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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

But why isn't anyone doing anything about it?

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Unread postby ararboin » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:33:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'w')hen TSHTF people will have to get their act together pretty quick, in one fell swoop.


More likely, when TSHTF, peoples' reactions will be manifested in one huge, collective swell poop.
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Unread postby Doly » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:45:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Omnitir', '
')I imagine another reason could be about trying to avoid mass panic. If PO becomes widely known about, and the media blasts it into the faces of the masses, what could be the possible results? A likely result is the SHTF scenario. Making the mass public aware and frightened about PO could start the crisis earlier then would happen by adopting a business as usual façade. At least that could be what the worlds leaders believe.


I think what the world leaders believe is a variant of this scenario: if they told the public, they wouldn't last long in their position. Which is probably correct. But perhaps keeping our current leaders in their position isn't the best thing for us.
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Unread postby Ludi » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 09:52:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TrueKaiser', 'y')ou will not find anyone here doing anything about it other then trying to live out their mad max fantasys


I don't see anything particularly "Mad Max" about planting fruit trees or raising chickens.
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Unread postby PhilBiker » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 10:16:32

What a great thread.

Monte's first paragraph really rings with me. I would use the term "cultural inertia" to describe the phenomenon. People don't see what we're doing as comparable to the orgies and debauchery at the end of the Roman Empire. This is just the way we live. With SUVs and hot tubs in the back of our interest-only financed McMansion. Drive everywhere, it's just the way we operate. A powerdown scenario is simply incomrehensible.

I like this:$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')e who knows not, and knows not that he knows not, is a fool--shun him.
He who knows not, and knows that he knows not, is a child--teach him.
He who knows, and knows not that he knows, is asleep--wake him.
He who knows, and knows that he knows, is a wise man--follow him.
I like Jay Hanson's similar summary at www.dieoff.com with the text of the peak oil chapter form Catton's "Overshoot". The problem with waking me up (I see myself as number 3 with the snooze on for the third time.) is that I also agree with this:$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')othing is being done because nothing can realistically be done to deal with peak oil without a massive population decline. There are no answers to peak oil, except an eventual mass die-off.
:cry:

I think the difference between me and most on this site is that most of us here think we can do something about the situation. At least get off grid and start a farm in order to care for our own. I don't have any hope for the future at all whatsoever.
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Unread postby MarkL » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 10:56:30

..
Last edited by MarkL on Sat 25 Aug 2007, 14:29:01, edited 1 time in total.
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Unread postby ararboin » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 10:59:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') don't have any hope for the future at all whatsoever.


I disagree. I feel fortunate to be living in these times of great change. The Earth might at last be on the verge of ridding itself of most of its fleas. And I might live to at least see the start of it.
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Unread postby linlithgowoil » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 11:18:47

i have a good explanation for why no one is doing anything. there is nothing that can be done. here are the options:-


1. do nothing, have oil shock, followed by depression, partial recoveriesfollowed by further recessions etc.

2. enforce people to use less oil, sterilize people, round them up into concentration camps and behave like a nazi.

What would you chose?

I firmly believe we can do nothing. Its like saying that the cure for cancer is death - yes, it is, but its not a very good cure is it?
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Unread postby Battle_Scarred_Galactico » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 11:29:55

How are these new Nazis going to opperate without energy?

Like that very clever guy Kunstler said, "Everyone's worried about big-brother style regiems, but the government will be lucky to even answer the phone."
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Unread postby Doly » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 11:32:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('linlithgowoil', 'i') have a good explanation for why no one is doing anything. there is nothing that can be done. here are the options:-


1. do nothing, have oil shock, followed by depression, partial recoveriesfollowed by further recessions etc.

2. enforce people to use less oil, sterilize people, round them up into concentration camps and behave like a nazi.

What would you chose?


There are a number of middle terms between 1 and 2 that are probably preferable to both.
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Unread postby linlithgowoil » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 11:54:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ow are these new Nazis going to opperate without energy?

Like that very clever guy Kunstler said, "Everyone's worried about big-brother style regiems, but the government will be lucky to even answer the phone."


I disagree with this. I think if the army came out onto the streets and stopped people using oil/gasoline and if gas supplies to houses etc were cut off, then there'd be tons of energy to run a small, but highly effective and technologically advanced, army and government. iraq has powercuts all the time and shortages of things, but there is still some form of government and army/police.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here are a number of middle terms between 1 and 2 that are probably preferable to both.


I know there are solutions - such as getting everyone to stop using things and buying things, but, realisitcally, that isnt a solution. It'd be like some of those original guys who believed in a flat earth their whole life being confronted by the round earth guys. They'd rather kill you and shut you up than have their beliefs/ whole outlook altered.

So - i foresee either option 1 or 2. Any other options required co-operation, and given that society and community ties no longer really exist to any degree, people wont co-operate with each other. i barely know anyone in my neighbourhood and dont want to.
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Unread postby Ludi » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 12:28:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('linlithgowoil', 'i') have a good explanation for why no one is doing anything. there is nothing that can be done. here are the options:-


1. do nothing, have oil shock, followed by depression, partial recoveriesfollowed by further recessions etc.

2. enforce people to use less oil, sterilize people, round them up into concentration camps and behave like a nazi.

What would you chose?

I firmly believe we can do nothing. Its like saying that the cure for cancer is death - yes, it is, but its not a very good cure is it?


3. Voluntarily transition to another way of life as rapidly as possible. Goodbye civilization as we know it, hello another way to live.
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Unread postby RiverRat » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 13:18:08

Omnitir wrote ...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think that realistically, all that can be done by our society is being done. Sure, a massive power down project is what we really need to do to improve our future chances, but is such a project really feasible in our society? I don’t believe it is possible; there are simply way too many people with too much invested in our current way of life for society to change so radically.


Agree .. People fail to understand the magnitude of wealth in industrialized counties and the relatively easy lifestyle it affords. Life any other way to this segment is incomprehensible. Even the poor living off the welfare state will view a radical change being beyond reality.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat I would like to see is wide scale recognition of the problem, and a strong incentive to power down, but I don’t see how it is possible. There is still too much money to be made in selling “The American way of life” to the whole world, and those raking in the profits don’t want the public to become PO savvy.


Agree also ... I think Wall Street will have difficulty with the concept of subsistant living with everyone raising chickens and planting fruit trees as the norm.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') imagine another reason could be about trying to avoid mass panic. If PO becomes widely known about, and the media blasts it into the faces of the masses, what could be the possible results? A likely result is the SHTF scenario. Making the mass public aware and frightened about PO could start the crisis earlier then would happen by adopting a business as usual façade. At least that could be what the worlds leaders believe.


For a radical change in lifestyle to be accepted it must be implemented over a span of generations and be sold to the population in terms of how it will benefit them. To expect a radical change in a short amount of time will be disastrous (sort of like yanking the pipe out the heroin addicts mouth)
If ...'If's' and 'But's' ... were Candy and Nuts ... we would all be happy and fat !
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Unread postby Phetro » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 13:29:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('linlithgowoil', 'i') have a good explanation for why no one is doing anything. there is nothing that can be done. here are the options:-


1. do nothing, have oil shock, followed by depression, partial recoveriesfollowed by further recessions etc.

2. enforce people to use less oil, sterilize people, round them up into concentration camps and behave like a nazi.

What would you chose?

I firmly believe we can do nothing. Its like saying that the cure for cancer is death - yes, it is, but its not a very good cure is it?


3. Voluntarily transition to another way of life as rapidly as possible. Goodbye civilization as we know it, hello another way to live.


Number 3, proof positive that while some will inevitably see only black and white, others will see more.

Scenario 3 will be hard for many people to accept, because it involves a relinquishing of our (imaginary, to be sure) control of the earth. Notice that neither situation 1 or 2 presents a future which is unfamiliar to today's standards of living. One under-reacts, the other reacts too strenuously. Both react too late to accomplish their goal (to maintain life and civilization as they have been with an abundant supply of fossil fuels). Both have been done by many societies in many circumstances.

Scenario 3 bypasses too little, too much, and too late, and simply does what needs to be done--what will of course be done anyway, by a small percentage of the population. In the end, it will not be the dreams of the lazy, nor the force of the fascists, but the actions of the wise that will save (what will remain of) the human race. The wise are those who can already accept--and contentedly so--that life will drastically change, and are willing to facilitate that change so as to create as smooth a transition as possible.
"The most ignorant among you is the one who does not learn from the changes in the world. The richest among you is the one who is not entrapped by greed." --Mohammed
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Unread postby SupplyConcerns » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 13:53:33

I can't say how happy and less isolated I felt when my girlfriend really "got" peak oil a few weeks ago. Of course, now it's totally stressing her out, which is terrible. But it's better to know about it ahead of time, I say. If I didn't know, I wouldn't be able to make any preparations.
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Unread postby FatherOfTwo » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 15:09:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')
3. Voluntarily transition to another way of life as rapidly as possible. Goodbye civilization as we know it, hello another way to live.


I’m assuming you’re talking about the “get some land, farm it and be self-sufficient” way of life. Well, for those who pursue that, I say “Good luck, it’s a noble pursuit!”

No one response to peak oil is right for everyone, and nobody truly knows what the best response will be. But the “get some land, farm it and be self-sufficient response”, if done purely in reaction to Peak Oil, I think, is a hasty reaction. The collapse of Rome showed, being a successful farmer in a time of duress may not be the best course of action. Didn't most farmers walk away from their land because of the demands placed on them? If things really go to pot, who’s to say that won’t repeat itself?

This is starting to diverge into "planning for the future" forum territory, but I say:
reduce/eliminate your debt, learn how to be self-sufficient, get a job that is as recession proof as possible and even pick up some land if possible. Plan for the short term, be nimble enough to react for the long term.

Just my $0.02.
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Unread postby Ludi » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 17:04:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FatherOfTwo', 'I')’m assuming you’re talking about the “get some land, farm it and be self-sufficient” way of life.


No. I'm advocating people try another way of life which is different from our current way of life. For some people that might mean getting some land and farming, for others, something different. There are many options. Please don't make assumptions.
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Unread postby TrueKaiser » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 21:35:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Phetro', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TrueKaiser', 'y')ou will not find anyone here doing anything about it other then trying to live out their mad max fantasys or trying to convince said group that they are worng.
if you want to actualy contribute to the solution and not the problem may i sujest you delete your acount here and go to these websites to find out more.
http://www.communitysolution.org/index.html
http://www.survivingpeakoil.com/


Would you allow the concession that one can contribute by preparing and sharing potentially valuable insight and information with others on this forum?


not while the majority of the mods here are the people who constantly say nothing can be done but horde guns like they did in waco, and horde food/water like it was going out of style. not while they encourage this behavior and completely ignore advancements in science that changes the equation that represents the problem that is peak oil. but most of all not while they say 'getting out of dodge' is the key to survival.

and before you or anyone else here asks.
1. yes i have seen the 'planing for the future' room. it's mostly filled with 'how to buy the best guns' 'where to go to hide in a hole' or 'what food should i put in my massive horde of food.' hardly whats needed to survive whats coming for more then a few months at the most.(come on do you really think you and your family(at best) can defend that horde of food of yours from those who want it even though they might not need it?)

2. if i give up and leave this forum these people have won another battle to throw out reality and live in their mad max or similar fantasy's, though i doubt it matters anyway, i am probably on all their ignore lists and as said on another thread when someone stumbled on another copy of this site, this is the sand box for the unwanted. the other site is the actual peak oil forums where they can live out their fantasy's un-interupted.
Religion is excellent stuff for keeping the common people quiet.
'Napoleon Bonaparte'
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Unread postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 23:10:29

Exactly which mods are you talking about? and which items have they gone on about

which mods "constantly say nothing can be done but horde guns like they did in waco, and horde food/water like it was going out of style... encourage this behavior and completely ignore advancements in science that changes the equation that represents the problem that is peak oil. but most of all not while they say 'getting out of dodge' is the key"

I've refered to "getting out of dodge" as a key to my survival, but there is more to it than Peak Oil.
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