GlobalSecurity.org updated their oil page on April 17.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/intro/oil.htm
Check out the early EIA forecasts. Oil was supposed to be $20 a barrel now.
They've changed their tune. Now, they don't see oil falling below $50 a barrel in the foreseeable future.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n contrast to most other oil-price-spike episodes, this time the far futures price of oil -- that is, the price for contracts seven years out -- has also risen sharply. This correlation seems to indicate that the present oil price increase is not viewed as a purely temporary shock. It is virtually inevitable that shocks will result in some combination of higher inflation and higher unemployment for a time.



