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Commercially viable ... is mistaken

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Commercially viable ... is mistaken

Unread postby Zero-point » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 10:41:16

Economic perspectives are totally invalid. You must convert all economic arguments to actual units of energy if you want to know what is viable or not.

Since mankind has started agriculture or the industrial revolution and throughout history the real engine of progress has always been the physical units of energy not money. Money is more a psychological invention but energy units is the real measure of what can be achieved or what the actual costs of civilization are.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 10:50:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zero-point', 'E')conomic perspectives are totally invalid. You must convert all economic arguments to actual units of energy if you want to know what is viable or not.
ok I'll bite. Since, however you do it, you are making a decision about how to utylize a scarce resource, how do you measure "energy viability" (if I may coin a term) with out it automatically becoming an economic decision? $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')n economy is the realized system of human activities related to the production, distribution, exchange, and consumption of goods and services of a country or other area.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic
Definition: "economic"
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Cashmere » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 11:03:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zero-point', 'E')conomic perspectives are totally invalid. You must convert all economic arguments to actual units of energy if you want to know what is viable or not.

Since mankind has started agriculture or the industrial revolution and throughout history the real engine of progress has always been the physical units of energy not money. Money is more a psychological invention but energy units is the real measure of what can be achieved or what the actual costs of civilization are.


Completely agree.

GDP is completely dependent on energy.
Massive Human Dieoff <b>must</b> occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where <b>you</b> live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Zero-point » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 11:09:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')Since, however you do it, you are making a decision about how to utylize a scarce resource, how do you measure "energy viability" (if I may coin a term) with out it automatically becoming an economic decision?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')n economy is the realized system of human activities related to the production, distribution, exchange, and consumption of goods and services of a country or other area.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic



Definition: "economic"


The point is that the "economy" as you seem to think of it, is being measured in terms of money which I think is not an accurate way of measuring the "production, distribution, exchange, and consumption of goods and services". Reducing those to money means measuring them in terms of a psychological invention. Money is worth what people want it to be worth not necessarily what it costs a society or civilization in terms of actual units of energy.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 11:35:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zero-point', 'T')he point is that the "economy" as you seem to think of it, --snip--Money is worth what people want it to be worth not necessarily what it costs a society or civilization in terms of actual units of energy.
1. What do you propose to measure in?

2. Will this be exempt from the psychology since a) it will still be used by humans and b) humans will be making judgments about it and we are, for better or for worse, psychological creatures?

In other words, I think you are articulating a difference without a distinction. You have a problem with humans and you are projecting it onto economists without adjusting how things would be different under a new system (still run by psychological creatures called humans).
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Zero-point » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 11:42:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '1'). What do you propose to measure in?
2. Will this be exempt from the psychology since a) it will still be used by humans and b) humans will be making judgments about it and we are, for better or for worse, psychological creatures?
In other words, I think you are articulating a difference without a distinction. You have a problem with humans and you are blaming it on economists because they are handy.
I told you what to measure it in, units of energy like joules, watts, watt-hours, electron-volts, or whatever units you care to use as long as they express an actual physical quantity in terms of physics.

I don't have a problem with humans I have a problem with a few humans controlling the rest of the world of humans by means of economic slavery or similar forms of slavery.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 11:50:15

Do you make a distinction for how available that watt was? In other words 10 watts of coal does me no good while I can use 10 watts of wood, propane, gasoline or diesel. Some energy is more scarce than others due to the form that it comes in (ie easily transported and refined light crude versus natural gas).

If you are a slave to anyone, it is because you think yourself to be one. There are plenty of ways to travel the underground railroad if you have the guts to travel it.

If you do not have the guts than it is not the fault of economists, the man, politicians or anyone else... the problem is in the mirror.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Zero-point » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 11:59:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', 'D')o you make a distinction for how available that watt was? In other words 10 watts of coal does me no good while I can use 10 watts of wood, propane, gasoline or diesel. Some energy is more scarce than others due to the form that it comes in (ie easily transported and refined light crude versus natural gas).

If you are a slave to anyone, it is because you think yourself to be one. There are plenty of ways to travel the underground railroad if you have the guts to travel it.

If you do not have the guts than it is not the fault of economists, the man, politicians or anyone else... the problem is in the mirror.


First of all, look at what was done to some third world countries with the IMF giving them huge loans they could not afford to pay back and turning their countries into slave labor producing goods or food for the rich countries, or raping them of their resources and I won't even continue with that point cause your argument is useless and pointless.

I don't think you understand physics by asking a question like the first one since whether an energy source is scarce or not is part of the energy system. Besides coal is not a source of power it is a source of energy. Power is energy per unit time.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 12:18:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zero-point', 'E')conomic perspectives are totally invalid. You must convert all economic arguments to actual units of energy if you want to know what is viable or not.

Since mankind has started agriculture or the industrial revolution and throughout history the real engine of progress has always been the physical units of energy not money. Money is more a psychological invention but energy units is the real measure of what can be achieved or what the actual costs of civilization are.


An oil refinery wastes energy. As does a coal-fired power plant. Both have an EROEI of less than 1:1.

A joule is not just a joule.

I'd rather have a single joule of electric energy running at 120 volts than all of the uranium in the world. I can't do anything with uranium so for my purposes...it's worthless.

You have to "give" a price to the different kinds of energy resources in order to find out how much effort we should put into exploiting them.

Pretending that society doesn't value different forms of energy differently is nonsense.

Diesel is more valuable on a per joule basis than its gasoline equivalent. That has little to do with manipulation by economic wizards and has everything to do with the difference in demand for the two products.

Even something as uniform electricity has different prices based on the time of day.

You can't just say that a megawatt hour of electricity should be uniformly valued at X joules. If I can take an megawatt/hour at 2AM and sell it at 2PM, society will compensate me because I will be providing a valuable service.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Zero-point » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 13:01:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'A')n oil refinery wastes energy. As does a coal-fired power plant. Both have an EROEI of less than 1:1.

A joule is not just a joule.


No both have an energy return on energy input which means how efficient they are, % efficiency.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I')'d rather have a single joule of electric energy running at 120 volts than all of the uranium in the world. I can't do anything with uranium so for my purposes...it's worthless.

You're referring to individuals as opposed to central energy providers. You could use uranium as an energy source if you knew how and had the equipment. You're missing the point of the original argument.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'Y')ou have to "give" a price to the different kinds of energy resources in order to find out how much effort we should put into exploiting them.

Again that is how efficiently the energy can be exploited.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'P')retending that society doesn't value different forms of energy differently is nonsense.

The value is directly related to how the energy can be used and therefore a function of how efficiently it can be used.

Diesel is more valuable on a per joule basis than its gasoline equivalent. That has little to do with manipulation by economic wizards and has everything to do with the difference in demand for the two products.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'E')ven something as uniform electricity has different prices based on the time of day.

You can't just say that a megawatt hour of electricity should be uniformly valued at X joules. If I can take an megawatt/hour at 2AM and sell it at 2PM, society will comrpensate me because I will be providing a valuable service.
You can say that requirements are not uniform throughout the day.

You are missing the point of the original argument.
Whether an energy technology is viable or not and what a society can do and build and accomplish is ultimately based not on money but on energy.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby mlayden » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 14:25:34

[quote=
You are missing the point of the original argument.
Whether an energy technology is viable or not and what a society can do and build and accomplish is ultimately based not on money but on energy.[/quote]

Not to complicate the argument any more, but is "time" not as important as money or energy. The time to add the lifeboats is before the ship hits the iceberg. All the money and all the most efficient use of energy will do diddly squat if you don't have the time.

Wave, fusion and even Nuclear could be a decade away. Wind and PVs have had up to eighteen month waiting list. In time of crisis this waiting period would increase greatly. I would imagine that everything from boliers, solar panels, insulated piping etc etc would also have long waiting periods if demand for them increased. Hybrids have similar bottle necks.

Many cheap technologies only have 10-15 year design lives so they will be failing just when they are needed. A great deal of infrastructure, Gas, Electrical, Oil, Nuclear, Roads, Bridges is failing or will have failed in the next decade or so. So if time isn't considered then it might prove difficult to operate and maintain technologies
ttp://www.asce.org/reportcard/2005/index.cfm


Also there is a hierarchy of value of energy for society. During Wars and when energy is scarce, frivolous uses of energy. i.e for the domestic sector etc are curtailed and energy is largely used to support Industry, agriculture and services. It is important to be able to bootstrap thesecritical sectors when energy supplies contract. So politics are probably as relevant as money, energy and time.

i.e the political imperative will be to keep as many people happy as possible, i.e maintain the status quo, so it is likely that all the energy, time and all the money will continue to be wasted. After all when has government ever worried about commercial viability.

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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Concerned » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 16:18:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')If you are a slave to anyone, it is because you think yourself to be one. There are plenty of ways to travel the underground railroad if you have the guts to travel it.

If you do not have the guts than it is not the fault of economists, the man, politicians or anyone else... the problem is in the mirror.


Underground railroad or fantasy railroad?

Good lord you could have lived on a plantation and waxed lyrical about how good your massah is.

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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Wed 10 Sep 2008, 18:15:54

The mere point is we are all responsible for how we respond to the situation we find ourselves in.

Complaining about "economic slavery" and wishing that the system was different is rather pointless.

Work to free yourself from that system and you are too busy... and perhaps happy.. to complain "Oh everything would be perfect if we just..."
--------------------
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby mos6507 » Thu 11 Sep 2008, 12:07:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')Complaining about "economic slavery" and wishing that the system was different is rather pointless.


Yet comprises a great deal of the discussion of peakoil.com

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')Work to free yourself from that system and you are too busy... and perhaps happy.. to complain "Oh everything would be perfect if we just..."


That's where the conveniently hopeless fatalism kicks in. No work required to feel sorry for yourself and point the finger at THEM!!!
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Zero-point » Thu 11 Sep 2008, 13:47:38

Reminding all who replied the "original" point of this post unlike some who would try to blame the messenger and ignore the point.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zero-point', 'E')conomic perspectives are totally invalid. You must convert all economic arguments to actual units of energy if you want to know what is viable or not.

Since mankind has started agriculture or the industrial revolution and throughout history the real engine of progress has always been the physical units of energy not money. Money is more a psychological invention but energy units is the real measure of what can be achieved or what the actual costs of civilization are.
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Re: Commercially viable ... is bullshit

Unread postby Concerned » Fri 12 Sep 2008, 09:34:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('wisconsin_cur', '
')Complaining about "economic slavery" and wishing that the system was different is rather pointless.

Work to free yourself from that system and you are too busy... and perhaps happy.. to complain "Oh everything would be perfect if we just..."
--------------------


You have to start a dialog prior to initiation of any change.

Pointless is everyone's life, we live we die.

Work shall set you free? Wasn't that the slogan as you entered the Auschwitz death camp? Very fitting, somewhat paradoxical, quixotic and ironic all at the same time :)
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