Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

40 points on the Future of the US

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: 40 points on the Future of the US

Unread postby DantesPeak » Thu 25 Jun 2009, 21:53:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hardtootell-2', '
')It is hard to invest for all possible outcomes.



I am investing/planning on just two outcomes - 1. the post peak oil era and its consequences and 2. inflationary loss of purchasing in the US dollar (to be followed by most all other currencies).

It's best to practical and not make leveraged or speculative investments due to the uncertainty of future energy supplies and possible greater government interference in all aspects of the economy.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
User avatar
DantesPeak
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 6277
Joined: Sat 23 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: New Jersey

Re: 40 points on the Future of the US

Unread postby hardtootell-2 » Thu 25 Jun 2009, 22:59:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hardtootell-2', '
')It is hard to invest for all possible outcomes.



I am investing/planning on just two outcomes - 1. the post peak oil era and its consequences and 2. inflationary loss of purchasing in the US dollar (to be followed by most all other currencies).

It's best to practical and not make leveraged or speculative investments due to the uncertainty of future energy supplies and possible greater government interference in all aspects of the economy.


Yes- I agree and I am also preparing for those big two but there is a huge range of flavors and versions that can catch us off guard. Things like climate change induced drought and storms, North Korea getting nuked etc. I think a slow crash is easier to prep for. In a hard crash scenario, there will likely be a lot of panic and fear and not enough information to make good decisions.People will either be running headlong panicking or frozen like deer in the headlights. On the other hand one thing we have going for us is that a huge percentage of the population is likely to remain oblivious or in denial until the shock wave actually knocks them over.
User avatar
hardtootell-2
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 443
Joined: Sat 23 May 2009, 18:38:02
Location: 12th dimension

Re: 40 points on the Future of the US

Unread postby Ferretlover » Sat 27 Jun 2009, 13:08:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cipi604', 'T')hat should be around 2014 ... hmmm. And where does the oil go then?!

The military, of course.
"Open the gates of hell!" ~Morgan Freeman's character in the movie, Olympus Has Fallen.
Ferretlover
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 5852
Joined: Wed 13 Jun 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Hundreds of miles further inland

Re: 40 points on the Future of the US

Unread postby DantesPeak » Sun 23 Aug 2009, 23:54:52

Image

It's been more than two months since we were advised to prepare for the coming deflation, and a stronger dollar. So far we have seen neither - just new yearly highs for oil and new yearly lows for the US dollar.

Granted, two months is not long enough to test out what I think are long term predictions. The Fed has actually accelerated its QE (quantitative easing) lately - monetizing debt at a $3 trillion annual rate last week. This is in spite of Bernanke's comments to the contrary.

Meanwhile China's money supply has now grown at a 28% rate for three months, 24% over the last year, and there is no sign it will slow down much - if at all - anytime soon.

As I mentioned earlier - the rapid monetary expansion and devaluation in 1932 to 1934 actually worked to increase inflation, even if only temporarily. It looks like it will work again.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
User avatar
DantesPeak
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 6277
Joined: Sat 23 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: New Jersey

Re: 40 points on the Future of the US

Unread postby Serial_Worrier » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 14:43:45

When I start seeing soup/bread lines then I'll believe in this doomerism. Until then it's cornucopia-heaven!
User avatar
Serial_Worrier
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1549
Joined: Thu 05 Jun 2008, 03:00:00

Re: 40 points on the Future of the US

Unread postby Cloud9 » Thu 27 Aug 2009, 17:49:21

The soup lines are in front of the unemployment office.
User avatar
Cloud9
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2961
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Previous

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron