by Snowrunner » Tue 22 Jul 2008, 23:14:58
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cloud9', 'S')hould the United States turn inward, I suspect China will make short work of the Middle East. Russia and China will lock horns. Russia has the edge in weapon technology China has the edge in people. China may invade Russia much in the same way Mexico has invaded the United States one bracero at a time or it may opt for a military invasion.
Eastern Russia is already rather deserted. There have been several reports of entire stretches of Forest being taken out and brought back to China to feed The Machine(TM).
I don't think China is interested in a war with Russia though, war really is not good in the long term as pacifying a region is hard work (outside of completely wiping out 100% of the former inhabitants) and trading could be a way better strategy,
Then there is the little notion that Russia sits snugely between Europe and China, a fact all three have recognized as the new agreement of building a high-speed freight rail line between China, Russia an Germany has shown.
I think we will see Russia as a "middle power", brokering between China and Europe and selling raw materials to both sides, the investment in new military Hardware lately by the Kremel seems to support the point that they want to be able to make a point.
Even if the US would want to intervene, I cannot see a way in which they could stop either of the three powers doing that.
A "worst case" scenario would be an attempt by China to take eastern Russia, but considering the vast distances even for a country like China this may not be feasble, others have tried and failed miserably.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')hina invaded Vietnam after the Americans left and got spanked. That generation has passed and a new more militaristic mind set may take hold. The bad news is Russia, the Middle East and all of Europe is within walking distance of the Red Army
Yes, but traditionally China hasn't "conquered" other places, and it really makes little sense for them. Siberia may be a lucrative target, but taking over the rest of Russia / Europe? It would not make any sense. Cultural Imperialism (as done by the US of A for the past 50 years) makes way more sense, and the Chinese thinking is a lot longer term than in Western Culture. The Chinese empire (which in a way already exists) will be an invisible one for a long time to come.