by Plantagenet » Wed 22 Jun 2022, 23:56:34
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'I') wouldn't include oil in that list. It's suffering from volatility, sure, but the price rises we have seen are more in line with basic monetary inflation.
Not really. Oil prices have a long history of going through boom and bust cycles.....
The most recent "bust" for oil came in March 2020 when oil futures actually went negative....i.e. the markets were saying you had to pay someone $30+/bbl to even get them to take your oil....a market condition known as "contango."
crude-oil-can-get-carried-away-by-contangoI bought a couple of thousand shares of Schlumberger back when the oil markets were in contango....
Today the situation is much different.....oil is well over $100/bbl now.
The price of oil has almost quadrupled since March 2020.
If something basically quadruples in price in two years is that a price bubble? I think it clearly is a bubble.
Thats why I sold all my Schlumberger shares about a month ago (my Schlumber shares also went up a bit more than 400% in two years...)
So when will the current oil price bubble pop? When will the price of oil come back down?
I'll take a guess.......thanks to Biden's idiotic economic policies the USA is about to go into a recession.
Millions of people will lose their jobs and they won't be buying a whole lot of gasoline anymore....that decrease in demand will eventually bring down gasoline prices.
AND SO...I predict the current oil price bubble will POP sometime after the USA goes into recession....and as a bonus the EU and perhaps even China are heading into recession as well, and drops in oil demand will likely occur there as well.
I predict the current oil price bubble will POP sometime after the USA goes into recession later in 2022 or in early 2023.The same thing happens to other assets like stocks, houses and even BITCOIN.......look at Bitcoin.....clearly it was in a bubble and now its bubble has popped. Of course if you're a BITCOIN investor this is when you should be thinking about buying.....or maybe even wait for it to go a bit lower.
Cheers!