Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

"Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" by P&A Ehrlich

A forum to either submit your own review of a book, video or audio interview, or to post reviews by others.

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Plantagenet » Tue 22 Jan 2013, 12:33:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ibon', '
')Happiness and wellbeing is actually quite relative. We can descend quite far down the slope of declining resources and still be able to maintain the basics of food production, sanitation and transportation.

What we all perceive as a crisis, being the baby boomers that we are, may not even be defined as crisis for the generations emerging in this century.

So really this site, and other similar ones, is really more than anything a comforting place for worried baby boomers to come and share their anxieties. For the young generation emerging there is no crisis.


Those are very astute observations. The boomers are worried about their social security and medicare payments getting cut or the dollar losing value or gas prices getting so high they can't afford drive around in the RVs, but for the young generation-----not so much.

And young people are naturally optimistic and self-confident-----not only are they not that worried about the economic crisis, they naturally assume that no matter what the heck happens in the economy, it won't affect THEM. Somehow THEY will become an NBA star or make a great Rap record or invent a new ap or make a splash on American Idol or something similarly unlikely---but until they get dented a few times by reality, young folks have no doubts that each of THEM are SPECIAL and will succeed and rise to the top. :roll:
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Ibon » Tue 22 Jan 2013, 17:08:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', 'T')he boomers are worried about their social security and medicare payments getting cut or the dollar losing value or gas prices getting so high they can't afford drive around in the RVs, but for the young generation-----not so much.

And young people are naturally optimistic and self-confident-----not only are they not that worried about the economic crisis, they naturally assume that no matter what the heck happens in the economy, it won't affect THEM. Somehow THEY will become an NBA star or make a great Rap record or invent a new ap or make a splash on American Idol or something similarly unlikely---but until they get dented a few times by reality, young folks have no doubts that each of THEM are SPECIAL and will succeed and rise to the top. :roll:


In my travels for over 40 years in developing countries I have a fairly good idea how young people perceive their prospects when confronted with limited choice. Where as they may be naturally optimistic and confident as part of their adolescence they do not have any grand illusions of becoming NBA stars or wildly successful. Their wellbeing is less about acquiring stuff and fame and more about their relationships with peers and family and yes also finding the best materialistic path to stay out of poverty. But it is hardly about an individualistic illusion of grandeur which is what you mention above.

It may be that this still remains the dominant meme in American culture but surely we can all see the looming question mark rising slowly to the consciousness of the collective regarding its sustainability. In the circles I move in I see more young people acknowledging this than chasing dreams of grandeur. My point is that we now have emerging generations who will resemble more and more the humbled expectations you see in folks in a lot of developing countries. They will not see this as a crisis.

The American identity of individualism does have some valid roots in our frontier past and the immigrant story of coming to these shores and finding opportunity. But the current understanding of this individualism by many libertarians and conservatives today seems to be intertwined with consumption. How much of this expressed individualism has been enabled by cheap energy? young teens having their own private cars, each room in a McMansion having their own computers and TV's, etc. etc. American Individualism as a cultural identity is dependent on cheap energy and the wealth pump that results from empire (US$ being reserve currency).

And that is changing.

In an odd way, kind of like a libertarian, I dont really have much compassion for those individuals that cling to the dying paradigm of American exceptionalism.

There are no psychological entitlements for those that cling to dying paradigms :)
Patiently awaiting the pathogens. Our resiliency resembles an invasive weed. We are the Kudzu Ape
blog: http://blog.mounttotumas.com/
website: http://www.mounttotumas.com
User avatar
Ibon
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 9572
Joined: Fri 03 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: Volcan, Panama

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Plantagenet » Tue 22 Jan 2013, 21:14:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', ' ')
They want us competitive (with each other) fearful of our own futures, so we can be manipulated into hard work....


You have to manipulated into hard work?

Why is that? What do you have against work?

Hard work ---both physical and mental---- is good for people.

Image
Hi Ho Hi Ho its off to work we go
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Plantagenet » Tue 22 Jan 2013, 22:04:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'A')merican .... take home less money... than any other modern industrial nation.


Hahahahahahahahah! What a bunch of dopey blather [smilie=laughing9.gif]

You are so funny. Not only do you not know the actual facts but you don't even know you don't know. hahahahahahah!

The facts on salaries are quite the opposite of what you imagine. The most recent international compilation I could find shows US salaries were HIGHER than any other modern nation prior to Obama taking office. Things may have been shuffled around a bit in the last few years, but the EU is even worse off the USA so I'm sure the USA is still at or near the top.

2006 Report showed the USA had the highest average salaries in the world

Now please answer my question above...why won't you work? Are you unable to concentrate or disabled in some way or do you just not like to work? :roll:
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Newfie » Wed 23 Jan 2013, 06:22:23

There is work, and there is mindless occupation.

There is very little useful work to go around. Mostly we are fighting over scraps of mindless occupation.

TV , Internet, etc. does roughly the same role as many occupations. It keeps one mininimally occupied, and brainless, in lieu of actually experiencing life.

This idea of meaningful work has really gotten out of hand, it is one of the great myths of our time. I suspect it will dissapear as the global society falls.
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 18651
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 04:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby dohboi » Wed 23 Jan 2013, 07:01:42

User avatar
dohboi
Harmless Drudge
Harmless Drudge
 
Posts: 19990
Joined: Mon 05 Dec 2005, 04:00:00

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Plantagenet » Wed 23 Jan 2013, 12:24:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')
There is very little useful work to go around....


Depends where you are and what kind of work you are willing to do. If you really need work right now, then go to the Williston basin of North Dakota.

Image
Frakking in the Bakken Formation causes economic boom
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).
Top

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Plantagenet » Wed 23 Jan 2013, 12:50:25

Actually that photo is from a BBC news story about slavery...the photo shows how galley slaves were shackled in their spots.

------------------

HAVE A GREAT DAY!
Last edited by Plantagenet on Wed 23 Jan 2013, 14:37:55, edited 1 time in total.
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Plantagenet » Wed 23 Jan 2013, 14:08:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')hat is not an actual slave. No. He is doing a Slave Thing.


I'm sure I'll regret asking this, but what are you are fantasizing about now?

What is a...... " Slave Thing" :roll:
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).
Top

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Newfie » Sun 27 Jan 2013, 19:07:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Plantagenet', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')
There is very little useful work to go around....


Depends where you are and what kind of work you are willing to do. If you really need work right now, then go to the Williston basin of North Dakota.


USEFUL work Plant. Digging the Bakken is not useful, unless your desire is to foul the air and ruin Earth for life.

Nor is being a medical insurance clerk, or 95% of the other occupations we busy our self with. Mostly we do "mindless occupation" which passes as contributing to the good of mankind.

Pretty much, unless you are a farmer, or otherwise involved in some non-threatening primary production, then you are just fooling yourself into thinking you are doing something good for society. You would do more by staying home and knitting socks.

But, of course, that is not the way our culture works. Which is one HUGE reason why its collapse can NOT be avoided. Another is our complete inability to understand that point.
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 18651
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 04:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean
Top

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Plantagenet » Sun 27 Jan 2013, 21:34:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', ' ') Digging the Bakken is not useful, unless your desire is to foul the air and ruin Earth for life.

Nor is being a medical insurance clerk, or 95% of the other occupations we busy our self with. Mostly we do "mindless occupation" which passes as contributing to the good of mankind.

Pretty much, unless you are a farmer, or otherwise involved in some non-threatening primary production, then you are just fooling yourself into thinking you are doing something good for society.


Farmers think farming is the only useful profession because they grow the food.

But if you ask a commodity trader, he thinks trading pork futures is more important because thats how the price of the food gets set. And truck drivers think they provide the key link between farm and store, and grocery store clerks think nobody would buy the food if they didn't stack the vegetables into little piles, and bag boys think that if it wasn't for them, the little old ladies would starve because they couldn't carry their own groceries out to their cars.

Image
Most folks think what they do is very very important, and what other people do isn't as important!
User avatar
Plantagenet
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 26765
Joined: Mon 09 Apr 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Alaska (its much bigger than Texas).
Top

Re: "Can Collapse of Global Civ. Be Avoided?" P&A Ehrlich

Postby Newfie » Mon 28 Jan 2013, 23:37:18

What I do is take your tax money.
User avatar
Newfie
Forum Moderator
Forum Moderator
 
Posts: 18651
Joined: Thu 15 Nov 2007, 04:00:00
Location: Between Canada and Carribean

Re: Ehrlich: 10% chance of avoiding total collapse

Postby Tanada » Wed 07 Oct 2015, 05:11:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kiwichick', 'd')uring ww2 governments round the world introduced rationing and that will be what happens post peak


This is one prediction I think has an excellent chance of coming true. For all the same reasons I believe the Military, Police, Farm sector will get first dibs on Petroleum. If there is not enough to go around the low priority will be service workers in non vital industries.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Tanada
Site Admin
Site Admin
 
Posts: 17094
Joined: Thu 28 Apr 2005, 03:00:00
Location: South West shore Lake Erie, OH, USA
Top

Re: Ehrlich: 10% chance of avoiding total collapse

Postby Subjectivist » Wed 07 Oct 2015, 06:28:45

Total collapse means different things to different people. For the texting phone generation going back to voice communication might seem like a total collapse. For me if would be a return to "normal".
II Chronicles 7:14 if my people, who are called by my name, will humble themselves and pray and seek my face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.
Subjectivist
Volunteer
Volunteer
 
Posts: 4705
Joined: Sat 28 Aug 2010, 07:38:26
Location: Northwest Ohio

Re: Ehrlich: 10% chance of avoiding total collapse

Postby ROCKMAN » Wed 07 Oct 2015, 07:36:20

"Total collapse means different things to different people. " So true: given all the various definitions it essentially means nothing. Thus why are folks debating something that won't happen because one can't define it? Too much idle time on their hands I suppose. LOL.
User avatar
ROCKMAN
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 11397
Joined: Tue 27 May 2008, 03:00:00
Location: TEXAS

PreviousNext

Return to Book/Media Reviews

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron