“The switch from growth to decline in oil production will thus almost certainly create economic and political tension.”
…[B]iomass plantations with subsequent carbon immobilization are likely unable to “repair” insufficient emission reduction policies without compromising food production and biosphere functioning due to its space‐consuming properties. Second, the requirements for a strong mitigation scenario staying below the 2°C target would require a combination of high irrigation water input and development of highly effective carbon process chains. Although we find that this strategy of sequestering carbon is not a viable alternative to aggressive emission reductions, it could still support mitigation efforts if sustainably managed.
This leaves us with a rather clear, but hardly comforting overall conclusion: Holding the 2°C line seems only feasible if two sets of climate action work hand in hand. On the one hand, greenhouse gas emissions need to be reduced as early and as effectively as possible. In fact, an even more aggressive strategy than reflected by the [IPCC] RCP2.6 scenario should be pursued, aiming at the “induced implosion” of most fossil fuel‐driven business cases in the next couple of decades. On the other hand, tCDR [carbon dioxide removal] can significantly contribute as a “supporting actor” of the mitigation protagonist, if it gets started and deployed immediately. This means that the biological extraction of atmospheric CO2 as well as the suppression of CO2 release from biological systems must draw upon all possible measures — whether they are optimal or not, whether they are high‐ or low‐tech. We therefore suggest fully exploring the pertinent options available now, which include reforestation of degraded land and the protection of degraded forests to allow them to recover naturally and increase their carbon storage, e.g., within the Bonn Challenge initiative or the New York Declaration on Forests. Further options range from up‐scaled agroforestry approaches to the application of biochar and various no‐tillage practices for food production on appropriate soils. Also, it becomes overwhelmingly evident that humanity cannot anymore afford to waste up to 50% of its agricultural harvest along various consumption chains or to go on operating ineffective irrigation systems.
Whatever we do is likely to lead to death on a scale that makes all previous wars, famines and disasters small. To continue business as usual will probably kill most of us during the century. Is there any reason to believe that fully implementing Bali, with sustainable development and the full use of renewable energy, would kill less? We have to consider seriously that, as with nineteenth century medicine, the best option is often kind words and pain killers but otherwise do nothing and let Nature take its course.
***
Had we heeded Malthus’s warning and kept the human population to less than one billion, we would not now be facing a torrid future. Whether or not we go for Bali or use geoengineering, the planet is likely, massively and cruelly, to cull us, in the same merciless way that we have eliminated so many species by changing their environment into one where survival is difficult.
Davy on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 12:41 pm
If anyone else feels the need to submit their complete autobiography, I have set the following rules:
1: All submissions must be a minimum of 800 words, and a maximum of 810 words.
2: The words “I”, “my” and “mine”, must be included a minimum of 100 times. ( or about once every 8 words )
3: Those with “wrapped up egos” or who display “obsessions with themselves” will be rejected by moi.
4: All submissions must be submitted by 10 pm CDT, because that’s when I go to bed.
Schop alsjeblieft de anti-Amerikaanse hond die ik van graniet heb on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 1:51 pm
oh ok darrell you seem to think because you’re tarded, then every one else is tarded. as a matter of fact, those middle america go to work in the cities and they are themselves fleeced by local warlords headed by a white/non jewish woman. that’s why you see houses and “farms” in state of disrepair when you take a drive in the country.
you also seem to think the apalachian people will defend themselves after the onslaught of city dwellers.
without the city how will supertard elon “launch foar US military in teh defense of America” eh? there’s a reason i love supertards
make america great again doesn’t mean make america tard again ok buddy. without supertards trump can do nothing. NOTHING!
look to phils as prediction of what to come. duterte’s is running an empty ship w/o supertards
by your logic i should load up on rural land and wait for young fertile women to come to me after the collapse. whoa isn’t simple calculus great? it requires no brain, only a lot of money, something juanp is good at.
and why did i ace level 1 calculus but failed multivariable calc? why was it needed when level 1/the tard level is sufficient?
Darrell Cloud on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 6:24 pm
Shop I wonder if you have ever lived in a grid down situation. If you have not, then you have missed a great opportunity to discover first hand the complexity of our system and how dependent it is on such a simple thing as electricity.
If you do the research, you will discover that sub stations can be taken down with rifle fire. If you continue that line of research you will discover that the taking down of as few as nine substations would collapse the grid for months.
Experts told Congress that if the grid went down for months, we would lose 90% of our population within the first year.
https://www.powermag.com/expect-death-if-pulse-event-hits-power-grid/
A single guy with a bolt action rifle could turn the lights out in New York in one day. A coordinated attack could turn the lights out in the north east for months. That is not hyperbole. That is the truth. Do your own research.
Darrell Cloud on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 6:32 pm
Systemic collapse quite simply scares the hell out of me. I do not mind dying, but I have little ones I have to get through the bottleneck. Normalcy bias catches all of us at one time or another.
Davy on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 6:33 pm
darrell, you are dealing with another sock puppet.
Davy on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 6:37 pm
locate properly so the collapse process might not be so abrupt. If you can’t relocate then prepare with exposure to danger in mind. Have an escape plan and a minimum of supplies.
Davy on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 6:51 pm
Oh yah, and don’t forget the key word here is ‘bifurcate’.
I’m not sure what it means, but it sounds kind of important.
Schop alsjeblieft de anti-Amerikaanse hond die ik van graniet heb on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 6:54 pm
oh ok darrell buddy you seem to think we don’t have supertards who will keep grid up. oh ooh ok. then you have fake supertard supporting yoru fear mongering, SAD!
you say a single guy at grassy nole gonna take out substations oh i’m scare. well holy supertrads will implement rolling brownouts …problems solved.
you seem it’s either/or nothing in between.
JuanP on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 6:56 pm
I bifurcate usually in the morning. I think that is what that means.
I AM THE MOB on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 7:00 pm
Davy
You are fucking morn..Have an escape plan etc..Good luck when you are outnumbered by a million to one..You are so ignorant..
Somethings in life you can’t prepare for..
I AM THE MOB on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 7:01 pm
Darrell
Listen to me..You are going to regret you ever had children..When the mobs and Anarchy breaks out!
Davy on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 7:04 pm
poor MOB, he has no idea what he will do and his money is running out from planning on a collapse happening too early. He will be homeless soon. stupid
Davy on Tue, 30th Oct 2018 8:44 pm
I’m not going to make any board rules about this, so this time I’ll allow everyone to do what they want.
Y’all know how much of a spiritual guru I am, because I tell you about it all the time. Everyone that knows as much as I do about spiritual stuff, will tell you that the best way to get inner peace and spiritualism, is to do battle with everyone that doesn’t think the same way you do. Internet forums are really good for making people more spiritual.
My lesson for today.
makati1 on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 12:15 am
Permaculture is still the best way to “garden” if you have the space. That is what we are doing on the farm. No plot of this and another of that. Just planting where there is apace for what we want to grow. No rows of bananas or pineapples or even tomatoes. That is how all of the natives here “garden”.
Scattered means no pest can easily decimate all of our our corps. We plant constantly so there are fruits and veggies maturing throughout the year. But then, we do enjoy a year round growing season here in the Philippines and we are planting for future survival, not for market. Five hectares is a lot of room to permaculture, and we have to plan for extended family if/when the SHTF.
BTW: I see the children are still playing games with names. (rhyme intended)
Davy on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 4:18 am
BTW: I see the children are still playing games with names. (rhyme intended)
JuanP
Darrell Cloud on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 5:42 am
Davy I am located in a small town in central Florida. Lots of local agriculture. Local industry makes gun powder by the tons and reloads ammunition by the millions. Lots of very well armed locals. CNC machines that can make pretty much any parts for our planes. locals have half a dozen fully operational fighter bombers, Corsairs and Skyraiders. We are good.
Davy on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 6:25 am
Darrel, Florida has some pluses and minuses like anywhere. Luckily you are not in South Florida. The AG is a big plus for you. The ammo thing might help some. I have arms too but I don’t put them high on the list of saving me. There are part of something preppers should consider. Good luck and I look forward to you contributing any prepper ideas if you have them. We used to talk about these things regularly until this board descended into social media noise.
Darrell Cloud on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 7:05 am
I’m sure you know this already, but the first thing to do is secure your water supply. A well and a pitcher pump will secure your most critical need after the grid goes down.
Davy on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 7:17 am
Water is definitely essential above all else and the reason everyone should have some bottled water at home. In addition I have water purification tools. There is plenty of water here on the farm. I have a year round spring that has been tested as good drinking water. I have considered a hand pump for my well but they are a little pricey at $1100. These pumps are install next to the regular piping in the well. I currently use my solar system along with an oversized pressure tank to supply water at home if the grid goes down. The well takes everything my solar system can do but it works. Since I have an oversized pressure tank I can pump that up to supply water for a considerable amount of time before I need to use the well again. My animals have a lake and a pond to use incase their well goes down.
Davy on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 8:28 am
I’ve been stocking up on True Lemon drink mix from our local Walmart in Cuba MO. So far I have over a hundred cases. When the gangs show up from St. Louis I plan on selling lemonade for ten cents a glass. I figure I’ll make a killing.
I AM THE MOB on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 8:35 am
Darrell
Prepping is futile
Myth: Well-prepared individuals, groups, and communities will survive our impending collapse and maintain healthy, fulfilling, and productive lives in its aftermath.
Reality: Those who survive our collapse will be those who can obtain sufficient life sustaining essentials—especially clean water and food—on a continuous basis, both during and after collapse. Those who store large quantities of these essentials and those who attempt to produce food, either individually or in communities, will be easy targets for the vast majority who have neither the foresight to store nor the skills to produce. No matter how remote or secluded your sanctuary, somebody will know about it; and they will come to call when they become desperate; and they will be well armed and devoid of compassion. You can prepare for a last stand, but you cannot prepare for post-collapse survival. Post-collapse Life Will Be Preferable to Our Industrial Lifestyle Paradigm
Myth: Industrialization has brought nothing but misery and degradation to the human race; our quality of life (and spiritual wellbeing) will improve substantially in a post-collapse world.
Reality: The post-collapse lifestyle awaiting the few who survive will, under the best of circumstances, share many attributes with pre-Columbian America. Unfortunately, the realities associated with subsistence level existence bear little semblance to the Hollywood accounts.Those who anxiously await our post-collapse world will be disappointed, assuming they live to experience it. The fact that nobody is opting to jettison the amenities afforded by an industrialized way of life in favor of a hunter-gatherer lifestyle today should be sufficient proof that our future way of life is not something to be anticipated. Industrialism is not inherently “evil” or immoral; it is simply physically impossible going forward.
Darrell Cloud on Wed, 31st Oct 2018 12:47 pm
Sulfur, night soil extract, and charcoal will keep this from going back to the stone age. Wood gas generators will keep small shops running. Steam engines are still around with people who know how to keep them running. The late 19th century is the fall back position.
The man that knows how to manufacture primers on a reasonable scale will be the richest man in your area.