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gt1370a', 'T')hat's the worst thing that could happen. If you subsidize demand when there is a real supply problem, you will create shortages - unless you have rationing.


Exactly. The California "deregulation" fiaso was a comparable, but imperfect, example. The contrived system that was set up did not allow the true price to filter from the generators to the consumer (despite the fact that the generators were artificially manipulating supplies). In short, there was no incentive on the end user's part to be more frugal with the juice, hence the blackouts.

Rationing in all but the most extreme cases results in a suboptimal allocation of resources. The 70's gas crisis due to the OPEC embargo is a nice example of this notion.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Gigashadow » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 18:56:37

So is the windfall tax just on oil, or about anybody who makes lots of money?

I'm wondering if they could put a windfall tax on all those consumers who made a lot of money on housing. I figure, if gas going up $1-$2 a gallon deserves a corporate windfall tax, then housing prices going up by $200-400$K in most areas deserves a tax 100 times as big.

Also I'd like a windfall tax on any medical company, software companies, and Google in particular. Profit is bad, and we can't have more of it.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Leanan » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 20:36:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')rofit is bad, and we can't have more of it.


Don't worry, peak oil will take care of that.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Odin » Thu 02 Feb 2006, 20:13:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gigashadow', ' ')Profit is bad, and we can't have more of it.


Profit is neccessary in a market economy (do not confuse the term with capitalism, a market economy based on co-ops whould be technically socialist), otherwise there is no incentive (which is why command economies fail). The only reason profit is bad in the current system is that it goes to investors when it should be going to employees.
"Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis." -Starvid

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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Thu 02 Feb 2006, 20:18:18

I posted on another thread a link to the API study on net profits in oil companies versus other industries in the US. Oil companies make 7 cents on the dollar...net of all taxes, incentives, writeoffs etc. This places them pretty much in the middle of the pack....Banks are where the real windfall profits are sitting....19.6 cents on the dollar, Pharmaceuticals and Software companies are also up in the high teens.
Bottom line is you cannot just look at "profit" as being the same as cashflow. As oil price rises so do costs...the profit margin is somewhat higher than it was but not exhorbitantly so.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby backstop » Thu 02 Feb 2006, 21:24:04

Given the Oil Industry's alleged culpability for the raised GOM sea temperatures that lead to New Orleans $70Bn destruction,
and its widely documented funding of prevaricationist advocacy to postpone measures against GW,
a "Windfall Tax" seems a rather mild description of what is needed.

Whatever the titleof the tax, it needs very clear objectives if it's to be anything more than gesture-politics-as-usual.

For a start it would need to actually reverse the bias of total official support from fossil resources to sustainable alternatives
if it's to be of any significant aid to the latters' cost competitiveness.

Second, it needs to open the eligibility for official support from solely the well-suited corporate and academia hacks
to include companies of all scales down to the garden shed efforts, if it is going to encourage the real potential within American society
for innovative solutions to the PO+GW problem.

Third, while it needs to refrain from indulging in timewasting partisan punitive measures, it does needs to radically alter the priorities
of those who annually mandate the companies' Research & Development strategies - namely the shareholders,
if it is to seriously engage the industry's unique engineering capacities and assist their re-orientation towards the sustainables.

To this end I would propose a revenue-neutral B.R.E.D. Tax [Budget for Research, Exploration & Development]

Note - 'revenue neutral' is used here to mean that all funds raised are re-allocated to the industry overall,
and administrative costs are met out of general taxation. No new income would flow to the general treasury.

The BRED tax would be levied on a company's shareholders' profits according to the proportion of its RE&D budgets going to the Sustainables,
in comparison with other energy supply and technology companies' proportions.

As a rough example of this tax's outcome, Shell's current spending on non-fossil energy might well make it a net recipient, and thus able to marginally raise its dividends,
while say Texaco, with no visible sustainables outlay (?) would be a net doner, and face the prospect of falling share value.

There are of course a host of aspect to this idea which I'm not going into at present, apart from observing that the definition
of which technologies and resources are sustainable, which are not but are worth classifying as "transitional,"
and which are simply outdated fossil options, is central to the BRED Tax's overall utility.

I suggest that the public discussion of these definitions is long overdue both within the US and elswhere.

Hoping this may be of interest to those not yet subect to the Neocons' propaganda
that all government is irredeemably corrupt and inherently incapable of serving the common good,

regards,

Backstop
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 02 Feb 2006, 21:57:11

California is considering a tax on oil produced in the state:

LA Times

They figure it won't increase the price for Californians, since the price of oil is set on the global market.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby mistel » Fri 03 Feb 2006, 00:11:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rockdoc123', 'I') posted on another thread a link to the API study on net profits in oil companies versus other industries in the US. Oil companies make 7 cents on the dollar...net of all taxes, incentives, writeoffs etc. This places them pretty much in the middle of the pack....Banks are where the real windfall profits are sitting....19.6 cents on the dollar, Pharmaceuticals and Software companies are also up in the high teens.
Bottom line is you cannot just look at "profit" as being the same as cashflow. As oil price rises so do costs...the profit margin is somewhat higher than it was but not exhorbitantly so.


I just don't buy that. These companies are not buying thier oil on the NYMEX at $68? BBL. They have reserves in the ground. Thier costs are probably the same at $20 BBL or $70 BBL. Why else would they make record profits when pump prices peak? If they were only making 7% return on the dollar, they would make less when prices peak because gas usage falls, not much but it does. The price of oil on the NYMEX is an imaginary number. It has no relationship to what EXXON pays for a BBL o f crude.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Leanan » Fri 03 Feb 2006, 14:44:38

Massive Oil Profits May Not Last

Matthew Simmons doesn't think the future of Big Oil is all that bright...
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby xarkz » Fri 03 Feb 2006, 20:45:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')How about not cutting the oil companies any tax breaks so they have to actually work and invest their own money in alternatives? Nah, that makes too much sense...


The oil companies seems to be more interersted in "throwing" their profits
to their shareholdres instead of investing :cry:

NYT:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')High Profits, Sluggish Investments

By FLOYD NORRIS
Published: February 3, 2006

AS oil company earnings soar, there is talk of excess profits and a new windfall profits tax. The real issue, though, is not how much the oil companies are making, but what they are doing with the money. In too many cases, they seem to have only a limited interest in investing it in projects that might help prevent or ameliorate a new energy crisis.

Exxon Mobil, the world's most valuable company, reported this week that it earned $36 billion in 2005. But it was only able to find ways to invest less than half that amount. Instead, Exxon Mobil's chief executive, Rex W. Tillerson, bragged that it had distributed $23.2 billion to shareholders, "an increase of 56 percent, or $8.3 billion, from 2004."


Those numbers minimize the distributions, since they count only some share repurchases, ignoring others that the company figures offset shares issued when executives exercise options. Include them, and the figure last year was $25.4 billion.

Exxon Mobil had so much cash because oil prices surged last year, as they did the year before and the year before that. But the company remains suspicious that such glad tidings may be temporary, and so it invests sparingly.

"The way we look at projects has been very, very consistent over many, many years," an Exxon spokesman, Mark D. Boudreaux, told me, adding that "snapshot economics" were a bad thing.

One determinant of whether an investment is wise is the price of oil that would be needed for it to be profitable. The lower the price a company expects, the fewer investments will pass muster.

It appears that Exxon's price forecast has not risen much in recent years, even though market prices have soared.

This is a very different policy from the one the old Exxon had. In 1984 and 1985, Exxon reported profits for the two years combined of $10 billion, or less than a third of 2005's profits. But investments were $21 billion, well above the $17.7 billion invested last year.

I checked back to 1976, and found that until 1997, Exxon always invested more than it made. Now it invests less than half of profits.

One way to monitor what Exxon Mobil does with its money is to compare the amount it distributes to shareholders, via share repurchases and dividends, with the amount it invests in capital spending, exploration and research and development.

A decade ago, Exxon invested more than $2 for every dollar it distributed to shareholders. Last year the figure was 70 cents.

In 2005, it reduced the number of shares outstanding by 4 percent.

There is a phrase for that strategy: gradual liquidation. It is an excellent strategy for a company in a declining industry with few investment opportunities. Let us hope that is not the case here.

If China and India are to continue to grow, then it seems likely that energy prices are in a long-term uptrend. As we learned in the 1980's, conservation and increased investment can eventually change the supply-demand balance. Higher prices are starting to bring more conservation, but it is a slow process.

The belief of many in the energy industry that oil price rises in recent years were temporary blips — a result of speculation, or fears of Mideast troubles — delayed investments. Now the world needs them desperately, but Exxon Mobil's investments are only 14 percent above 2003 levels. Perhaps it does not agree with President Bush that America is "addicted to oil."

We can hope that others will make the investments Exxon Mobil is unwilling to make, in both oil and alternative energies. If not, the easing of energy prices may be much farther off than it needs to be.
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby backstop » Fri 03 Feb 2006, 22:10:41

Xarkx -

Good to see a paper like NYT putting out such info.

Yet the article steers clear of the major implication of Exxon and other oil companies' failure to invest -
which may not, as it suggests, be because they foresee a huge slump in oil prices,
but rather because they don't expect the oil business to be profitable in the turbulence of the downslope post peak.

While this idea may seem contrary to economic tenets, we are now moving into the ecological tenets of resource depletion where the only constant is declining stability.

Seems to me the oil companies, knowing more than most, are more scared than most.

Regards,

Backstop
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Re: Have no fear, the government is here...

Unread postby Leanan » Fri 03 Feb 2006, 22:26:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')et the article steers clear of the major implication of Exxon and other oil companies' failure to invest -
which may not, as it suggests, be because they foresee a huge slump in oil prices,
but rather because they don't expect the oil business to be profitable in the turbulence of the downslope post peak.


I think it's that there's simply nowhere left to drill. If Deffeyes is right, and most of the oil in the world has been found, where are they going to invest their profits? There aren't too many prospects left, and the ones that do remain are inaccessible for political reasons (environmental laws or national oil companies).
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