How is the world going to end? Polls consistently show that most believe the cause will be environmental. “Climate anxiety” has reached such a fevered pitch among young people across the globe that the Lancet recently issued a special “call to action” to help with the problem. Clinicians have even created “climate anxiety scales” to measure the runaway angst spreading through our children, and the rest of us.
But what if the best, emerging science is actually telling us quite firmly that such fears are not only deeply misplaced, but that the most realistic cause of our collective human demise is likely the precise opposite of what most assume? This is the conclusion of a very interesting body of highly sophisticated and inter-disciplinary research. The greatest threat to humanity’s future is certainly not too many people consuming too many limited natural resources, but rather too few people giving birth to the new humans who will continue the creative work of making the world a better, more hospitable place through technological innovation. Data released this summer indicates the beginning of the end of humanity can be glimpsed from where we now stand. That end is a dramatic population bust that will nosedive toward an empty planet. New research places the beginning of that turn at about 30 years from today.
This means that Thomas Robert Malthus, and his many influential disciples, had it precisely wrong. More people are not only not the problem, but a growing population is the very answer to a more humane future in which more people are living better, healthier, longer lives than they ever have in our race’s tumultuously dynamic history.
We are not killing the planet
Pop voices like those of Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Swedish teenage activist Greta Thunberg and countless Hollywood celebrities have warned that unless drastic action is taken at once, we face irrevocable global catastrophe. The Climate Clock in Manhattan’s Union Square pegs the start of the Earth’s deadline at a little more than seven years from today. But this is not science. The most sophisticated examination considering the Earth’s eco-deadline was just published in August in the journal Nature Ecology & Evolution. Drawing upon 36 meta-analyses, involving more than 4,600 individual studies spanning the last 45 years, nine ecologists, working from universities in Germany, France, Ireland, and Finland, explain that the empirical data simply does not permit the determination of any kind of environmental dooms date, or “thresholds” as scientists call them.
These scholars state frankly: “We lack systematic quantitative evidence as to whether empirical data allow definition of such thresholds” and “our results thus question the pervasive presence of threshold concepts” found in environmental politics and policy today. They explain that natural bio-systems are so dynamic—ever evolving and adapting over the long-term—that determining longevity timeframes is impossible. Talk of a ticking eco-clock is simply dogma. Two major books published in 2020 serve as carefully researched and copiously documented critiques of environmental scaremongering. Both are written by pedigreed progressive environmentalists concerned about the irrationally wild rhetoric of late.
The first is Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism Hurts Us All by Michael Shellenberger, who TIME magazine has lauded as a “hero of the environment.” Shellenberger explains that not only is the world not going to end due to climate catastrophe, but in very important ways, the environment is getting markedly better and healthier. He adds that technology, commerce, and industry are doing more to fix the Earth’s problems than Greenpeace and other activists. As an environmentalist, he is strongly pro-people and pro-technology, explaining counter-intuitively that the scientific “evidence is overwhelming that our high-energy civilization is better for people and nature than the low-energy civilization that climate alarmists would return us to.” He is right.
The other major environmentalist challenging eco-doom is Bjørn Lomborg of the Copenhagen Consensus Center, a think tank that seeks global solutions to humanity’s most pressing problems. The Guardian feted Lomborg as “one of the 50 people who could save the planet.” In his book False Alarm, he explains how “climate change panic” is not only unfounded, but wasting trillions of dollars globally, hurting the poor and failing to fix the very problems it warns us about. Lomborg explains ironically that “the rhetoric on climate change has become more extreme and less moored to the actual science” at the very time that “climate scientists have painstakingly increased knowledge about climate change, and we have more—and more reliable—data than ever before.”
Lomborg holds that while “global warming is real… it is not the end of the world.” “It is a manageable problem” he adds. He is increasingly dismayed that we live in a world “where almost half the population believes climate change will extinguish humanity” at the precise moment when “the science shows us that fears of a climate apocalypse are unfounded.” Demonstrating this is not difficult. Simply consider what we all need to live: air, water, abundant food, and protection from nature. Each of these are improving in dramatic ways precisely because of technology and growth. The scholars at Our World in Data and the Oxford Martin School at the University of Oxford demonstrate this.
The world’s air is getting cleaner overall, and markedly so.
At the very time that population and industry have both grown dramatically across the globe, not only is the problem not getting worse, but human death rates from air pollution have declined by nearly half since just 1990. And it is not people driving less or living by fewer factories that’s saving lives. Counterintuitively, air pollution deaths are more than 100 times higher in non-industrial societies where cooking over wood or coal burning fires is a regular part of daily life. And as the world develops, such cooking declines. This means growth and technology are literally helping people breathe easier. And ozone pollution, or smog, has been declining rapidly throughout the world even in high-income, heavy manufacturing Asian Pacific regions.
Water is humanity’s second most immediate life need. The number of people around the world with improved access to clean drinking water increased 68 percent from 1990 to 2015, even as the population itself has expanded. That is astounding. Roughly 290,000 people have gained access to improved drinking water every single day across the globe over the last 25 years and that number is only increasing of late.
Food is our third greatest survival need. Contrary to grim Malthusian predictions, the United Nations explains that humanity now produces more than enough food to feed everyone on the planet. In fact, the Journal of Sustainable Agriculture revealed back in 2012 that “we already grow enough food for 10 billion people.” This is a 25 percent bounty over our current global population, a surplus which we will never need. And, as we will see in the next section, our world population is soon to top out at just 9.73 billion people and then start declining precipitously into the coming century. While we must do a better job politically at distributing that bounty, our food supply is not only more plentiful, but of better nutritional quality thanks to technology. It’s why malnutrition is declining dramatically across the world.
And the number of people around the world living in dramatic poverty is dropping, even as we grow in number—a direct refutation of ubiquitous Malthusian projections.
The Earth is actually doing better at providing what is needed to sustain human life as a consequence of human ingenuity of industry and technology. And what about the Earth itself? Let’s look at two important measures.
First, is it becoming more hospitable to human thriving, or less? A major 2019 study in the journal Global Environmental Change drawing from “one of the most complete natural disaster loss databases” reveals “a clear decreasing in both human and economic vulnerability” to “the seven most common climate-related hazards” by up to 80 to 90 percent over the last four decades. These hazards include all forms of flooding, drought, and deaths related to extreme wind, cold or heat. The trend lines are dramatic.
The scholars at Our World in Data add that this also holds for other natural disasters such as earthquakes, volcano activity, wildfire, and landslides. “This decline is even more impressive,” they explain, “when we consider the rate of population growth over this period” revealing a greater than 10-fold decline in nature-related human deaths worldwide over the last century.
This means the Earth is becoming a much safer place for humans to live precisely because we are adapting to it better. That is precisely the opposite of catastrophe by most people’s honest math.
Second, is the Earth itself being more widely exploited or getting a break? The 2018 United Nations List of Protected Areas report (Table 1, p. 41) demonstrates that the total number of protected sites in the world has increased 2,489 percent since 1962 and the total protected terrestrial and aquatic area grew by 1,834 percent. The proportion of land used for all agriculture (crops and grazing) per person across the globe has plummeted dramatically over the last 100 years as technology allows us to grow more food than we can consume on less land per capita than ever before.
And this is true across all continents.
As stewards of the planet, we still have much work to do in improving the environment. But note the key word: improve. The empirical data persuasively indicate the most significant trend lines are moving in the right directions in profound ways for billions of people around the globe, and the reason is technology and human progress. These truths are the exact opposite of an eco-Armageddon.
What does the likeliest end of humanity look like?
So does this mean there are no concerns about humanity’s future? New research published this summer has many of the world’s leading scientists extremely concerned, much more so than when 2020 began. A major demographic study published in the Lancet in July provides a glimpse of humanity’s end if things continue as they are. This work was conducted by 24 leading demographers and funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. What concerns these scholars is certainly not too many people, as nearly everyone assumes, but a relatively near future of far too few.
Demographers have long been concerned about this. The “news” part here is how much more dire the Gates research is. Using a more sophisticated analysis than the United Nations and other leading global think tanks have employed to date reveals the world’s population shortfall will be markedly more dramatic, and sooner, than anyone anticipated. The BBC described it as a “jaw dropping global crash.” And none of these demographers see this as a good thing. Quite the opposite. No fewer than 23 leading nations—including Japan, Spain, South Korea, and Italy—will see their population cut in half by 2100. China’s will drop by a stunning 48 percent, knocking it out of contention as the world’s economic super-power. This precipitous decline will not be caused by disease, famine, or any kind of natural disaster. The missing population will simply never have been born. Their would-be parents are simply forgetting to have them.
Imagine any of these countries getting a military intelligence report that a foreign enemy was set to reduce their population by more than half over the next 60 years. But in this case, the dramatic act of war is self-inflicted by each country’s growing cohort of non-parents. Another 34 countries will see dramatic population declines by 25 to 50 percent by 2100. Beyond this, the projected fertility rates in 183 of 195 countries will not be high enough to maintain current populations by the century’s end. That is called negative population growth and once it starts, it probably won’t stop. These scholars predict that sub-Saharan and North Africa, as well as the Middle East, will be the only super regions fertile enough to maintain their populations without dramatic immigration policies.
To say the geopolitical and economic consequences of this fact will be profound is an understatement. The Gates research further darkens the already bleak picture painted last year by two Canadian researchers, Darrell Bricker and John Ibbitson, in their insightful and carefully documented book, Empty Planet: The Shock of Global Population Decline. They warn:
The great defining event of the twenty-first century—one of the great defining events in human history—will occur in three decades, give or take, when the global population starts to decline. Once that decline begins, it will never end. We do not face the challenge of a population bomb, but of a population bust—a relentless, generation-after-generation culling of the human herd. [emphasis added]
The Gates scholars agree with the Empty Planet scenario, marking 2064 as humanity’s demographic high-water mark at just 9.73 billion human souls, short of the long predicted 10 billion. Academic demographers are not given to hyperbole. The unsustainability at work here is extreme. The Gates team explains:
- The number of global citizens under five years of age will fall from 681 million in 2017 to 401 million in 2100, a 41 percent drop.
- The number of over 80-year-olds will soar from 141 million in 2017 to 866 million in 2100, a whopping 514 percent increase.
Imagine these are your company’s future customer projections. You don’t get to the future with numbers like this. Putting this in very stark, recent historical perspective, there were 25 worldwide births for every person turning 80 in 1950, a healthy demographic dividend. In 2017, that ratio shrank to 7:1. Not so healthy. These 24 Gates demographers explain, “in 2100 we forecasted one birth for every person turning 80 years old.” (See it for yourself at p.1297.)
This is what the end of humanity looks like. Professor Christopher Murray, director of the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine and head of the Gates study, told the BBC, “I find people laugh it off… they can’t imagine it could be true, they think women will just decide to have more kids. If you can’t [find a solution] then eventually the species disappears.” And the solutions that developed countries have tried of late are not working.
The twilight of economic and technological growth
Few scholars have appreciated the full consequences of this implosion like Professor Charles Jones of Stanford University’s King Center on Global Development. In October, he published a persuasive paper entitled ‘The End of Economic Growth? Unintended Consequences of a Declining Population,’ in which he asked what happens to global economic and technological growth, not just when population growth slows or goes to zero, but actually turns negative? Elaborating upon Bricker and Ibbitson’s work, he contends that we must consider what he calls “an Empty Planet result” where “knowledge and living standards stagnate for a population that gradually vanishes.”
Like Shellenberger, Jones is “pro-people” for empirical reasons. He explained to me that contrary to nearly all demographic predictions, “we simultaneously have many more people and much higher living standards” precisely because “people are a crucial input into the production of the new ideas responsible for economic growth.” Jones calls our attention to the groundbreaking work of his mentor, economist Paul Romer, on Endogenous Growth Theory, which explains why more people are not only a good thing but essential to improvements in human thriving and a better world documented above.
Their concern is far more nuanced than fewer babies not becoming the needed taxpayers to support tomorrow’s mushrooming non-working elderly. Endogenous Growth Theory is more subtle and elegant as it actually explains our current developing world. In a 2019 paper in the Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Jones calls Endogenous Growth Theory “truly beautiful,” a superlative seldom employed by nerdy economist types. It earned Romer the 2018 Nobel Prize in Economics.
Thomas Malthus saw new people as zero-sum consumers of our precious limited resources. Thus, fewer are better. Romer’s Endogenous Growth Theory demonstrates precisely why Malthus was so spectacularly wrong. He failed to appreciate that humanity’s power as innovators is positively and exponentially greater than our collective drag as consumers. Romer recognized why, rather than devastating scarcity, which breeds fear and drives the need to control, a rapidly growing human population has actually produced unimagined abundance. Human ingenuity and innovation are far richer blessings to the world than our appetites are a curse. The latter drives the former.
And this is not just happy talk. The data bears it out. More people are the answer to a better world for everyone. This is why our global political moment is so critical. Policies that favor difference and competing ideas are where growth happens. That is precisely what good science and democracy require. Death happens when competing ideas are shut down in favor of strictly enforced homogeneity. Endogeny requires the dynamic competition of heterodox ideas so that they can be aired, challenged, and refined by others. Current “progressive thought” is really a new fundamentalism that is contrary to growth. It is fear-based and leads to death. This is precisely what we are seeing today.
The magic of what Romer and Jones describe is found in the codification of human knowledge and the non-rivalry of ideas. Natural resources are what economists call “rival.” You and I cannot eat the same potato or drink the same glass of water simultaneously. We must either compete for it or produce twice as much. But the idea of how to find and store more potatoes or water is non-rival. It can be written down and shared all around the world by people at the same time without diminishing its full power. So, as Jones explains, “because knowledge is non-rival, growth in the aggregate stock of knowledge at the rate of population growth will cause income per person to grow.” [p. 878, emphasis in original]
Oral rehydration theory is one of Romer’s favorite examples of the power of codified ideas. Dehydration from diarrhea has long been the primary driver of child mortality—deadlier than AIDS, malaria, and measles combined. As Jones explains, some medical workers discovered that “dissolving a few inexpensive minerals, salts, and a little sugar in water in just the right proportions produces a solution” that prevents death from dehydration. That relatively simple recipe could be written down, shared, and used by billions at the same time. It has since saved untold lives. Objects are rival. Ideas are non-rival and thus, exponentially powerful. And humans are the globe’s only inhabitants that produce ideas. And when growing groups of people cooperate around and share these ideas, stunning things happen. This is Endogenous Growth Theory and it explains the wonder of the modern world in which we have more wealth and food at a time when we have the most people. Malthus and his disciples said the opposite would happen.
Romer entitled his 2018 Nobel acceptance talk in Stockholm “On the Possibility of Progress,” as an obvious challenge to Malthus, and at an efficient 30 minutes, his lecture is worth watching. He spoke of how his work—and that of Yale’s William Nordhaus, his co-recipient—demonstrates “the benefit of other people.” Our scientific, industrial, and tech revolutions, and their dramatic improvements to human flourishing, were, he explains, “driven by a process of more discoveries, leading to the production of more food, which led to more people, who in turn developed more and more discoveries” which have improved the lives of billions. As Romer explains, “This is not just exponential growth. This is exponential growth in the rate of exponential growth…”
He went on to explain that this “combinatorial explosion” of more people cooperating around ever-growing, world-changing, life-improving ideas makes it “immediately obvious that the discovery of new ideas from an almost infinite set of possibilities could offset the scarce resources implied by the Malthusian analysis.” And it obviously has. If the eco-doomsayers could choose to live at any time in human history, they would undoubtably choose today if their dream is physical safety and a long, prosperous, and contemplative life with an abundance of essential resources and a substantially improving eco-system.
As Romer explained to his Nobel audience on that lovely winter evening in Stockholm, Endogenous Growth Theory is the beautiful explanation of why, “on balance, it is better to have more people” rather than fewer. Limiting our population is not a progressive idea. The most sophisticated, cross-disciplinary science emerging from academia appears to tell us that the ancient Mosaic wisdom of the Judeo/Christian tradition, to “be fruitful and multiply and fill the earth” is exactly the correct progressive prescription for the continuation of human well-being. And failing to do this is what the end of the world actually looks like.
Theedrich on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 2:52 am
“Sub-Saharan and North Africa, as well as the Middle East” will explode while Whitey dies off. Just what Biden, Pelosi, and Merkel in Deutschland want.
Dr. C. Everett Koop, III on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:05 am
Theedrich is off of his meds yet again.
Fact Checker on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:17 am
“We are not killing the planet” according to -Republican mantra – except for the escalating mass extinction emergency that’s responsible for the loss of thousands of species every year.
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:26 am
Lunatic has a menagerie of new socks. What a sick fuck
Fact Checker said “We are not killing the planet” accord…
Dr. C. Everett Koop, III said Theedrich is off of his meds yet again.
homes247 said hello https://www.homes247.in/blogs/dining-room-id…
zero juan said Ppeee has 5 comments on top on the moderated side…
Boney Joe said REAL Green: Some things NEVER change. One final wa…
zero juan said Ppeee, roger is stupid. Your socks are stupid lik…
Roger said The moves mean that three of the most important bu…
Roger said “The most controversial Supreme Court case since B…
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:32 am
Oh and Ppeee, I wiped you off the top of the board on the other side. Bye
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:32 am
“Sub-Saharan and North Africa, as well as the Middle East” will explode while Whitey dies off. Just what Biden, Pelosi, and Merkel in Deutschland want.
Too pessimistic Theedrich, everything is about to change.
#TheGreatReset
(But not the Klaus Schwab one)
The Netherlands:
77% Dutch
10% white non-Dutch
13% non-European
Still whiter than America ever was throughout its entire existence.
And the Netherlands is one of the worst in Europe, many countries are still 100% white. The situation is indeed grave, but not hopeless. The immanent downfall of empire will initiate major change and restoration of the European world, no longer as a handful of competing nations, but now united, the next superpower.
#ParisBerlinMoscow
https://parisberlinmoscow.wordpress.com/2020/08/25/what-comes-after-the-three-anglo-empires/
“What Comes After the Three Anglo Empires?”
Well, this:
https://parisberlinmoscow.wordpress.com/2020/08/04/grece-nouvelle-droite/
“GRECE – Nouvelle Droite”
https://parisberlinmoscow.wordpress.com/2020/10/26/china-on-the-verge-of-world-domination/
“Head German CIA – “China on the Verge of World Domination””
Macron’s EU army already exists, it’s called NATO. You only need to replace US with Russian commanders and you have the largest army in the world, by far:
https://parisberlinmoscow.wordpress.com/2020/10/27/eu-army-hq-brussels/
Later, US white nationalists from the US Heartland will return, now as members of global Eurosphere.
https://parisberlinmoscow.wordpress.com/2020/10/19/brexit-support-collapsing-in-the-uk/
“Brexit Support Collapsing in the UK”
There isn’t going to be an Anglo-Zionist revival.
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:45 am
Germany expects that the North Stream 2 pipeline will be completed this month, as far as German territorial waters are concerned.
Three Russian pipe-layer ships are in the area: Fortuna, Katun and Akadek Chersky. The last missing leg is near the Danish island of Bornholm.
https://www.top-energy-news.de/pipeline-ticker-2020/
Pompeo has said that the US continues to resist the pipeline (so he can sell his expensive fracking gas), but he can go f* himself. Colony no more. Russia is European and so will be large parts of North-America soon.
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 7:23 am
All EU-member states back the EU-Green Deal by Ursula von der Leyen. The new target for 2030 has been enhanced from -40% to AT LEAST -55% CO2-reduction as compared with 1990:
https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/mensch/green-deal-was-das-neue-eu-klimaziel-fuer-die-laender-bedeutet-a-b14b3b44-9b97-4c25-8640-adc5110f788e
Current status: -25% as compared to 1990.
Nobody of the other “cancer monkeys” (©apneaman) has achieved that (or even tried).
Yeah you, Donnie!
zero 0 on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 7:43 am
“Oh and Ppeee, I wiped you off the top of the board on the other side. Bye”
How old am I?
Hint: equal to my shoe size
bochen787 on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 8:53 am
Even the niggers are sick of the yids now
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:00 am
Ppeee is whining. What a puss! LMFAO
bochen787 said Even the niggers are sick of the yids now
zero 0 said “Oh and Ppeee, I wiped you off the top of th…
Cloggie on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:14 am
Level 4 autonomous bus driving in Finland becoming reality:
https://deepresource.wordpress.com/2020/12/11/sensible-4-last-mile-autonomous-driving-in-finland/
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:20 am
Fuck your ‘projected’ targets clog. No country, in 30 fucking years, has met one.
Only thing to reduce emissions is recession & pandemic which don’t mean shit.
The definition of baked in/inertia is lost on the scientifically challenged.
Oh & I 1st read this stupid fucking article-argument 25 years ago. Since then they’ve added a few billion humans & mega emissions – gross & increased rate.
When the education bar is laying in the dirt no number of remedial brains can help.
If this argument had merit China alone would have solved CC & most other human problems by now since they graduate many millions of STEM graduates per year for decades now. More every year.
That has not happened. The exact opposite of this retard argument has happened.
For decades China has got smarter (more scientists) which has made them richer which has lead to greater emissions & environmental destruction every year for 30 plus years & China is now the worlds biggest greenhouse gas emitter.
The exact opposite of this dumb ‘more brain power’ argument.
China, world’s biggest emitter, pledges carbon neutrality 2060
September 23, 2020
“Calling for a “green revolution,” Mr. Xi said the coronavirus pandemic had shown the need to preserve the environment.
“Humankind can no longer afford to ignore the repeated warnings of nature,” he said.
Citing the Paris Agreement that he and former United States President Barack Obama helped forge in 2015, Xi said his country would raise its emissions reduction targets with “vigorous policies and measures.”
https://www.csmonitor.com/World/Asia-Pacific/2020/0923/China-world-s-biggest-emitter-pledges-carbon-neutrality-2060
You can trust us round-eye. This time we mean it….again.
“We’ve seen this act (COP) repeat over and over, ever since COP1 in Berlin in 1995, as each successive COP-ending-ceremony finds the Parties congratulating each other, slaps on the back, for one more successful climate conference of 20,000-30,000 able-bodied professionals wiped-out from overconsumption of Beluga caviar and Domaine de la Romanee-Conti, but subsequently carbon emissions increase the following year, and every following year thereafter. What’s to congratulate?
More to the point, the annualized CO2 emissions rate is +60% since COP1, not decreasing, not going down, not once. After 25 years of the same identical pattern, it doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the take-home-work from all 25 COPs mysteriously turns into the antithesis of the mission statement of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.”
https://www.counterpunch.org/2020/11/20/expert-ipcc-reviewer-speaks-out/
We promise – this time is different. We really really really really really really really really mean it………..again.
the annualized CO2 emissions rate is +60% since COP1 (1995)
the annualized CO2 emissions rate is +60% since COP1 (1995)
the annualized CO2 emissions rate is +60% since COP1 (1995)
the annualized CO2 emissions rate is +60% since COP1 (1995)
the annualized CO2 emissions rate is +60% since COP1 (1995)
Oh I also promise not to cum inside you again again again. Now bend the fuck over.
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:26 am
Sink or swim? An historic year of floods in Asia
“2020 has been a record year for flooding in the Asia-Pacific region, with cities in East, Southeast, and South Asia seeing economic losses, loss of life, and widespread displacement due to heavy rains.
The figures are staggering — in China alone, 2.7 million were evacuated and 63 million were affected, while Nepal has experienced 4,500 landslides, and, at one point, one-third of Bangladesh was underwater. Another 17 million were affected by flooding in South Asia. Floods also impacted parts of Indonesia, and in the past month, Vietnam and the Philippines have also been hit.”
“Low-lying developing countries and cities in Asia are facing a 1-2-3 punch,” said Sally Yozell, director of the Environmental Security Program at The Stimson Center, a Washington D.C., based research center. “Massive storms, flooding, sea level rise, all on top of the social and economic issues that many coastal communities have — it’s extreme.”
https://www.devex.com/news/sink-or-swim-an-historic-year-of-floods-in-asia-98752
Yabut STEM grads-N-stuff
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:30 am
Extreme weather events impact 75% of India’s districts: Report
“A new report has found more than 75% of India’s districts are hot spots of extreme climate events. With an unusual spike in extreme events since 2005, these districts are bearing the effects of changing microclimate with loss of property, livelihoods and lives.
Coming on the heels of United Nations Environment Programme’s Emissions Gap Report 2020 that warned on Wednesday that the world was heading for a temperature rise of over 3 degree C this century, the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW) report has highlighted that even with a 0.6 degree C rise in temperature over the past century, India is facing devastating consequences.”
https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/extreme-weather-events-impact-75-of-india-s-districts-report/story-x2YiYDP0JbapvhXpmaIlOK.html
Yabut more smart babies-N-stuff
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:36 am
50 degrees in December? Winter temps are rising across the country, and some of the biggest jumps are around the Great Lakes
”
Under blue skies and the first signs of sun Chicago had seen in days, a shirtless man darted around a North Side track. A little boy pulled off his gloves and ran ahead of his family on the sidewalk. Near the beach, a man and his dog laid back on a quiet hill like it was a cool summer day.
It’s December.
Winter temperatures are rising across the country, with some of the most pronounced increases occurring near the Great Lakes.
In Illinois, average daily temperatures in the winter season in the last 30 years have increased 2.5 degrees, relative to about a century earlier, according to an analysis included in a forthcoming report on the effects of climate change in Illinois from The Nature Conservancy.
The temperature hit 52 degrees Wednesday at O’Hare International Airport and was forecast to do the same Thursday before dropping over the weekend.”
https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/breaking/ct-warming-winters-illinois-climate-change-20201209-l6c2db7s5vdfnlpidgxmwsvl24-story.html
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:43 am
Australia’s record spring heat one-in-500,000 without climate change: analysis
This year’s spring temperatures would be ‘virtually impossible’ without human greenhouse emissions, according to new report
“A spring as hot as the one Australians just experienced would come along only once every half a million years without the extra greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, climate scientist Dr David Karoly told the Guardian.
Karoly warned that Australia was almost certain to experience even hotter temperatures and break further records over the coming decades.”
“The final month of spring, November, was especially hot, with temperatures 2.47C above average.”
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/10/australias-record-spring-heat-one-in-500000-without-climate-change-analysis
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 9:57 am
BoJo had announced he wanted to visit Merkel and Macron in a last effort to get a deal, but Berlin and Paris indicated they were not willing to receive the troublemaker. It is de facto over, no deal it is going to be:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/brexit/brexit-news-latest-boris-johnson-live-uk-b1769808.html
“Brexit news – latest: No-deal ‘very, very likely,’ Boris Johnson says as Merkel and Macron snub him”
Just.go.away.
#WestControlledDemolition
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 10:03 am
Bushfires in a wet year have Australia’s scientists looking to climate change
“SYDNEY (Reuters) – In a summer that was supposed to be unusually cool and wet, Australian builder Rob Lye did not expect to be trapped by a bushfire on sub-tropical Fraser Island and battling with his neighbours to protect their homes.”
“With climate change overriding some of Australia’s more moderating weather forces, scientists say wildfires like the one that tore through half of the island’s forest in recent weeks are increasingly likely.”
‘Research released in March found that human-caused global warming made the 2019-20 fires at least 30% more likely to occur.’
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-australia-bushfires-climate-change-idUKKBN28L0EX
If you’re an Australian & your house burns down & kids fry, take it up with the world’s biggest & scummiest climate denier, Rupert Murdoch – Australia’s very own billionaire piece of shit.
When Murdoch dies & goes to hell (the forever down-under) the Devil will instantly appoint him as minister of propaganda & denial.
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 10:13 am
Clog, N Americans don’t give a fuck about Euro-Tardland or brexits or your migrant-terrorist troubles.
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 10:33 am
Ppeee acting like he is famous and a Dr. instead he is a fool and a fuck
FamousDrScanlon said Clog, N Americans don’t give a fuck about Eu…
FamousDrScanlon said Bushfires in a wet year have Australia’s sci…
FamousDrScanlon said Australia’s record spring heat one-in-500,00…
FamousDrScanlon said 50 degrees in December? Winter temps are rising ac…
FamousDrScanlon said Extreme weather events impact 75% of India’s distr…
FamousDrScanlon said Sink or swim? An historic year of floods in Asia &…
FamousDrScanlon said Fuck your ‘projected’ targets clog. No…
Duncan Idaho on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 10:39 am
“If conservatives become convinced that they cannot win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy.”
—David Frum
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 11:00 am
“Clog, N Americans don’t give a fuck about Euro-Tardland or brexits or your migrant-terrorist troubles.”
Most North-Americans don’t give a f* about anything.
Your point?
Duncan Idaho on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 11:29 am
Coronavirus Live Updates: Virginia Gov Says Many COVID-19 Cases Coming From In-Person Religious Services
(just eliminating the less fit)
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/covid-updates-trump-declines-more-pfizer-vaccines_n_5fcf95f7c5b619bc4c3618f7
Duncan Idaho on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 11:48 am
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton Is Under FBI Investigation for Bribery, as Staff Blows Whistle on Him. Did He File Supreme Court Hail Mary Lawsuit in Exchange for a Pardon From the Fat Boy?
https://www.politicususa.com/2020/12/10/texas-ag-who-is-trying-to-overturn-election-hit-with-fbi-subpoena-over-ongoing-investigation.html
Duncan Idaho on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 11:53 am
New Hampshire’s new Speaker of the House, who flouted mask mandates, has died of COVID-19
(Evolution eliminating the less fit)
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 12:37 pm
Giant iceberg on course to collide with south Atlantic penguin colony island
“Scientists have long been watching this climate-related event unfold, as the iceberg – about the same size as the island itself – has meandered and advanced over two years since breaking off from the Antarctic peninsula in July 2017.
The peninsula is one of the fastest-warming places on Earth, registering a record high temperature of 20.75 degrees Celsius (69.35 degrees Fahrenheit) on Feb. 9. The warming has scientists concerned about ice melt and collapse leading to higher sea levels worldwide.
The gigantic iceberg – dubbed A68a – is on a path to collide with South Georgia Island, a remote British overseas territory off the southern tip of South America. Whether that collision is days or weeks away is unclear, as the iceberg has sped up and slowed down with the ocean currents along the way, said Geraint Tarling, a biological oceanographer with the British Antarctic Survey who has been tracking the icy mass.”
https://in.reuters.com/article/climate-change-iceberg/giant-iceberg-on-course-to-collide-with-south-atlantic-penguin-colony-island-idINKBN28J1UE
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 12:46 pm
“Giant iceberg on course to collide with south Atlantic penguin colony island”
And now what?
The poor penguins are going to be crushed?
The entire island will disappear under the waves?
What is this… The National Examiner?
Can anybody inform the idiots at Reuters that the volume of an iceberg below water is 9 times that of above water. The thing will strand somewhere without hitting anything.
It’s extremely easy to fool folks like apneaman. For Africans, you use little mirrors or glass pearls, for jews, newspaper articles. Slam dunk. Always works.
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 12:48 pm
Human-made materials now outweigh Earth’s entire biomass – study
Production of concrete, metal, plastic, bricks and asphalt greater than mass of living matter on planet, paper says
‘The amount of plastic alone is greater in mass than all land animals and marine creatures combined, the study estimates.’
‘On average, every person in the world is responsible for the creation of human-made matter equal to more than their bodyweight each week, the paper published in Nature says.
The research found that the stamp of humanity has been increasing in size rapidly since the beginning of the 20th century, doubling every 20 years.’
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/dec/09/human-made-materials-now-outweigh-earths-entire-biomass-study
My name is Tumormandias, Cancer of Cancer;
Look on my Works ye Mighty, and despair!
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 12:57 pm
clog got triggered.
‘For Africans, you use little mirrors or glass pearls’
Is that what you use to trick the African migrant kids to get in your van?
clog the old man who lives alone but luvs kiddies.
Duncan Idaho on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:00 pm
“The Fat Boy has initiated a nationwide temper tantrum for overgrown children throughout the land. He has worked the none-too-latent paranoia nerve that has been poked and prodded for decades now by a legion of fear mongers on TV and radio, scaring the kiddies about how their toys are going to be taken from them, and Christmas, too, all by “radical socialist Democrats” who want to destroy everything they love, and make them work while the darker peoples just loll around laughing at them all day, every day, insulting them in Spanish.”
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:12 pm
This is why I’m pro litter & anti recycling
‘Plastic pollution has serious chemical ramifications on homo sapiens ability to reproduce, but we wanted to explore the reasons and science.’
https://plasticpollutionearth.com/fertility-and-plastic-chemicals/
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:17 pm
clog I get why you got hyper triggered.
This bunk meta analysis is German. Even funded by the Volkswagen educational foundation.
clog gets touchy when ya dis Germans.
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:17 pm
Ppeee juan, people are so sick ofyour Dr.Dumbass. Please STFU
FamousDrScanlon said This is why I’m pro litter & anti recycl…
FamousDrScanlon said clog got triggered. ‘For Africans, you use…
FamousDrScanlon said Human-made materials now outweigh Earth’s en…
FamousDrScanlon said Giant iceberg on course to collide with south Atla…
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:20 pm
Russia’s Arctic Temperatures Hit New Records in December
“As climate experts sound the alarm over record temperatures in Russia’s Arctic, the Christmas season is unlikely to be much different than the preceding months.
According to Russian meteorological service Roshydromet, the extraordinary Arctic heat of November was followed by temperature records in a number of places across the Russian north on the first day of December.”
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/12/08/russias-arctic-temperatures-for-december-hit-new-records-a72272
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:33 pm
Fucknut Dr, you have no background in climate sciences. You are a fucking lunatic sock.
FamousDrScanlon said Russia’s Arctic Temperatures Hit New Records…
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:44 pm
When the author Glenn T. Stanton is not misrepresenting data in bunk articles for libertarian online rag Quillett (which I regularly read) is the director of family formation studies at Focus on the Family, and is the author of the brand new “The Myth of the Dying Church”
Focus on the Family
focusonthefamily.com
Focus on the Family
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Focus on the FamilyFOTF logo.svg
Motto Helping Families Thrive
Founded 1977; 43 years ago
California, United States
Founder James Dobson
Tax ID no.
95-3188150 (EIN)
Location
8605 Explorer Dr
Colorado Springs, Colorado, United States 80920
Website focusonthefamily.com
This article is part of a series on
Conservatism in
the United States
Collage of nine American conservatives: Ronald Reagan, Calvin Coolidge, Barry Goldwater, William F. Buckley Jr., Jack Kemp, Milton Friedman, Antonin Scalia, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito
About this image
Focus on the Family (FOTF or FotF) is an American fundamentalist Christian[3] organization founded in 1977 in Southern California by James Dobson, based in Colorado Springs, Colorado.[4] It promotes social conservative views on public policy. The group is one of a number of evangelical parachurch organizations that rose to prominence in the 1980s. As of the 2017 tax filing year, Focus on the Family declared itself to be a church, “primarily to protect the confidentiality of our donors.” Traditionally, entities considered churches have been ones that have regular worship services and congregants.[5]
Focus on the Family promotes creationism,[6] abstinence-only sex education,[7] adoption only by heterosexuals,[8] school prayer, and traditional gender roles. It opposes pre-marital sex, pornography, drugs, gambling, divorce, and abortion. It lobbies against LGBT rights, including LGBT adoption, LGBT parenting, and same-sex marriage.[9] Focus on the Family has been criticized by psychiatrists, psychologists, and social scientists for misrepresenting their research in order to bolster its religious ideology and political agenda.
The core promotional activities of the organization include the flagship daily radio broadcast hosted by its president Jim Daly together with co-host Focus VP John Fuller. Focus also provides free resources in line with the group’s views, and publishes magazines, videos, and audio recordings.
The organization also produces programs for targeted audiences, such as Adventures in Odyssey for children, and dramas.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Focus_on_the_Family
Religious fundamentalists = history’s biggest liars. Especially the Christians.
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:48 pm
Arctic warming cascades through ocean and over land, U.S. report says
“In the 15th annual Arctic Report Card, released by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), researchers detail the stark ways in which climate change is altering the long-frozen region.
“Taken as a whole, the story is unambiguous,” Alaska-based climate scientist Rick Thoman, one of the report’s editors, said in a statement. “The transformation of the Arctic to a warmer, less frozen and biologically changed region is well underway.”
Among the milestones hit this year was the second-lowest minimum sea ice extent in the satellite record, at 3.74 million square kilometers reached on Sept. 15. That was beaten only by the low in 2012, when a late-season cyclonic storm broke up much of that year’s remaining ice.
The minimum sea ice extent has never risen above its level in 2007 since then.
“When the report card started 15 years ago, I wrote about how low it was then. But I’d trade that low for what we’re seeing now any day,” said co-author Donald Perovich, a sea ice geophysicist at Dartmouth College. The September average extent this year was 3.9 million square kilometers. In 2005, it was 5.6 million square kilometers.
The sea ice is also thinner, younger and more fragile and vanishing sea ice is leading to warmer Arctic waters, the report said, as sunlight permeated the ocean rather than bouncing off the white surface of ice.
Mean sea-surface temperatures in the Arctic Ocean in August were 1 degree to 3 degrees Celsius above the 1982-to-2010 average, the report said, with “exceptionally warm” temperatures seen in the Laptev and Kara seas off Russia early in the year.
“We’re starting to see more of these feedbacks,” Perovich told Reuters. Research on the Arctic now “is more than an intellectual exercise in understanding nature. These changes are having consequences for people living today.”
https://uk.reuters.com/article/climate-change-arctic/arctic-warming-cascades-through-ocean-and-over-land-u-s-report-says-idUSL1N2IO1FG
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 1:59 pm
Feedback Loops of Fire Activity and Climate Change in Canada
“New research documents how a warming climate contributes to patterns in wildfire severity and frequency and how the fires contribute to climate change.”
https://eos.org/articles/feedback-loops-of-fire-activity-and-climate-change-in-canada
Feedback loops are indicative of tipping points being crossed.
Tipping points being crossed means you can’t go back. Can’t put Humptydumpty’s stable climate back together again.
Most of the positive self reinforcing feed back loops are unstoppable. If humans vanished many would slow down but not stop. Too much inertia.
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 2:46 pm
Ppeee juan, you are not famous and not a dr. You are a fucking lunatic. Many here think a real schizoid
FamousDrScanlon said Feedback Loops of Fire Activity and Climate Change…
FamousDrScanlon said Arctic warming cascades through ocean and over lan…
FamousDrScanlon said When the author Glenn T. Stanton is not misreprese…
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 3:13 pm
I am famous (deservedly so)
I am a Dr
I don’t pretend to be peakoil.com’s spokeswoman. That’s a job for a painfully boring, unoriginal Cunt.
https://youtu.be/p_W6dF56rgk
zero juan on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 3:14 pm
You are a fucking low life Ppeee. Go get test for the schizoid virus becuase yo are definitely positive. Fuckface
FamousDrScanlon on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 3:25 pm
Humanity has killed 75% of all wildlife.
Like a tumor that becomes metastatic and spreads through the body, so to do humans pervade through every rock and crevice on earth.
“This is collection of articles, quotes, paragraphs meant to try to help you understand how the human race, and the majority of all life as well is screwed. And maybe give you a different perspective on things.
“The nature of illusion is designed, at least at the moment, to make you feel good about yourself, about your country, about where you’re going… In that sense, it functions like a drug.
Those who question that illusion are challenged, not so much for the veracity of what they say, but for puncturing those feelings. Attempt to get up and question where we’re going and who we are, and the critique will be that you’re such a pessimist, that you’re such a cynic, that you’re not an optimist.
Optimism becomes a kind of disease since it created the financial meltdown, where you have this kind of cheerful optimism in the face of utter catastrophe and you plow forwards based on an optimism that is no longer rooted in reality.
If hope is something you express through illusions, then it’s not hope, it’s fantasy.” – Chris Hedges
It’s already too late. In terms of the climate, it was too late 20-30 years ago.
All we can do now is try to mitigate the extremes of consequence hopefully enough to avoid human extinction, and the extinction of other species we will take with us.”
https://bit.ly/381A4NI
makati1 on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:21 pm
The world of 2019 is gone, never to return. No matter how this “Reset” ends, the old Western lifestyle is not renewable. How can the many millions displaced by the lock-downs ever recover to pre 2020 lives? Answer: They cannot.
I’m watching all of this Great Leveling shitshow from a fairly secure country and location. I may only have 20 or so years to go, and for that, I am glad. But, until then…it keeps things interesting. ^_^
BTW: an educational and interesting view of the “Reset” problem:
https://journal-neo.org/2020/12/10/coronavirus-scandal-breaking-in-merkel-s-germany-2/
If it is censored, as it is on Facebook, you can just search it on other sites.
“Coronavirus Scandal Breaking in Merkel’s Germany”
“The widely-praised German model of the Angela Merkel regime to deal with the COVID-19 pandemic is now engulfed in a series of potentially devastating scandals going to the very heart of the testing and medical advice being used to declare draconian economic shutdowns and next, de facto mandatory vaccinations. The scandals involve a professor at the heart of Merkel’s corona advisory group. The implications go far beyond German borders to the very WHO itself and their global recommendations.
The entire case for WHO-mandated emergency lockdown of businesses, schools, churches and other social arenas worldwide is based on a test introduced, amazingly early on, in the Wuhan, China coronavirus saga….”
Duncan Idaho on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:49 pm
‘Loser of the Year’
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/12/11/without-decency-and-without-dignity-german-newsweekly-der-spiegel-names-trump-loser
Duncan Idaho on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 4:55 pm
QAnon Republican candidate arrested and charged with possession of child pornography
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/12/11/2001322/-Louisiana-Republican-who-ran-for-Congress-and-promoted-QAnon-arrested-on-child-pornography-charges
Typical repug.
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 5:03 pm
The Royal Navy is preparing for a hard Brexit and confiscation of trawlers:
https://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/brexit-verhandlungen-hoffnung-auf-abkommen-schwindet-dover-ist-ueberlastet-a-97a5bb8e-7788-4f9c-a7fa-4b1ec64da97f
The postwar period is definately over and overtures for WW3 Eurasia-Anglosphere have begun.
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 5:20 pm
“Tory Brexiteers slam the EU’s ‘contemptuous treatment’ of the UK after Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron SNUB Boris Johnson’s request for a trade talks phone call as PM warns No Deal now ‘very, very likely’“
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9042631/Nicola-Sturgeon-claims-Boris-Johnson-GIVEN-trade-talks-EU.html
Globalist Modernity is walking on its last legs. It is the end of Fukuyama’s “End of History”.
History is back. The old order (Pax Americana) is melting away.
Power vacuums are going to be filled.
Old animosities will reappear.
Weapons will talk.
New powers will emerge.
Abraham van Helsing on Fri, 11th Dec 2020 5:26 pm
“Pound heading for a crash if Britain fails to get a Brexit trade deal“
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/12/11/investing/brexit-no-deal-pound/index.html
The British pound could plunge by 10% or more if the United Kingdom does not finalize a trade deal with the European Union this weekend.
FamousDrScanlon on Sat, 12th Dec 2020 10:09 am
They all agree to disagree in Europe.
Progress at last!