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ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

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ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

Unread postby lutherquick » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 15:11:09

The software industry has a special edge, it's an industry where 70% of all projects fail, but nobody knows. And to patch that failure, we issue service packs, upgrade hardware, increase memory or reboot each 1/2 hour, and BINGO things look great.

My point is that software engineering doesn't require such great planning as say jet engine design. The reason is that you can just add millions of extra lines of code and wing it, turn the entire project into one big band-aid.

Look at that piece of software the FBI developed, 178 million dollars and they can't even demo the damn thing.

This methodology of "winging it" now and fix it later was used in Enron, Tyco, and WorldCom board meetings. And finally, on CIA intel with respect to wmd in Iraq.

To that end, these baby boomers of today are treating "peak oil" exactly the same. They are listening, they are thinking, and the rich ones are adjusting their investments, but they all think some quick solution can be patched together "IF" peak oil turns out to be true.

Whether you work at Lucent or AT&T or Enron or joining a cabinet meeting at the Whitehouse, it's a circle jerk, everyone tells the group what they want to hear (group think), and they all "hope" for some leg room later to fix this cluster f..k. Delusionary fairy tales propagate all over our society where "planning" is against the law, it's evil, because only communist plan. In the new "just in time", "supply chain" system we will fix later what we refused to talk about today.

Somehow, I don't think "peak oil" will be as flexible and forgiving as the software world is. There will be no patch or service pack.
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Re: ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

Unread postby Jack » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 16:40:15

It's not just software; we as a society don't have hard, fixed standards for anything. The fellow who said "We are an empire, and we make reality" is emblematic of the attitude.

I agree with you - reality will assert itself. And peak oil, like gravity, does not plea bargain.
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Re: ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

Unread postby gt1370a » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 17:33:36

People in our society are rewarded for immediate results. Rarely if ever are they punished for long-term consequences, especially if there is not a direct tie of the consequences to their actions. People respond to incentives.

With peak oil, look at it this way - if people won't quit smoking or lose weight, why should they change their lifestyle because of some vague, distant threat that they have no control over anyway?
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Re: ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

Unread postby BlueGhost » Thu 05 Jan 2006, 19:00:56

Perfect logic, there is only one solution - change people.
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Re: ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

Unread postby JustinFrankl » Fri 06 Jan 2006, 03:03:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BlueGhost', 'P')erfect logic, there is only one solution - change people.

People aren't entirely stupid. People usually don't change because they don't understand the forces that affect them, or because of reduced perception of those forces. It is a highly abstracted concept to most people that buying brand-name sneakers for their children might contribute to sweatshop conditions on the other side of the planet. They have no real experience of seeing other children suffering as a result of their decision.

Because of our highly abstracted world, it is even easier to hold a cornucopian mindset than it has been in the past. Most people have no concept of what happens between pressing the button and seeing something change on the screen, nor what had to occur to bring the button and screen into existence. Nor how a pervasive and monolithic media shapes their understanding of the world.

My point is that in the face of the radically changing environment about to unfold, some people will change. Some new ideas and ways of relating to the world will take hold -- if people have the ideas and tools available before TSHTF.
"We have seen the enemy, and he is us." -- Walt Kelly
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Re: ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

Unread postby Ayoob » Fri 06 Jan 2006, 04:00:52

I guess change will be motivated by pain.
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Re: ENERGY is like SOFTWARE

Unread postby Cobra_Strike » Fri 06 Jan 2006, 16:37:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', 'I') guess change will be motivated by pain.


Pain will only teach a short term lesson, in a world were "more stuff" then the last generation is taken as a birthright even post collapse people will want more. Proof of that is found in the ammount of debt people are accumulatiing, they are selling out their futures (and the worlds future) for gains today.
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